2 bets for me this week

[etothep]

1) Jax (-10.5) at home over carolina (sure the panthers looked pretty good against the 49ers, but san fran can make most teams look pretty good)...i think carolina will be lucky keep within 20 of the jags

2) 3 team teaser:
Buff (-.5)
Sea (-.5)
Den (-.5)

don't have any verifiable stats at my discretion for this one, but it seems as though home teams favored by 6-7.5 have a high SU win % (see indy & pit this past weekend)


any thoughts guys?

[outdrawed]

e^p,

Yes, I think teams that are a 6-7.5 point favorite do indeed have a high SU win percentage.

Out of curiosity, how many points did you tease each line and what odds are you getting? These are important.

[etothep]

6.5 pts at BJ, at +160

[outdrawed]

Pinny has lines of -315, -307, -270, which equates to around +140 I think, so the line looks good....I think. Someone smarter than me might want to back it up. Also, your book has Denver -7, whereas Pinny has -6.5, so the odds are worse at pinny, which I believe makes your play more appetizing.

[etothep]

Pinny has lines of -315, -307, -270, which equates to around +140 I think, so the line looks good....I think. Someone smarter than me might want to back it up. Also, your book has Denver -7, whereas Pinny has -6.5, so the odds are worse at pinny, which I believe makes your play more appetizing.

its like BJ wants me to make the bet...also liking minny (-2.5) & dal (-4), but playing that many favs is asking for trouble

will have to lay off the teaser for a day or 2 to think it over

[outdrawed]

are all 6.5 pt 3-team teasers +160 there?

[etothep]

every one i've done i seem to recall getting +160

[outdrawed]

It's 0EV if all three are -263. Seems very profitable.