San Antonio (25-3) at Orlando (16-12)
I had this game with a projected spread of -3 for the Spurs. Normally I would see value with the Spurs here.
There are 3 things that favor the Magic in this spot.
I expect the Spurs to regress a little to the mean, while I see the Magic getting back to their elite ways starting tonight.
Magic -2 (3 units)
Also leaning MIA/PHO under 209. Not big on taking Suns' unders especially at home, but the Heat are the #2 defensive team overall and #1 on the road and have gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games on the road. The Suns have gone Under 4-1 in Suns last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
I had this game with a projected spread of -3 for the Spurs. Normally I would see value with the Spurs here.
There are 3 things that favor the Magic in this spot.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- The Spurs coming off a hard, emotional game last night having to fly and play a back to back game on the East coast.
- Why in the world would the lines makers give the Spurs points when they'd have public backing even with a -3 spread. That's a almost a 6 point sway.
I expect the Spurs to regress a little to the mean, while I see the Magic getting back to their elite ways starting tonight.
Magic -2 (3 units)
Also leaning MIA/PHO under 209. Not big on taking Suns' unders especially at home, but the Heat are the #2 defensive team overall and #1 on the road and have gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 games on the road. The Suns have gone Under 4-1 in Suns last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
