Philly +9.5 @ Orlando?

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  • STC
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-03-10
    • 195

    #1
    Philly +9.5 @ Orlando?
    76ers ATS away 7-4-1
    Magic ATS home 6-6

    76ers ATS (last 10) 9-1
    Magic ATS (last 10) 3-7

    Orlando have lost 5 of their last 6 (mostly on the road though) and Philly have some decent recent form (7-3 SU, mostly home) but their losses were to the Lakers, Boston by 1 and Atlanta by 5. Of their 16 losses, only 5 times has it gone over 9.5 and 3 of those games were against Miami, SAS and the Lakers, which they kept close for 3 qtrs.

    I think the 6ers with the points are a solid play here.
    My 'One play a day, eventually turn into a fade thread' thread
    http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...de-thread.html
    YTD: 2-0 (+1.78 units)
  • hawley
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-10-10
    • 14270

    #2
    phillies 4th game in 5 days i believe
    Comment
    • jking0606
      Restricted User
      • 12-16-10
      • 558

      #3
      hey good insight like the ats stats.. all i need to see!! stats dont lie!!! good research im on board!!!
      Comment
      • Pauulzcappin
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-23-10
        • 20295

        #4
        blowout city tomorrow. travelling to orlando after a tough loss at home against the lakers.

        schedule getting harder and they should fade with it.
        Comment
        • jking0606
          Restricted User
          • 12-16-10
          • 558

          #5
          nah 6ers 3 games in past 5 days 1 on 1off... they should be fine!!!
          Comment
          • jking0606
            Restricted User
            • 12-16-10
            • 558

            #6
            orlando i think has a hard time covering the 9.5 its a lot.. we see this all the time up by 15 with 5 mins to go an it get cut to 7 an then its a game... thanks for the insight made me think it some.. im gonna stay away!!!
            Comment
            • STC
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-03-10
              • 195

              #7
              Nothing about Orlando's recent games suggests that they will blow them out though.. the earlier Magic perhaps but they're terrible at the moment whereas Philly are playing well.
              My 'One play a day, eventually turn into a fade thread' thread
              http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...de-thread.html
              YTD: 2-0 (+1.78 units)
              Comment
              • hockeynut
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-02-10
                • 891

                #8
                Here's an interesting stat I dug up.

                After a loss losing by more than 10, the sixers have not lost by more than 9 points the game after that this season.

                L 99-86 Oct 30th
                Next game L 116-115

                L 116-93 Nov 13th
                Next game L 101-93

                L 106-90 Nov 24th
                Next game L 99-90

                This may not mean anything, but so far they have not lost by more than 9 after a more than 10 point loss. Perhaps they keep this one close.
                Comment
                • Avon Barksdale
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-16-10
                  • 838

                  #9
                  Is Vince Carter even going to play? He's close to getting traded for Arenas I think and they don't usually use players who may be traded for injury reasons.
                  Barksdale NBA Picks
                  Record: 27-12-1 [69.2%]
                  Comment
                  • jking0606
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-16-10
                    • 558

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Avon Barksdale
                    Is Vince Carter even going to play? He's close to getting traded for Arenas I think and they don't usually use players who may be traded for injury reasons.
                    havnt heard nothing bout this trade??
                    Comment
                    • Avon Barksdale
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-16-10
                      • 838

                      #11
                      Google is your friend.
                      Barksdale NBA Picks
                      Record: 27-12-1 [69.2%]
                      Comment
                      • STC
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-03-10
                        • 195

                        #12
                        Originally posted by hockeynut
                        Here's an interesting stat I dug up.

                        After a loss losing by more than 10, the sixers have not lost by more than 9 points the game after that this season.

                        L 99-86 Oct 30th
                        Next game L 116-115

                        L 116-93 Nov 13th
                        Next game L 101-93

                        L 106-90 Nov 24th
                        Next game L 99-90

                        This may not mean anything, but so far they have not lost by more than 9 after a more than 10 point loss. Perhaps they keep this one close.
                        I like it

                        Add to that -
                        L 97-87 Oct 27th
                        Next game L 104-101
                        My 'One play a day, eventually turn into a fade thread' thread
                        http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...de-thread.html
                        YTD: 2-0 (+1.78 units)
                        Comment
                        • hockeynut
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-02-10
                          • 891

                          #13
                          I like it too. I think I convinced myself this is the best play tomorrow. And with a trade rumour swirling over their heads. This seems like a great pick.



                          I'm a little surprised with this line to be honest. With how the sixers have been playing, and magic not playing well.
                          Comment
                          • scholesy
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-03-07
                            • 517

                            #14
                            Magic will blow them out from the start IMO
                            Comment
                            • JOHON8
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-28-10
                              • 7712

                              #15
                              If you weren't on the Philly train before, it's too late now, Orlando will blow them out comfortably.

                              If you think Philly covers because Orlando won't defend well enough then just take the over.
                              Comment
                              • chronic
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-16-10
                                • 11

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JOHON8
                                If you weren't on the Philly train before, it's too late now, Orlando will blow them out comfortably.
                                qft. orlando by 17
                                Comment
                                • Diesel79
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-27-08
                                  • 1001

                                  #17
                                  Orlando in a blowout.....
                                  Comment
                                  • STC
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-03-10
                                    • 195

                                    #18
                                    What about Orlando's form makes you think it will be a blowout? I'm not dismissing it as a possibility but you all seem so confident
                                    My 'One play a day, eventually turn into a fade thread' thread
                                    http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...de-thread.html
                                    YTD: 2-0 (+1.78 units)
                                    Comment
                                    • stakagrp
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-05-09
                                      • 237

                                      #19
                                      If Philly were playing at home then I think they might have a chance covering the spread but they are horrid playing on the road, which will also affect their confidence in playing the game. Too many factors going against Philly in this game with them playing a road game, on a b2b, and that within the last 10 games they've played in Orlando they've lost 6 of them by double digits and another by 9. They may play well at home but they need to prove themselves on the road (2-10 SU). Maybe consider looking into a better game or just wait another day.
                                      Comment
                                      • STC
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-03-10
                                        • 195

                                        #20
                                        In to +6.5 now
                                        My 'One play a day, eventually turn into a fade thread' thread
                                        http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...de-thread.html
                                        YTD: 2-0 (+1.78 units)
                                        Comment
                                        • hawley
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-10-10
                                          • 14270

                                          #21
                                          my local still has it at +9.5

                                          might have to have a shot at it now
                                          Comment
                                          • brahmabull117
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 8622

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by stakagrp
                                            If Philly were playing at home then I think they might have a chance covering the spread but they are horrid playing on the road, which will also affect their confidence in playing the game. Too many factors going against Philly in this game with them playing a road game, on a b2b, and that within the last 10 games they've played in Orlando they've lost 6 of them by double digits and another by 9. They may play well at home but they need to prove themselves on the road (2-10 SU). Maybe consider looking into a better game or just wait another day.
                                            76ers are 7-3 ATS on the road

                                            yea their W-L record is awful but they have covered most spreads and they will cover this one tonight. They may even win this outright considering the magic have no bench at all tonight
                                            Comment
                                            • hockeynut
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-02-10
                                              • 891

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by STC
                                              In to +6.5 now
                                              Yeah me as well. Me and you should have gone with our instincts last night and went when it was +9.5. Oh well, I'm still confident in the +6.5 play.
                                              Comment
                                              • STC
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-03-10
                                                • 195

                                                #24
                                                I did jump on last night although i'm running 2/3 game teasers these days so i got them at +13.5 i think
                                                My 'One play a day, eventually turn into a fade thread' thread
                                                http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...de-thread.html
                                                YTD: 2-0 (+1.78 units)
                                                Comment
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