How to wind up on the wrong side of a rigged number

**raiders510** · 12-28-10, 01:10 AM

yup, they got ya....u will make it back tomorrow night on the lakers though, right?

**Pauulzcappin** · 12-28-10, 01:10 AM

This game should have gone over 215, seriously.

GSW held Philly to only 95 pts.

**chimp** · 12-28-10, 01:10 AM

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 01:12 AM

Originally posted by chimp

Confusing for you, I know.

No surprise there, either.

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 01:13 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

This game should have gone over 215, seriously.

GSW held Philly to only 95 pts.

Correct me if I'm wrong, Paul, but GS unders have been a cash cow this year. I do believe Philly was 18-11 in favor of unders coming in, and GS was 19-11.

GS holding a team to 95 -- especially on a back to back coming off a big road win -- is not news.

**Pauulzcappin** · 12-28-10, 01:14 AM

GSW allows 106.7 points at home in avg. Books are setting the totals too high but they are still a shitty defensive team. They look sharper now, though.

**Pauulzcappin** · 12-28-10, 01:16 AM

Additionally, they are 7-7 on OU at home this season... they are hitting over 60% on road unders though.

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 01:18 AM

GS, at times now that Smart is the coach, really likes to slow it down, Paul. It's no surprise that playing an under generator like Philly when both teams played yesterday led to a lower-scoring game for at least one of the teams.

Let me add, also, that the game just happened to be at 104 points at half, and the 2H line just happened to be 100.5. So the last point pushed both the game and 2H total over.

Under is 7-1 in PHI last 8 road games.
Under is 7-1 in PHI last 8 vs. NBA Pacific.

Under is 8-2 in GS last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.

**classhandicapper** · 12-28-10, 01:19 AM

Golden State is much better than people think. Lee missed a bunch of games and was less than 100% for awhile after that (his elbow may still be less than 100%). Curry has missed a bunch of games with an ankle sprain and played in a few at less than 100%. Biedrens has been out for quite awhile also.

When they are finally 100% they will give a lot of teams fits.

**Pauulzcappin** · 12-28-10, 01:20 AM

The line was sharp afterall, we move on.

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

The line was sharp afterall, we move on.

It was beyond sharp.

It opened at 204, crept up to the 205.5 range and killed everyone who bet the over there, then -- as it dipped late and picked up all of the under suckers like myself -- did it's job before the bump back to 204.5 at close.

The NBA is the NBA, Paul -- "sharp" doesn't quite cover it sometimes.

Remember those two unders I hit earlier? All of this can be very calculated.

**res10** · 12-28-10, 01:25 AM

this game cost me my five team totals parlay could not believe the last 3 min everything was dropping

**hawley** · 12-28-10, 01:26 AM

NoCoin

in your honest opinion can you tell me who you think was involved in this rigged number?

because i agree that a whole bunch of dodgy stuff happens in the NBA but i just cant get my head around how it really is possible

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 01:35 AM

Originally posted by hawley

NoCoin

in your honest opinion can you tell me who you think was involved in this rigged number?

because i agree that a whole bunch of dodgy stuff happens in the NBA but i just cant get my head around how it really is possible

In a game where the outcome is already decided, the total becomes very suspect. Check closely at how the refs are calling the game (whether tight or loose).

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 01:38 AM

There were 18 fourth quarter FT's in this game, yet only 23 in the first three quarters combined.

And it's not like we're talking about a squeaker here, folks.

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 01:39 AM

You have to get lucky, too -- GS hitting 15 of 23 threes

doesn't exactly help.

**Dexter** · 12-28-10, 12:17 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

In a game where the outcome is already decided, the total becomes very suspect. Check closely at how the refs are calling the game (whether tight or loose).

just out of curiosity, who decided the outcome of last nights game? and when you say outcome decided, do you simply mean the winner ATS?

**TakeIt** · 12-28-10, 12:26 PM

originally posted by No Coincidences...I got suckered in the GS/PHI game. With about 20 minutes to go before tip, Pinny did a head fake and dropped the total to 203.5. I bit and grabbed the under 204 at my book. Pinny goes back to 204.5 a few minutes later (opener was 204), and I realize I'm fvcked. They got me. Sure enough, 58 points in the 4Q of a game out of reach between two teams on back-to-back games leads to -- surprise, surprise -- 205 points. Hook, line, sinker.

since you know you got fvcked, it would have been a simple matter to go double the other way and collect the easy money. why didn't you do that?

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 02:06 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

just out of curiosity, who decided the outcome of last nights game? and when you say outcome decided, do you simply mean the winner ATS?

It was a 14-point game midway through the 4Q. That's what I meant; that the outcome wasn't in doubt down the stretch of that game.

**Dexter** · 12-28-10, 02:09 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

It was a 14-point game midway through the 4Q. That's what I meant; that the outcome wasn't in doubt down the stretch of that game.

gotcha..my bad

**yisman** · 12-28-10, 03:30 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Remember those two unders I hit earlier? All of this can be very calculated.

what can be calculated?

**lyon804** · 12-28-10, 04:06 PM

Man..... after reading this thread I think I will quit gambling permanately. For years I have been worried about the "rigged" games and now I find I have to worry about the "rigged" number too???

We should all find a safer hobbie

**raiders510** · 12-28-10, 04:57 PM

lyon, noco said it earlier, you just gotta find the right side of the fix!

**Michaelmakesit** · 12-28-10, 05:41 PM

how the fk do the books make the numbers so close to the ending scores?

wtf?

**raiders510** · 12-28-10, 05:43 PM

the NBA is a calculated system....which has variables in place to ensure that vegas makes money

those variables are called referees

**Whippit** · 12-28-10, 05:49 PM

op sounds paranoid

**Snowball** · 12-28-10, 05:51 PM

tough break.. I don't base my NBA plays on LM.. but if you're
going to use that as a primary factor, remember that
the later the LM (closer to game time), the more relevant it is.
Just like in your chain of events.. early LM was wrong, late LM was right.

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 05:56 PM

Originally posted by lyon804

Man..... after reading this thread I think I will quit gambling permanately. For years I have been worried about the "rigged" games and now I find I have to worry about the "rigged" number too???

We should all find a safer hobbie

It's all about being on the right side of the number, lyon, whether it be a side or total.

Books told us late what that side was here. Unfortunately, I wasn't watching closely enough. By the time I realized it, it was too late.

**No coincidences** · 12-28-10, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by Michaelmakesit

how the fk do the books make the numbers so close to the ending scores?

wtf?

The numbers are just "very sharp."

**gv12** · 12-28-10, 06:23 PM

GL today guys, which game is the right play today?