Originally Posted by raiders72001
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10-11-23 04:25 PM #71
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10-11-23 04:45 PM #72
Hit the bitcoin forum in 2024. Nothing much to do now but wait. Looks like the bitcoin forum was started in 2015 when BTC was around $235. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...m.html?slf=327
edited, just found the poll for the bitcoin forum https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...sub-forum.htmlLast edited by raiders72001; 10-11-23 at 04:59 PM.
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10-11-23 06:30 PM #73
LOL Originally Posted by asiagambler
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10-12-23 12:05 AM #74
Orion, is San Francisco 49ers in any of your teasers this weekend?
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10-12-23 09:56 AM #75
San Francisco, Indianapolis, Seattle and LA Chargers are pretty good candidates this week.
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10-12-23 10:01 AM #76
Niners gonna b a huge public play
line will get to 8 or 9 watch
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10-12-23 10:31 AM #77
This is a showcase game for Garrett. This guy is gonna feast. Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13
Two weeks from now, you're going to hear Schwartz's name for NFL vacancies. The Brown defense is ready to eat.
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10-12-23 12:25 PM #78
johnny just tell us who YOU like. That is what is gonna be the huge public play Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13
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10-12-23 02:09 PM #79
He likes the Browns. No doubt about it. Originally Posted by asiagambler
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10-12-23 02:10 PM #80
Tell us something that's not obvious. Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13
Who cares anyway.
The 49ers will still kill the Browns if Watson doesn't play.
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10-12-23 03:03 PM #81
Well regardless of who he likes, you don't EVER want to be on the same side as him Originally Posted by DJK
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10-13-23 03:45 AM #82
This week was close to perfect for 10 and 13 pt teasers at DK. Needed to get a 12.5 out of Mia or Buf for 10 pt. Or for the 13 pt needed a couple higher to go with Mia and Buf.
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10-13-23 04:09 AM #83
Wash, Hou, Rams and Philly all still in the right range of 6 pt teasers but I haven't pulled the trigger on any of those yet.
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10-13-23 06:07 AM #84
I got san Fran at 4.5 early in the week Originally Posted by DJK
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10-13-23 06:08 AM #85
Best teaser play is chicago +8.5. Minnesota just does not blow teams out, especially without Justin Jefferson and fields has looked very good last 2 weeks Originally Posted by raiders72001
I'd be shocked if that's not a close game and I think there's a good chance chicago wins outright
I got chicago and LAC as the safest teaser. 2 home dogs who could both winNomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: ChuckyTheGoat
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10-13-23 01:22 PM #86
80% of the time the spread does not matter so just pick a winner which you can't.
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10-13-23 02:35 PM #87
Teasers are just math, plain and simple. It's about finding value in specific numbers (key). If you're going to handicap, then just bet the spread, there's really no need to mess with a teaser Originally Posted by k13
The best way to make money betting teasers is to first completely ignore this thread filled with nonsense and misinformation. Then learn SDQL (not hard), find a database (there are public ones) and run the numbers yourself
Everything is fair game, including totals. And since it seems no one else mentioned it, totals obviously should influence the teaser numbers you look for- points tend to be more valuable with a lower total and less valuable with a higher one- but there's exceptions to this too if they are extremely high or extremely low. And that's all part of it
A good starting point is to look at everything 2015 and beyond for NFL. That's when the extra point moved back and ever since then, there's been slight changes in the distribution of what number the games tend to land on. Other small rule changes, mostly to do with overtime, have all had their effects as well but the XP change was the big one
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10-13-23 02:54 PM #88
You're just trying to look smart. You're making it way too difficult to tease down. All you need to know is the money line and the value of the one and two. Originally Posted by asiagambler
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10-13-23 03:00 PM #89
LOL I'll take that as a compliment from you Originally Posted by raiders72001
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10-13-23 03:14 PM #90
Since you want to play teaser god. Originally Posted by asiagambler
What's the optimal amount to bet on 2,3,4,5,6 game teasers, full kelly, 100,000 bankroll, each teaser leg has a win probability of .725
Teaser payouts:
2 team +100
3 team +180
4 team +300
5 team +500
6 team +800
or at least tell me how to go about it.
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10-13-23 03:15 PM #91
No. Originally Posted by raiders72001
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10-13-23 03:19 PM #92
Feeling extra insecure today Jim ? Originally Posted by raiders72001
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10-13-23 03:20 PM #93
But you can still call me teaser god
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10-13-23 03:24 PM #94
lol Originally Posted by asiagambler
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10-13-23 03:30 PM #95
nah, just trying to figure out why you call out things as being nonsense when you don't know how to optimize. Originally Posted by asiagambler
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10-13-23 03:30 PM #96
Ok. Anything else ? Originally Posted by raiders72001
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10-13-23 03:32 PM #97
not now but I'm sure you'll give me some ammo later. Originally Posted by asiagambler
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10-13-23 03:34 PM #98
This is what is known as "rent free" in someone's head
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10-13-23 03:35 PM #99
I'll be back in around 6 hours so make sure you're here Originally Posted by raiders72001
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10-13-23 03:36 PM #100
more like comic relief. Originally Posted by asiagambler
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10-13-23 03:37 PM #101
you'll be sure to follow one of my posts. Maybe I'll reply, maybe I won't. Originally Posted by asiagambler
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10-13-23 03:39 PM #102
Right. The guy that always replies to me is the one being followed Originally Posted by raiders72001
Stay funny Jim
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10-13-23 03:44 PM #103
will do Originally Posted by asiagambler
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10-13-23 03:54 PM #104
May as well give the thread a quick run down if you friend isn't going to try? Originally Posted by raiders72001
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10-13-23 04:05 PM #105
I was just goofing around since AG was calling the teaser math info nonsense prior to his math. Originally Posted by Optional
You can optimize using solver.The best way to make money betting teasers is to first completely ignore this thread filled with nonsense and misinformation
2 teams =.624% of bankroll, $9360
3 teamers = 0
4 teamers = 0
5 teamers = 0
6 teamers = 2.726%, $2726
I knew AG couldn't do it. But the only thing you really need to know is use Wong teasers.Last edited by raiders72001; 10-13-23 at 04:11 PM.
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