I think Colts won't be chasing a win here. Under 33,5 @ 1,80 looks tempting.
Comment
Mike Lonsdale
SBR Hustler
05-13-10
65
#3
I think Colts won't be chasing a win here. Under 33,5 @ 1,80 looks tempting.
Comment
3PtShooter
SBR MVP
04-13-08
3936
#4
too early
Comment
redrum
SBR MVP
02-13-08
1903
#5
the under is real nice
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sanchez985
SBR High Roller
02-11-10
105
#6
colts i think gonna win it
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tomcast
SBR Wise Guy
06-19-06
754
#7
San Fran on the moneyline
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woody78
SBR Wise Guy
09-18-08
502
#8
Taking 9'ers, probably parlay it with the over if it feels right closer to kick.
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Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30041
#9
49ers -3.
Colts are not deep bench and always sit their starters
the most injury-fearing team in the NFL.
that's why Niners are favored. Indy org cares nothing about this game.
On the other side, Singletary has Niners beefed up.
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Jerm3462
SBR MVP
11-09-09
4454
#10
unders
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makemerich
SBR Sharp
02-19-10
392
#11
under, colts might win. coin flip impo
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RageWizard
SBR MVP
09-01-06
3008
#12
Originally posted by Snowball
49ers -3.
Colts are not deep bench and always sit their starters
the most injury-fearing team in the NFL.
that's why Niners are favored. Indy org cares nothing about this game.
On the other side, Singletary has Niners beefed up.
I pretty much agree with this line of thought, and as noted before, this just in, Indy just dominates in the preseason, especially the first game. From my own data base, I have Indy as 6 - 14 (.300) from 2005 in all preseason games up until today, and in week 1, they are 2 - 3 (.400), a little better than their overall record, which is shocking to me really.
San Fran on the other hand is 11 -8 -1 since 2005, although in 2005 they went 4 - 0, so the numbers may be skewed a little bit to favor them. In the first week they are also 2 - 3, so maybe a investment on the side isn't the play for this game.
The Under / Over for Indy is 11 - 8 - 1, with the unders taking it 11 times, in week 1 they are 4 - 1 again with the unders taking it 4 times.
San Fran is and even 10 - 10 in the over under category since 2005, and in week 1 they are also 4 - 1 with the unders taking the majority of the totals.
It sounds like both of these teams on average, don't score many points in the first week of the preseason, and the under may be the play here. For some reason however, I already went out on a limb an invested in San Fran -3.5, yeah I also took the hook, because I think Singletary wants to start a winning mindset this year, and that begins in the first game. So I am looking for Indy to pack it in, while San Fran does what it has to to win, but the game will end as an under.
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30041
#13
Originally posted by RageWizard
I pretty much agree with this line of thought, and as noted before, this just in, Indy just dominates in the preseason, especially the first game. From my own data base, I have Indy as 6 - 14 (.300) from 2005 in all preseason games up until today, and in week 1, they are 2 - 3 (.400), a little better than their overall record, which is shocking to me really.
San Fran on the other hand is 11 -8 -1 since 2005, although in 2005 they went 4 - 0, so the numbers may be skewed a little bit to favor them. In the first week they are also 2 - 3, so maybe a investment on the side isn't the play for this game.
The Under / Over for Indy is 11 - 8 - 1, with the unders taking it 11 times, in week 1 they are 4 - 1 again with the unders taking it 4 times.
San Fran is and even 10 - 10 in the over under category since 2005, and in week 1 they are also 4 - 1 with the unders taking the majority of the totals.
It sounds like both of these teams on average, don't score many points in the first week of the preseason, and the under may be the play here. For some reason however, I already went out on a limb an invested in San Fran -3.5, yeah I also took the hook, because I think Singletary wants to start a winning mindset this year, and that begins in the first game. So I am looking for Indy to pack it in, while San Fran does what it has to to win, but the game will end as an under.
Comparing historicals in preseason is not worthwhile.
Both Indy and 9ers have coaching staffs which were not part of some of that data, and moreover the 2-3-4th string players on each team changes year-to-year. Every roster is alone and new and must be evaluated as stand-alone considering the available info on camps and competitions underway at various positions.
Comment
RageWizard
SBR MVP
09-01-06
3008
#14
Originally posted by Snowball
Comparing historicals in preseason is not worthwhile.
Both Indy and 9ers have coaching staffs which were not part of some of that data, and moreover the 2-3-4th string players on each team changes year-to-year. Every roster is alone and new and must be evaluated as stand-alone considering the available info on camps and competitions underway at various positions.
I agree with most of your points except 1. The more things change, the more they stay the same. I just go with the trend. In this particular game, I will be stunned if INDY comes out and lights it up and puts more than 17 points on the board, the history just isn't there to back it up. I understand that they are mostly new players playing, and Indy has some new coaching staff, but until the trend is broken, I'll stay with the trend.
You may have a better point on San Fran however, and it is probably why I invested in them and ate the -3.5. I still think the game goes under however, maybe not but the 80% rate that has historically happened, but by more than a 50% probablity in my opinion.
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Lion4Life
SBR Wise Guy
03-30-10
797
#15
Like the under, good luck!
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lak420187
SBR Wise Guy
05-17-09
567
#16
i think manning will play the first quarter only, then sit out. the back up quarter back sucks. it was painter's sorry self that lost the game to break the 16-0 record. my money is on the 49ers. or if u want bet first quarter colts.
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Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30041
#17
i would doubt Manning to play even one quarter.
one TD and out.
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Quake
SBR Sharp
05-27-10
267
#18
Agree with most of you guys on this. SF & Under 6pt teaser for me
Comment
bhikool836
SBR Sharp
03-17-08
266
#19
I'm on SF also. Gl with the play!
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Scorpion
SBR Hall of Famer
09-04-05
7797
#20
Originally posted by Snowball
Comparing historicals in preseason is not worthwhile.
Both Indy and 9ers have coaching staffs which were not part of some of that data, and moreover the 2-3-4th string players on each team changes year-to-year. Every roster is alone and new and must be evaluated as stand-alone considering the available info on camps and competitions underway at various positions.
BINGO
i think neither team cares much about this game
you can say singletary cares ... but the man was onlky 1-3 ats last yr
i would stay away from this game but if i have to take a side i will take the points
indy +4
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zanman822
SBR Sharp
06-18-10
322
#21
There is a reason San Fran is favored on the road. Thats all im saying
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GoCougs!
SBR Wise Guy
07-11-10
969
#22
I would think this game is a no-play all the way around.
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mikejamm
SBR Posting Legend
08-24-09
11034
#23
The Colts will win this game. San Fran nowhere near up the level of Indy in the pre season. Plus the 49's will be suffering jet lag!
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lak420187
SBR Wise Guy
05-17-09
567
#24
awesome, i hit my colts 1Q, now i need SF on the game.
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COOGI
SBR MVP
05-05-10
1510
#25
i have SF
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cankid
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-08
7209
#26
what a slaughter, books had to lose big time on that one
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Liar's Poker
Restricted User
08-16-10
5
#27
Niners all day
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Rig
SBR Sharp
11-05-09
458
#28
i know slaughteren its in there name
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podunk
SBR MVP
11-12-09
3455
#29
never bet on colts in the preseason. painter will never win anything.