Seems like teams playing on consecutive days are actually getting stronger.
Bucks and Warriors baffled me tonight with their 4Q performances.
Bucks and Warriors baffled me tonight with their 4Q performances.
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it's priced inComment -
Earl Boykins had the best game of his career probably tonight, but Bucks looked sharp defensively.
Monta Ellis is just a beast.Comment -
Yea. That's one of the reasons why I liked the Lakers tonight. IDK wtf happened though.Comment -
it's priced into the line already
there's no accounting for the in-game bsComment -
plus GS only had 7 players for the 4Q and OT after Amundsen fouled out.[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
Lakers were coming off a long road trip and were playing their 1st game at home. Always fade them on their 1st game back. Bucks just played plain gutsy all throughout and they deserved the win.Comment -
No its not dead...the key is picking your spots...bucks and warriors were the right plays tonight.Comment -
lakers were legimate double digit point faves imo
just too hard to predict when an opponent decides to bring "A" game to LA
add in shitloads of lucky shots & you have the bucks not just covering, but winning outrightComment -
"fading teams on a B2B" usually does not work this early into the season. Teams are fresh and historically the Bucks have played the Lakeshow well. I think the Portland game last night was a huge red flag for people to take the Lakers - Milwaukee looked like they were looking forward to this game and did not play at all last night. They gave it their all today and it showed.
As for the GS game, well, they were clearly gassed by the 4th. The Kings just have the ability to shit games in the 4th that you cannot take them in any spot. Cousins and Evans are bonehead players and I feel for Westphal because he is a decent coach but he cannot do anything if these two players continuously commit stupid errors.Comment -
Bucks were actually one of my highest rated plays tonight. There were 3 angles which were going against lakers tonight. I had Bucks +12.
Warriors...I know this team inside out...they are my local team...I have predicted more than 90% of their games correctly this season on ATS....I knew they would keep it close or win SU. B2B doesn't apply to warriors as they are a very young team...besides they had to just travel 60 miles to sacremento.....so traveling wasn't a factor. Besides, kings stink and warriors are a much better team than people give credit.Comment -
Why not say it before the game thenComment -
Lakers were definitely legit double digit faves, with Milwaukee on the tail end of a back to back and missing core pieces.
Sometimes good teams throw up a real stinker, and that's what happened tonight.
It doesn't mean the line was way off.[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
Looking at the records from past years, i dont see how this has ever been profitable.
B2B is already accounted for in the line you get. There is no advantage to be played. I think its silly when people throw that into their break down of a game as if its a death sentence.
There are some teams worth fading and some worth tailing on B2B that are an exception, but overall its pretty meaningless. Not only is b2b meaningless, 4 games in 5 nights is meaningless too and 5 games in 7 nights just the same.
Its an 82 game season with 15 guys on each roster. Being tired is overblown, these are pro athletes. And on top of that you have the bookies that know these situations better then you do so even if a team is tired its already reflected in the line way before you think you found an edge there.Comment -
This is something you consider towards the last 30 games of the season NC, especially with the older teams like the Spurs who will struggle on B2Bs later in the season most likelyCause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
Agreed. Just like some teams have more significant home court than others, b2b affects some teams more than others, depending on things like travel, overall fitness, and age.[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
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[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]Comment -
bucks team = bogut + boykinsComment -
fading the NETS against the HORNETS is a great idea.. especially 1st QTR
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Nets are:
6-1 ATS B2B
6-0 ATS B2B vs teams with a .500 record
4-1 ATS B2B on the road
4-0 ATS B2B on the road vs teams with a .500
Fading the Nets is a greatidea.Comment -
It's too early in the season to follow the B2B trend, a lot of amateurs make the mistake of thinking this is profitable before we even reached the xmas. But when you just had an entire summer to train and get your stamina up, it's going to take a while before the season wears down on you.Comment -
B2B Since February last season 131-141
B2B Since February 2008 season 119-120
250-261 over the last 2 years. Thats 49% ATS. 51% if you fade.
These numbers are even worse if you count from March, with teams cover more then 50%.
This isn't profitable period. Late season or not.Comment
