sharing with you my betting/ money management plan for college hoops season...

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  • pags11
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-18-05
    • 12264

    #1
    sharing with you my betting/ money management plan for college hoops season...
    OK guys,

    I've tweaked my system a bit from last year, but not much. Here it is:

    Understand that I play all of my basketball games for the same size, one unit. Very rarely will I post a double unit play (did so 4 times I believe last year), or a half unit play (usually during the conference tourneys, but did have one this past week with USC +17 at Kansas). There are seventeen weeks to the season (including conf. tourneys, but not including the NCAA tourney). I break them down as folllows:

    Week One: 23 games
    Week Two: 23 games
    Week Three: 23 games
    Week Four 23 games
    Week Five 15 games (finals week)
    Week Six: 23 games
    Week Seven: 15 games (Christmas break)
    Week Eight: 28 games (start of conference play for most)
    Week Nine: 28 games
    Week Ten: 28 games
    Week Eleven: 28 games
    Week Twelve: 28 games
    Week Thirteen: 28 games
    Week Fourteen: 28 games
    Week Fifteen: 28 games
    Week Sixteen: 28 games
    Week Seventeen 28 games at a half unit each
    NCAA Tournament: Bracket Contests only, no single game bets

    So, this year I started betting right away and feel I've got a better beat on teams (whereas last year I waited until the end of week 3 to start playing). I almost always play an odd number of games. I believe you either have a winning or losing day, no "eating the juice" days for the most part for me.

    During conference play I usually break the number of games per day as such:

    Sun. 3 games
    Mon. 3 games
    Tue. 5 games (sometimes 3)
    Wed. 5 games (sometimes 7)
    Thu. 5 games
    Fri. day off, you need it in college hoops...very much a grind...
    Sat. 7 games

    Usually people want to bet the board on Saturdays, but I've learned to be selective. No parlays, no teasers, no ML plays, strictly straight wagers. If you go 4-1 or 1-4 you move onto the next day. A couple of other things I try to do is pick out 15 conferences at the beginning of the year and only wager on games where I bet a team from one of those conferences (wagering against a conference out of the 15 is ok). I still follow the other conferences, but I don't get to watch a whole lot of Big Sky, Patriot League or Big South games. I've found it better to stear clear of those conferences (very much like betting MAC and Sun Belt games in college football)...I rarely bet a favorite over -3 and will most likely bet almost all underdogs in the conference tourneys (weird shit happens).

    Also, I've had a lot of success just entering into bracket contests instead of playing individual games. I've seen a lot of guys get hammered come tourney time and there's a better risk to reward ratio in doing the bracket contests...

    I will post my picks in the "Best Bets" section on the days I wager (most of the time I remember to do it).

    At any rate, that's my game plan for the year. Best of luck to everyone. Feel free to comment.
    Last edited by pags11; 12-09-06, 02:40 AM.
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    Very sound strategy Pags.
    Comment
    • pags11
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-18-05
      • 12264

      #3
      thanks dan...
      Comment
      • dave11486
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-25-06
        • 999

        #4
        pags stop being so disciplined haha
        Comment
        • pags11
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-05
          • 12264

          #5
          dave,

          lol...keep up the good work man...I see you've been doing well...
          Comment
          • austintx05
            SBR MVP
            • 08-24-06
            • 3156

            #6
            Good insight...keep it up
            Comment
            • BuddyBear
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-10-05
              • 7233

              #7
              So Pags...if I understood it correctly...you don't bet the tournament games at all or under any circumstances?

              Nice writeup and very insightful...
              Comment
              • Patrick McIrish
                SBR MVP
                • 09-15-05
                • 2864

                #8
                Good job Pags, thanks for sharing. Interesting stuff.
                Comment
                • Checkerboard
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-15-06
                  • 7798

                  #9
                  hey, I just saw this pags . . . thanks for this!
                  Comment
                  • pags11
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-18-05
                    • 12264

                    #10
                    buddy,

                    yes, that's correct...I've never actually played a game individually in the tourney (other than when I get to the elite eight with my bracket contests and have occasionally hedged)...I've messed around picking games in my head and have done terribly...if I were to do so, it would probably be strictly in the first round...

                    austin,

                    thanks man...

                    patrick,

                    no sweat...thanks very much...

                    checkerboard,

                    glad you enjoyed this...
                    Comment
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