I'm taking the 3 TD's this week

[Dark Horse]

I would never bet on such a large favorite, but these Pats are the exception to the rule. This will be something like 52-7.

Love the week leading up. Randy Moss was called out on ESPN for lack of effort, and the defense was terrible. Geez... I 'wonder' if they'll come out sharp tonight.

[White_Tiger]

Bal D no longer that good IMO.

Last 5 games

TEAMS LAST 5 GAMES
NEW ENGLAND | GAME LOGS
DATE DAY OPPONENT SCORE SU LINE ATS ORY OPY OTY DRY DPY DTY TO +/-
11/25/2007 Sun PHI 31-28 W -24/51?? L/O 48 362 410 55 336 391 3
11/18/2007 Sun at BUF 56-10 W -16/47 W/O 127 383 510 78 151 229 2
11/04/2007 Sun at IND 24-20 W -5??/57 L/U 105 237 342 119 213 332 0
10/28/2007 Sun WAS 52-7 W -14??/46?? W/O 152 334 486 47 177 224 3
10/21/2007 Sun at MIA 49-28 W -15??/49?? W/O 84 359 443 179 203 382 1

BALTIMORE | GAME LOGS
DATE DAY OPPONENT SCORE SU LINE ATS ORY OPY OTY DRY DPY DTY TO +/-
11/25/2007 Sun at SD 14-32 L 9??/38?? L/O 56 154 210 83 249 332 -2
11/18/2007 Sun CLE 30-33 L 2/43?? L/O 128 240 368 111 269 380 -2
11/11/2007 Sun CIN 7-21 L -3/44?? L/U 66 206 272 70 256 326 -6
11/05/2007 Mon at PIT 7-38 L 9/36 L/O 64 40 104 90 201 291 -3
10/21/2007 Sun at BUF 14-19 L -3/33?? L/U 127 181 308 103 139 242 0

The best they did was let Buff score 19pts. We're speaking of Buff with no Off.

RANK RANK
New England's Overall Scoring vs Baltimore's Overall Defense 40.2 1 22.1 18
New England's Road Passing vs Baltimore's Home Defense 313.3 2 252.0 26
New England's Road Rushing vs Baltimore's Home Defense 116.3 11 75.6 4
Baltimore's Overall Scoring vs New England's Overall Defense 16.6 26 16.8 4
Baltimore's Home Passing vs New England's Road Passing Defense 210.8 16 191.0 10
Baltimore's Home Rushing vs New England's Road Rushing Defense 103.6 20 98.7 10

[Dark Horse]

The Pats are a team that prepares like no other. For last week's game they probably didn't have a whole lot on Feeley. He took them by surprise (and looked terrible the next week, when the Seahawks were not surprised). At this very moment I'm feeling very sorry for Kyle Boller.

[babytyger]

Please stop the talk about how the Ravens may cover the spread because they will not. They are a piece of shit. In week 9, on Monday Night game they got killed by the Steelers so how can they hang with the Patriots?

Ray Lewis? He is OLD. Gates burned his ass so many times.

[jtnguyen79]

I"m taking New ENgland..........they can contain moss like philly doesnt really do much b/c New England still scored 31 pts....and Baltimore offense isnt Philly offense so doubt they can score

anyways good luck everyone

[Jeff Spicoli]

I have been a lurker on here for awhile but have been pretty successful lately and am ready to start chiming in. I am somewhat perplexed on what to do. If conditions were ideal, I would take NE in a heartbeat. But, have you looked at the windy forecast?

I am a little concerned about Brady being as sharp with 40 mph winds ripping through.

If I pull the trigger, it will be the PATS. I might be a spectator this time however.

[bigboydan]

First off, Welcome to the SBR forum Jeff

The Pats will have some big problems with those 40mph winds, and without having any type of running game at all sure doesn't help their chances to cover this spread.

[Jeff Spicoli]

First off, Welcome to the SBR forum Jeff

The Pats will have some big problems with those 40mph winds, and without having any type of running game at all sure doesn't help their chances to cover this spread.

Thanks for the welcome.

I think the under 46 is the play (if any). I don't see Belichick trying to run this one up given the scrutiny. And to be honest, not sure he will be in position to make that decision. I think there will be alot of running and bad 1 sided punting. NE may still cover, but I think it will be more like 28-10....

[mv09]

Don't let one bad game deter you

The Ravens offense is terrible
The Ravens defense is bad as well and is living on reputation.
The wind will be a non-factor

Patriots 45 - Ravens 14

[matskralc]

I'm warning you guys again to seriously consider the strengths & weaknesses of Baltimore's "highly-ranked" defense and how they match up with NE's offense.

New England rush offense: 4.1 yards/carry
Baltimore rush defense: 2.8 yards/carry

New England pass offense: 8.72 yards/pass
Baltimore pass defense: 7.09 yards/pass


Baltimore rush offense: 4.0 yards/carry
New England rush defense: 4.1 yards/carry

Baltimore pass offense: 5.69 yards/pass
New England pass defense: 6.01 yards/pass


A smart Baltimore head coach would do almost nothing but run the ball. Baltimore has an average rushing attack and New England has an average rushing defense. Baltimore can't pass the ball to save their lives. Run, run, run the ball and keep it out of the hands of a New England passing attack that will shred the Ravens. Ravens have an average pass defense returning some key players, but the Pats have the best passing game we've seen in years.

Not sure how much effect the wind will have on the Pats' passing game, which relies on lots of slants/ins over the middle, which are shorter, harder-thrown passes. It may cause the Pats to run the ball a little more, a battle the Ravens should win.

However, Billick is one of those offensive geniuses in name only, and will probably spend his time trying to outwit the Pats' pass coverage instead of pounding the ball and playing a ball-control game.

[nevillehater]

Wow, good thing I didn't read this thread before putting cash on the Ravens. I live near Bmore and I knew the wind was crazy tonight so I felt pretty good about the pic.

[imgv94]

Good call Dan

[SBR Lou]

Good stuff Dan

[Jeff Spicoli]

Nice work to those taking the points... I am glad I stayed away from this one...

[nevillehater]

If the wind outside hadn't been knocking over trash cans at my place near Bmore. . . I might have stayed away too. Even with the spread down to 18.5, I felt pretty good about the Ravens w/ those conditions.

[bigboydan]

Thanks fellas

I was really hoping the [iSBRFORUM]Ravens[/iSBRFORUM] would win that game though, but never the less... I'll take it.

[goodfella]

hey Dan you're not Dan Smith are you? it seems like your picks are the same as my boss (Dan Smith) and he's big.