This will be my teaser of the year.. Would love feedback from you

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  • imgv94
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-16-05
    • 17192

    #1
    This will be my teaser of the year.. Would love feedback from you
    Steelers +8.5
    to
    Chargers -2.5


    Both of these teams are really solid @ Home.

    STEELERS: Are the Jags really that good enough to blowout the Steelers on the road in the cold? It's never easy to beat a team twice in the same season let alone on the road twice. I respect the Jags but I just don't see them winning this game easy on the road. Getting 8.5 is a really nice cushion IMO especially at home versus a team they're very familar with.


    CHARGERS: SD is a beast @ Home and I don't think the Titans will be able to match them point for point here especially on the road. SD is rolling now winning six in a row most of them in easy fashion. I respect Tennessee as a team but this is not a good spot for them IMO.. Addition of Chambers really helped the Chargers offense, Gates is undefendable and LT will get his..


    So do you guys see either of these lines moving? And if so which way?

    You guys usually give me solid feedback.. Thanks a lot.
  • Doc JS
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-15-06
    • 6885

    #2
    Originally posted by imgv94
    Steelers +8.5
    to
    Chargers -2.5


    Both of these teams are really solid @ Home.

    STEELERS: Are the Jags really that good enough to blowout the Steelers on the road in the cold? It's never easy to beat a team twice in the same season let alone on the road twice. I respect the Jags but I just don't see them winning this game easy on the road. Getting 8.5 is a really nice cushion IMO especially at home versus a team they're very familar with.


    CHARGERS: SD is a beast @ Home and I don't think the Titans will be able to match them point for point here especially on the road. SD is rolling now winning six in a row most of them in easy fashion. I respect Tennessee as a team but this is not a good spot for them IMO.. Addition of Chambers really helped the Chargers offense, Gates is undefendable and LT will get his..


    So do you guys see either of these lines moving? And if so which way?

    You guys usually give me solid feedback.. Thanks a lot.
    imgv,

    Happy New Year to you, my friend!

    The Steelers have been good at home. The loss of Parker will hurt. Ben will have to play well for the Steelers to win but I suspect this game is within a touch either way.

    But I could see a scenario where the Steelers get behind and Ben throws a couple of ill timed picks and the Steelers get beat pretty bad.

    The Chargers have been on a nice roll but it's not exactly like they've been beating up on the big boys in the NFL.
    12 Nov 25 BAL 14 @ SD 32
    13 Dec 02 SD 24 @ KC 10
    14 Dec 09 SD 23 @ TEN 17
    15 Dec 16 DET 14 @ SD 51
    16 Dec 24 DEN 3 @ SD 23
    17 Dec 30 SD 30 @ OAK 17

    The only one of those wins that I consider a quality win was the Titan game where they came back from 14 down on the road in the 4th quarter to win in OT.

    I suspect the Chargers will win. But I'll be honest, Rivers scares me. If the Titans are able to shut down LT, not an easy task, I'll grant you, and Rivers has to pass the Chargers to victory...I'm not sure he can do.

    Doc
    Comment
    • imgv94
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-16-05
      • 17192

      #3
      Rivers scares me too, but at home he's alright.

      Thanks for the feedback my man.
      Comment
      • astro61200
        SBR MVP
        • 09-15-07
        • 4843

        #4
        I like the San Diego pick, I think they destroy the Titans... that team looked horrible last night and has most of the season, on offense anyway

        Pittsburgh pick not so much, Jacksonville is one of the hottest teams in the NFL and Pittsburgh has struggled recently... the Jaguars did just beat the Steelers by 7 in Pittsburgh, and I believe that was with Parker... so doubt losing Parker is going to help them too greatly
        Comment
        • imgv94
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-16-05
          • 17192

          #5
          losing $$ in fun
          Comment
          • outdrawed
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-21-07
            • 388

            #6
            How many points is this/what's the juice. People always leave this stuff out. It's the best teaser in the world at +300 and vomit-inducing at -300.
            Comment
            • SBR Lou
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-02-07
              • 37863

              #7
              I thought about doing this one myself, not sure yet.

              I like Pittsburgh straight, waiting to see where that line goes.

              I'd tease SD too, because I don't think they cover otherwise. If Collins plays they also have a shot of losing, but it sounds like Vince Young will be ready to go. He should be good for a couple INT's.
              Comment
              • outdrawed
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-21-07
                • 388

                #8
                If you don't think a team will cover a bet, teasing them doesn't really help you.
                Comment
                • imgv94
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-16-05
                  • 17192

                  #9
                  -300? What?????????????????????/

                  odds are -110

                  Could do
                  SD -2
                  Pitt +9

                  at -115 right now @ betpop.
                  Comment
                  • SBR Lou
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-02-07
                    • 37863

                    #10
                    Originally posted by outdrawed
                    If you don't think a team will cover a bet, teasing them doesn't really help you.
                    You can cross key numbers without thinking a team will cover an original spread and do fine.

                    I've teased teams because of meeting a certain profile, and also not teased certain games where I really like something straight up. It just depends on the situation, don't believe it's black and white either way.
                    Comment
                    • outdrawed
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-21-07
                      • 388

                      #11
                      Originally posted by crazyl
                      You can cross key numbers without thinking a team will cover an original spread and do fine.

                      I've teased teams because of meeting a certain profile, and also not teased certain games where I really like something straight up. It just depends on the situation, don't believe it's black and white either way.
                      It really depends on what you think the true line should be. If the Chargers are -8.5 and you think they should be closer to -7, teasing to -2.5 isn't a good bet regardless of crossing the numbers.
                      Comment
                      • outdrawed
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-21-07
                        • 388

                        #12
                        Originally posted by imgv94
                        -300? What?????????????????????/

                        odds are -110

                        Could do
                        SD -2
                        Pitt +9

                        at -115 right now @ betpop.
                        I was exaggerating to make a point.

                        My math isn't refined on this, but I'm pretty sure -2/+9 (-115) is better than -2.5/+8.5, but someone can correct me if I'm wrong.

                        Anyways, I stated in my thread that I thought the lines were pretty fair so I like the teasing here. Looks like you got good lines to tease, too.
                        Comment
                        • tblues2005
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 07-30-06
                          • 9235

                          #13
                          imgv,

                          I totally agree with you that taking SD at -2 and Pittsburgh at +9 is a good bet this week, I think you win this bet. I sure cannot see SD losing this one and I sure see Pittsburgh keeping this game close like under 7 points. I would watch the weather forecast in that Pittsburgh game before I would wager on that game. I think taking the under would be an excellent bet if the weather is nasty!
                          Comment
                          • Skidcom
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-17-06
                            • 1796

                            #14
                            Solid suggestion
                            Comment
                            • WestsidePete
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-19-07
                              • 8049

                              #15
                              The 7 pt teaser I really like is SD -2 with the under 46 in the Steeler game....The Steeler line has moved from 37.5 to 39...their prior meeting was 29-22 Jags, so the defenses will make adjustments and add in the weather elements and this being a night game...it will be damn cold...I don't think we'll see 2 high scoring games in a row from these 2 teams...
                              Comment
                              • Sportsgirl
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-10-06
                                • 4493

                                #16
                                Originally posted by astro61200
                                I like the San Diego pick, I think they destroy the Titans... that team looked horrible last night and has most of the season, on offense anyway

                                Pittsburgh pick not so much, Jacksonville is one of the hottest teams in the NFL and Pittsburgh has struggled recently... the Jaguars did just beat the Steelers by 7 in Pittsburgh, and I believe that was with Parker... so doubt losing Parker is going to help them too greatly

                                Jacksonville lost their final game to the Texans - giving up 42 point in the process - and recent wins other than a close one with Pittsburgh were over Oakland and Carolina ... how does this make them one of the hottest teams in the NFL?
                                Comment
                                • SBR Lou
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-02-07
                                  • 37863

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Sportsgirl
                                  Jacksonville lost their final game to the Texans - giving up 42 point in the process - and recent wins other than a close one with Pittsburgh were over Oakland and Carolina ... how does this make them one of the hottest teams in the NFL?
                                  Come on, Nancy.

                                  You know as well as I do Jacksonville sat their starters that whole game, and their backup QB still threw for 4 TD's, all of their studs were on the bench.... I think it'll be a closer game than people think, but let's be honest about something, Jacksonville has a better offensive line, better running backs, better special teams, more experienced coach...
                                  Comment
                                  • SBR Lou
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-02-07
                                    • 37863

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Sportsgirl
                                    Jacksonville lost their final game to the Texans - giving up 42 point in the process - and recent wins other than a close one with Pittsburgh were over Oakland and Carolina ... how does this make them one of the hottest teams in the NFL?
                                    This one was 22-7 in the third, in pittsburgh's home, a warm weather team DOMINATING them in crappy conditions, this game wasn't close at all. yeah pittsburgh rallied in the 4th and only lost by one score, but come on, jacksonville dominated that game for 3 quarters and rushed for 224yds against the Steelers.
                                    Comment
                                    • Sportsgirl
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-10-06
                                      • 4493

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by crazyl
                                      Come on, Nancy.

                                      You know as well as I do Jacksonville sat their starters that whole game, and their backup QB still threw for 4 TD's, all of their studs were on the bench.... I think it'll be a closer game than people think, but let's be honest about something, Jacksonville has a better offensive line, better running backs, better special teams, more experienced coach...
                                      And Pittsburgh has the better QB, better receivers, better tight ends, better defensive line, linebackers and DBs and I'd argue the special teams with you. Plus, homefield advantage and it is the playoffs ... do you really think the Jags go into Heinz Field and win again against one of the most prolific playoff teams in NFL history?
                                      Comment
                                      • Sportsgirl
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-10-06
                                        • 4493

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by crazyl
                                        This one was 22-7 in the third, in pittsburgh's home, a warm weather team DOMINATING them in crappy conditions, this game wasn't close at all. yeah pittsburgh rallied in the 4th and only lost by one score, but come on, jacksonville dominated that game for 3 quarters and rushed for 224yds against the Steelers.

                                        Whether Pittsburgh started playing like the high-caliber team they are in the first quarter on the fourth, still makes this one touch game a close one. Jax is lucky time expired or this one goes in the L column for the Jags.
                                        Comment
                                        • SBR Lou
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 08-02-07
                                          • 37863

                                          #21
                                          I lean Pittsburgh in the game, but I am not a fan like you so all I'm saying is maybe I'm a little less biased about just how good Jacksonville is, and better in some areas.

                                          As you may recall Jacksonville was my pick over Steelers in regular season, and I'm leaning Steelers hoping for some more movement, but won't be a real big play...
                                          Comment
                                          • pavyracer
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-12-07
                                            • 82797

                                            #22
                                            I like this teaser especially the Chargers -2.5. But I will play Jags +5.5 instead because I don't think they'll lose and if they lose it will be only in OT by a FG. The possibility of Steelers losing by more than 10 points is there because they don't have a running game with Parker out and Rothlisberger will rush things and throw a couple INT's for TD's. Cold is not an advantage for Pittsburgh. We all saw how they struggled against Miami and Cincinnatti when the weather was bad.
                                            Comment
                                            • Sportsgirl
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-10-06
                                              • 4493

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by crazyl
                                              I lean Pittsburgh in the game, but I am not a fan like you so all I'm saying is maybe I'm a little less biased about just how good Jacksonville is, and better in some areas.

                                              As you may recall Jacksonville was my pick over Steelers in regular season, and I'm leaning Steelers hoping for some more movement, but won't be a real big play...
                                              Yes, sweet Crazyl, I am a fan - and I'm glad your leaning toward Pittsburgh

                                              My point was that Jacksonville is being called one of the hottest teams in the playoffs and I fail to see the foundation for this?
                                              Comment
                                              • Yung Mula
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 12-25-07
                                                • 44

                                                #24
                                                I love the teaser. Steelers line is anywhere from PK to +3 now. Also, that San Diego line is moving up as well.
                                                Comment
                                                • pavyracer
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                  • 82797

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                  I like this teaser especially the Chargers -2.5. But I will play Jags +5.5 instead because I don't think they'll lose and if they lose it will be only in OT by a FG. The possibility of Steelers losing by more than 10 points is there because they don't have a running game with Parker out and Rothlisberger will rush things and throw a couple INT's for TD's. Cold is not an advantage for Pittsburgh. We all saw how they struggled against Miami and Cincinnatti when the weather was bad.
                                                  Who gave my gameplan to the Jaguars? Please stand up.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • imgv94
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-16-05
                                                    • 17192

                                                    #26
                                                    Congrats to those that followed it. We did it!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Peyton2MarvinN06
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-25-06
                                                      • 1352

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by imgv94
                                                      Congrats to those that followed it. We did it!!
                                                      Congrats on your win bud!

                                                      I knew that your Bolts would pull through!

                                                      They completed 4 different winning bets for me!

                                                      Loss of Gates will really hurt SD next week! If it was turf toe like they said, that isn't a one week type of deal!

                                                      Comment
                                                      • imgv94
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-16-05
                                                        • 17192

                                                        #28
                                                        Just watched Turner is press conference. He said sprained toe and he is questionable. He also said he could heal very quickly and be ready..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SBR Lou
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-02-07
                                                          • 37863

                                                          #29
                                                          Awesome win

                                                          gyno, you check out the lines yet?

                                                          indy -2,
                                                          dallas -1.5 in a 6pter at bookmaker available...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • imgv94
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-16-05
                                                            • 17192

                                                            #30
                                                            Wow those look like very popular teasers.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChampDog
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-28-07
                                                              • 344

                                                              #31
                                                              Just Ask Roger Clemens ...

                                                              I am sure he can give some personal advice on Fast healing

                                                              Originally posted by imgv94
                                                              Just watched Turner is press conference. He said sprained toe and he is questionable. He also said he could heal very quickly and be ready..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • imgv94
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-16-05
                                                                • 17192

                                                                #32
                                                                Yeah he should consult with Clemens for sure. LOL
                                                                Comment
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