Nba road system 2011- 12

shinnman · 01-06-12, 09:39 PM

ughhhh

horseface2721 · 01-06-12, 09:58 PM

C'mon jazz!!

Allbust · 01-06-12, 10:01 PM

Here we go again with the jazz..

sthrncross · 01-06-12, 10:05 PM

+0.5 Jazz 2nd half, let's get this fehking done

shinnman · 01-06-12, 10:08 PM

we need to put some wins together, my labby numbers are gettin kinda big

horseface2721 · 01-06-12, 10:08 PM

Just booked jazz +.5

shinnman · 01-06-12, 10:09 PM

i got it at pick

shinnman · 01-06-12, 10:12 PM

my calculations have us losing 7 out of last 8 bets, its gonna turn around now

Allbust · 01-06-12, 10:14 PM

Come on D howard..

horseface2721 · 01-06-12, 10:16 PM

Hang in there Howard

horseface2721 · 01-06-12, 10:17 PM

First game of a series to have went 4 plays also ....

sthrncross · 01-06-12, 10:36 PM

looks like we need the Hawks to win the series for us, ORL straight blows, as does the Jazz

Allbust · 01-06-12, 10:36 PM

Big damage from orlando

horseface2721 · 01-06-12, 10:37 PM

Orlando dooms us. Bulls cost me a lot of $

merikson · 01-06-12, 10:50 PM

How many series wins will it take to off-set a series loss?

horseface2721 · 01-06-12, 10:52 PM

One

merikson · 01-06-12, 10:58 PM

Using the a Martingale, I think it would take 80+ series wins to make up for a series loss.

sthrncross · 01-06-12, 11:00 PM

Jazz keep up this 4th qtr play we'll close this series 4/6

horseface2721 · 01-06-12, 11:05 PM

Someone needs to explain this. Am I doing this right? Bet 12.50 if it loses bet 25 if it loses bet 50 if that loses bet 100 then 200 and 400.

jturn49 · 01-06-12, 11:06 PM

keep it up jazz playing well right now

shinnman · 01-06-12, 11:07 PM

it ould cost 63 units plus all the juice, with the labby i run a series loss cost 7.5 units, there are drawbacks though, you could actually loose money with a series win , but i believe in the system and i know we will have a streak here soon

jturn49 · 01-06-12, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by SOLAMAN

NBA ROAD SYSTEM .... HALVES / ATS
(EXPLANATION REVISTED FOR 2011 - 12)

THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half.Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details.

RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS)

1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.
2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games.
3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc.
4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details)
5. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play.
6. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers.

* 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series
* 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series
* 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series
* 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series

BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110)

First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ......... ????????

EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, PHO

1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss
2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 2.1 ...... results - loss
3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win

The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won.

Comments: The system will start in Jan and go thru Apr with Apr being optional. During full seasons I usually stop at the end of March. I will consider no plays after the middle of Apr.

This is my 9th year and have won every year. This year will be different because of the short season.

THE SCHEDULES WILL BE POSTED BEFORE JAN.

the bet progression for one unit is included in this post hf

shinnman · 01-06-12, 11:12 PM

ya horse, thats why your original unit needs to be about 2% of your bankroll, its a marathon not a sprint

merikson · 01-06-12, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by merikson

Using the a Martingale, I think it would take 80+ series wins to make up for a series loss.

Using -110 per bet

1st loss = -1.1
2nd loss = -2.31
3rd loss = -4.85
4th loss = -10.19
5th loss = -21.40
6th loss = -43.84

Total loss from 1 series is -83.69 units.

Using -105 per bet

1st loss = -1.05
2nd loss = -2.15
3rd loss = -4.41
4th loss = -9.04
5th loss = -18.53
6th loss = -37.99

Total loss from 1 series is -73.17 units.

I'm not sure the exact plays for this season, but I'm assuming it would be impossible using the Martingale to finish in the plus with even 1 series loss.

shinnman · 01-06-12, 11:16 PM

hope you didnt give up yet hf, utah startin our turn around

jturn49 · 01-06-12, 11:16 PM

alright jazz

shinnman · 01-06-12, 11:17 PM

well asu your wrong but either way no one is making you bet bro

horseface2721 · 01-06-12, 11:18 PM

Didn't give up. Just lost a portion of the bank roll on bulls

jturn49 · 01-06-12, 11:18 PM

i think there are 100 plays with 13 optional (after april 10)

horseface2721 · 01-06-12, 11:25 PM

What are your unit plays? How much is one unit ?

merikson · 01-06-12, 11:26 PM

Originally posted by shinnman

well asu your wrong but either way no one is making you bet bro

lol, what is wrong with my math, bro?

I'm not betting, I'm observing. Just shedding some light for sheeps, such as yourself. I wish everyone luck, but using the Martingale has the serious potential to be devastating to a BR.

horseface2721 · 01-07-12, 12:53 AM

Plays for tomorrow. Hawks? Who else?

Swan4brownlow · 01-07-12, 02:52 AM

Yeh the longer lasting series really hurts the labby. I started my second labby at 3 lines of 4 10's and now my first and 3rd lines are in the 20s and my second line is 15's. Hopefully with a few wins soon I can cross off some numbers and divide down to some lower numbers!

zlajci · 01-07-12, 03:48 AM

Originally posted by horseface2721

Plays for tomorrow. Hawks? Who else?

Check

SOLAMAN · 01-07-12, 10:13 AM

NBA ROAD SYSTEM UPDATE THRU 1/6
HALVES / ATS / 2011 - 12
SERIES RECORD 9 - 0
PENDING: 1

SUMMARY:

1ST PLAY OF SERIES.........4
2ND PLAY OF SERIES........ 3
3RD PLAY OF SERIES.........1
4TH PLAY OF SERIES......... 1
5TH PLAY OF SERIES.........x
6TH PLAY OF SERIES.........x
LOSS.................................x

STD PROGRESSION / UNITS + 9.0
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Comments: Tough luck with the Chi road series! The series extends to the last game of the series. This is when a series gets tough starting with the 5<SUP>th</SUP> play if you are using the std progression. This occurs a few times each season when a series goes this deep. Again my goal is for one cover in 6 plays regardless when it occurs, although I prefer it early. <o

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