Betting the WNBA

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  • newb411breaker19
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-21-05
    • 421

    #1
    Betting the WNBA
    I wish statfox had the game results for 2004 and 2005 but what I found in 2003 was very cool. 272 games went under and 237 games went over. that's a 53.5% bias towards the under. If you played the under on every game you still would've profited 10 units. And if you eliminated the 5 games who's totals was between 120 and 124 that would be 272 under and 232 over, nearly a 54% bias to the under. wow i hope ive convinced everyone to bet wnba totals in the summer. i know i will be. I just hope that hasn't changed in the last couple of seasons because maybe it has
    Last edited by newb411breaker19; 02-19-06, 09:58 AM.
  • BuddyBear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-10-05
    • 7233

    #2
    thanks Newb...that's some really interesting information. I would think that perhaps last year was an anomaly of sorts b/c typically it o/u over the course of a season tend to be roughly 50/50....but I'll keep my eye on that one.
    Comment
    • bigboydan
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 08-10-05
      • 55420

      #3
      i've been thinking about betting on this sport sense last year. a few people sweat to me that there is alot of value betting on the WNBA.
      Comment
      • Alamorich
        SBR MVP
        • 12-28-05
        • 1475

        #4
        I have also been looking at the WNBA and am more than willing to give it a try.
        Comment
        • Dark Horse
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-14-05
          • 13764

          #5
          The lines are softer because not too many people bet on it, and games are easier to cap than in the NBA because you'll hardly ever find a team that takes the night off.
          Comment
          • aje
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-13-05
            • 284

            #6
            covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/wnba/teams/teams.html

            If you want more to research here you go.
            Comment
            • newb411breaker19
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-21-05
              • 421

              #7
              oh sweet aje thanks for that. I never would've found that on covers site.
              Comment
              • newb411breaker19
                SBR Sharp
                • 08-21-05
                • 421

                #8
                yeah, unfortunately 2003 was just an anomaly, sorry guys. but maybe in the WNBA they don't have as many off days like they seem to have in the nba
                Comment
                • aje
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-13-05
                  • 284

                  #9
                  Almost every year in every sport you'll find a trend that would have provided you a profit betting on it blindly. The only problem is it's hindsight. You may want to look at certain situations.
                  Comment
                  • bigboydan
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 55420

                    #10
                    i noticed that last year myself. covers does offer alot of info on this sport. i just hope that the techies will put a feed up on the SBR Odds service there for the wnba.
                    Comment
                    • Alamorich
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-28-05
                      • 1475

                      #11
                      Originally posted by aje
                      Almost every year in every sport you'll find a trend that would have provided you a profit betting on it blindly. The only problem is it's hindsight. You may want to look at certain situations.
                      Last in year college football I made up my mind to bet on the blind on certain teams either for or against based on my preseason handicapping and what I know about the publics tendencies in College football and it paid off in a huge way.
                      Comment
                      • aje
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-13-05
                        • 284

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Alamorich
                        Last in year college football I made up my mind to bet on the blind on certain teams either for or against based on my preseason handicapping and what I know about the publics tendencies in College football and it paid off in a huge way.
                        That's Great Bro! I like to see all do well. I still don't understand how that applies to the use of a spreadsheet. Unless maybe your betting solely on line moves.
                        Comment
                        • Alamorich
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-28-05
                          • 1475

                          #13
                          Don't know anything about spreadsheets...now that's sounding like work to me. What I'm talking about is spotting a trend early in it's developement and betting it blindly over time. If you have guessed right you will have struck a vein of gold.
                          Comment
                          • aje
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-13-05
                            • 284

                            #14
                            Alright that's cool. I understand. Your just trying to look for value with certain teams that the public's not on.
                            Comment
                            • imgv94
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-16-05
                              • 17192

                              #15
                              aje you will be receiving many rep points if you keep this up.
                              you have been very helpful! I will be voting for you right now!!

                              Very good my man!!
                              Comment
                              • mad
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-31-05
                                • 1278

                                #16
                                Yuck, Vagina Ball. Boys i wouldn't bet this with your money.
                                Comment
                                • imgv94
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-16-05
                                  • 17192

                                  #17
                                  I would bet it with there money, but not mine!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • mad
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-31-05
                                    • 1278

                                    #18
                                    You're right mate. They should've never been allowed to leave the kitchen. "Cook my dinner" is what i say. Plenty of time for basketball after you've done the washing up me lady.
                                    Comment
                                    • Dark Horse
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-14-05
                                      • 13764

                                      #19
                                      I think I have a pretty good idea how the totals are set for the WNBA and when a total is off. The crazy thing is that, using set parameters between projected and posted totals, the last two weeks of June (2005) produced a 6-7 record, then July jumped to 23-8, and August leveled off again, starting out 5-5. It's almost as if the books knowingly gave up their edge for a month...

                                      Anyway, I'll post the plays for July.
                                      Last edited by Dark Horse; 02-19-06, 09:08 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • Illusion
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 08-09-05
                                        • 25166

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by mad
                                        Yuck, Vagina Ball. Boys i wouldn't bet this with your money.
                                        I bet it a few times, but couldn't find an angle.

                                        BTW, I like your new avatar.
                                        Comment
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