If North Carolina had beaten Duke in the ACC championship game and gotten the #1 overall seed the odds would be much lower.
UNC has a solid path, Auburn has no size and likes to play fast, Auburn plays UNC after having to sit for 4 days not while they were shooting well.
The UNC-Duke ACC championship game was misleading, Duke was the much more motivated team since they lost to UNC twice already and they still barely won the game.
UNC is a better team than Virginia, the UNC-Virginia game UNC lost by 7 was misleading because UNC was winning late before Cam Johnson got hurt, Virginia shot 55% from the 3 point line and was still losing the game in the second half before Johnson went out, UNC only shot 30% from the 3 point line.
UNC should be fine against Houston, Kentucky, or Tennesee, all good teams but a tier below the top ACC teams.
At +800 if UNC gets to the national championship game there will be opportunities to hedge, UNC-Duke or UNC-Gonzaga lines will likely be pick'em.
UNC has a solid path, Auburn has no size and likes to play fast, Auburn plays UNC after having to sit for 4 days not while they were shooting well.
The UNC-Duke ACC championship game was misleading, Duke was the much more motivated team since they lost to UNC twice already and they still barely won the game.
UNC is a better team than Virginia, the UNC-Virginia game UNC lost by 7 was misleading because UNC was winning late before Cam Johnson got hurt, Virginia shot 55% from the 3 point line and was still losing the game in the second half before Johnson went out, UNC only shot 30% from the 3 point line.
UNC should be fine against Houston, Kentucky, or Tennesee, all good teams but a tier below the top ACC teams.
At +800 if UNC gets to the national championship game there will be opportunities to hedge, UNC-Duke or UNC-Gonzaga lines will likely be pick'em.