Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest - Thursday, 3/6/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest - Thursday, 3/6/08
    Listen up, basketball experts. Starting Saturday (Mar 1) we will commence with the March Hoops Parlay Contest with the monthly grand prize a 22” widescreen LCD monitor. The rules are simple:

    1. Check in the NBA BASKETBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Posted spreads and totals are the only eligible plays for grading. Both NBA and NCAA games included.

    3. Two-game parlay picks, laying 10 to win 26. Post entire parlay at same time, no open parlays.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up, doesn’t have to be long, just a sentence or two about why you’re making your play. Here’s a THREAD from last year’s contest to be used for an example.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis for both games will be NO ACTION. Once your two-team parlay has been posted, you CANNOT change either play. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake (such as leaving out "Over" or "Under" or not clearly stating your selection), need to add analysis or wish to enter corrected lines, do so in a seperate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not tip off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not parlay selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:
    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per household and IP address.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one parlay pick per day, minimum 15 parlay plays needed to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker - Win % of individual parlay legs. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head parlay match until winner determined.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
    • Residents outside the Continental US may be awarded the cash value prize instead of the monitor.


  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       W/P     Units[/B]
    beaneaters 	4	1	0	94.00
    greek     	3	0	0	78.00
    The HG      	3	1	0	68.00
    rake922      	3	2	0	58.00
    Wrigley     	3	2	0	58.00
    sharktank1  	2	0	0	52.00
    babaoriley 	2	1	0	42.00
    Deke101   	2	1	0	42.00
    harsh506    	2	1	0	42.00
    ralquis       	2	1	0	42.00
    LT Profits	2	2	1	41.00
    20Four7     	2	2	0	32.00
    dannyt76 	2	2	0	32.00
    IHPuller   	2	2	0	32.00
    msubulldog	1	0	0	26.00
    Poker Beast	1	0	0	26.00
    louisvillekid  	2	3	0	22.00
    maestrobobcobb	2	3	0	22.00
    Cabo        	1	1	0	16.00
    myr10      	1	1	0	16.00
    pokernut9999	1	2	1	15.00
    awhitejackson	1	2	0	6.00
    justdoingit 	1	2	0	6.00
    Peyton2Marvin	1	2	0	6.00
    thezbar      	1	2	0	6.00
    brock      	1	3	0	-4.00
    LLXC       	1	3	0	-4.00
    rugbybdyb  	1	3	0	-4.00
    sir.civic   	1	3	0	-4.00
    szaidi99    	1	3	0	-4.00
    turnip     	1	3	0	-4.00
    VBOMBER  	1	3	0	-4.00
    Dark Horse	0	1	0	-10.00
    gzolling9783	0	1	0	-10.00
    imgv94       	0	1	0	-10.00
    indy62      	0	1	0	-10.00
    MadCapper 	0	1	0	-10.00
    Mr KLC      	0	1	0	-10.00
    OegNo    	0	1	0	-10.00
    rjt721      	0	1	0	-10.00
    charlie64  	1	4	0	-14.00
    diogee    	1	4	0	-14.00
    goldengoat    	1	4	0	-14.00
    mundane   	1	4	0	-14.00
    pavyracer    	1	4	0	-14.00
    regularguy  	1	4	0	-14.00
    dwaechte  	0	2	0	-20.00
    gizmo2431  	0	2	0	-20.00
    junkman773	0	2	0	-20.00
    louisvillekid1	0	2	0	-20.00
    McRich      	0	2	0	-20.00
    picantel      	0	2	0	-20.00
    Wyndham 	0	3	0	-30.00
    seaborneq     	0	4	1	-31.00
    Data         	0	4	0	-40.00
    xyzky     	0	4	0	-40.00
    Junkyard Dog	0	5	0	-50.00
    
    
    GAME-BY-GAME 
    [B]Name            W       L       P        Pct[/B]
    greek     	6	0	0	100.0%
    sharktank1  	4	0	0	100.0%
    msubulldog	2	0	0	100.0%
    Poker Beast	2	0	0	100.0%
    The HG      	7	1	0	87.5%
    babaoriley 	5	1	0	83.3%
    ralquis       	5	1	0	83.3%
    beaneaters 	8	2	0	80.0%
    dannyt76 	6	2	0	75.0%
    Cabo        	3	1	0	75.0%
    rake922      	7	3	0	70.0%
    Wrigley     	7	3	0	70.0%
    LT Profits	6	3	1	66.7%
    Deke101   	4	2	0	66.7%
    harsh506    	4	2	0	66.7%
    Peyton2Marvin	4	2	0	66.7%
    20Four7     	5	3	0	62.5%
    VBOMBER  	5	3	0	62.5%
    diogee    	6	4	0	60.0%
    louisvillekid  	6	4	0	60.0%
    mundane   	6	4	0	60.0%
    pavyracer    	6	4	0	60.0%
    pokernut9999	4	3	1	57.1%
    regularguy  	5	5	0	50.0%
    brock      	4	4	0	50.0%
    IHPuller   	4	4	0	50.0%
    LLXC       	4	4	0	50.0%
    sir.civic   	4	4	0	50.0%
    turnip     	4	4	0	50.0%
    gizmo2431  	2	2	0	50.0%
    junkman773	2	2	0	50.0%
    myr10      	2	2	0	50.0%
    Dark Horse	1	1	0	50.0%
    gzolling9783	1	1	0	50.0%
    imgv94       	1	1	0	50.0%
    indy62      	1	1	0	50.0%
    Mr KLC      	1	1	0	50.0%
    OegNo    	1	1	0	50.0%
    rjt721      	1	1	0	50.0%
    goldengoat    	4	5	1	44.4%
    seaborneq     	4	5	1	44.4%
    rugbybdyb  	3	4	1	42.9%
    charlie64  	4	6	0	40.0%
    maestrobobcobb	4	6	0	40.0%
    thezbar      	2	3	1	40.0%
    Wyndham 	2	3	1	40.0%
    awhitejackson	2	4	0	33.3%
    justdoingit 	2	4	0	33.3%
    Junkyard Dog	3	7	0	30.0%
    szaidi99    	2	6	0	25.0%
    dwaechte  	1	3	0	25.0%
    picantel      	1	3	0	25.0%
    xyzky     	1	7	0	12.5%
    Data         	0	8	0	0.0%
    louisvillekid1	0	4	0	0.0%
    MadCapper 	0	2	0	0.0%
    McRich      	0	4	0	0.0%
    Comment
    • 20Four7
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-08-07
      • 6703

      #3
      After a horrible February, I'm back on track. Thanks LT for all the hard work you put into this. I know this contest is helping my capping as I never really got into basketball.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        NBA Basketball

        Thu 3/6 501 Cleveland Cavaliers +3½ Over 194
        7:05PM (EST) 502 Chicago Bulls -3½ Under 194

        Thu 3/6 503 Indiana Pacers +13½ Over 196
        8:05PM (EST) 504 San Antonio Spurs -13½ Under 196

        Thu 3/6 505 Houston Rockets +1½ Over 184
        9:35PM (EST) 506 Dallas Mavericks -1½ Under 184


        NCAA Basketball

        Thu 3/6 507 Clemson -1½ Over 151
        7:00PM (EST) 508 Georgia Tech +1½ Under 151

        Thu 3/6 509 Connecticut -4½ Over 148½
        7:00PM (EST) 510 Providence +4½ Under 148½

        Thu 3/6 511 George Washington +9 Over 132
        8:00PM (EST) 512 NC Charlotte -9 Under 132

        Thu 3/6 513 Depaul +5½ Over 137
        7:30PM (EST) 514 Cincinnati -5½ Under 137

        Thu 3/6 515 Hawaii -5 Over 135
        8:00PM (EST) 516 Louisiana Tech +5 Under 135

        Thu 3/6 517 San Jose State +15 Over 145½
        8:30PM (EST) 518 New Mexico State -15 Under 145½

        Thu 3/6 519 Xavier -1½ Over 138½
        9:00PM (EST) 520 St Josephs +1½ Under 138½

        Thu 3/6 521 Arizona State +5½ Over 139
        8:30PM (EST) 522 Oregon -5½ Under 139

        Thu 3/6 523 Utah State +5 Over 153½
        9:00PM (EST) 524 Boise State -5 Under 153½

        Thu 3/6 525 UC Davis +15½ Over 130
        10:00PM (EST) 526 Cal Irvine -15½ Under 130

        Thu 3/6 527 California +8½ Over 145½
        10:30PM (EST) 528 USC -8½ Under 145½

        Thu 3/6 529 Cal Poly SLO pk Over 127
        10:00PM (EST) 530 Long Beach State pk Under 127

        Thu 3/6 531 Cal Santa Barbara +3 Over 140½
        10:00PM (EST) 532 CS Northridge -3 Under 140½

        Thu 3/6 533 Arizona -12 Over 135
        9:00PM (EST) 534 Oregon State +12 Under 135

        Thu 3/6 535 Stanford +8½ Over 127
        11:00PM (EST) 536 UCLA -8½ Under 127

        Thu 3/6 537 Wichita State +1 Over 126
        7:00PM (EST) 538 Indiana State -1 Under 126

        Thu 3/6 539 Evansville +10½ Over 129½
        9:30PM (EST) 540 Missouri State -10½ Under 129½
        Michigan State at Illinois
        Thu 3/6 541 Michigan State -2 Over 123
        9:00PM (EST) 542 Illinois +2 Under 123
        Comment
        • IHPuller
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-10-08
          • 333

          #5
          Spurs/Pacers Under 196: This has already dropped 1.5 pts and may drop more. The Spurs are clamping down on D and I dont see the Pacers scoring a ton in SA away from home.

          Michigan State -2: Hopefully Izzo can cure those road problems... I think they are rounding into form for the tourney. Tonight should be a good look into whether they are going to be worth anything in March-April...
          Comment
          • rugbybdyb
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-06-07
            • 997

            #6
            Cavs +3 1/2 -- I may be missing something here but last I looked Chicago was still not good and the Cavs are at least decent. After lebrons explosion last night I dont see a let down and I see a Cavs win by at least 5.

            Mavs/Rockets over 184 -- Although both the big men are out for this game for these two I think that will open up the middle and lets face it they still have people that can score...
            Comment
            • turnip
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-03-06
              • 940

              #7
              Providence College +4.5
              The Friars are a good 3-point shooting team, and to beat the Huskies you have to take advantage of their perimeter D, as they are so tough inside.

              CS Northridge -3
              The Gauchos had no answer for Tresvant in the first meeting of the series, and I doubt they will have one tonight.
              Comment
              • Junkyard Dog
                SBR MVP
                • 03-12-07
                • 4552

                #8
                501 Cleveland Cavaliers +3½ - taking the team with the best player on the court

                509 Connecticut -4½ - huskies are peaking at the right team and should destroy providence
                Comment
                • mundane
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-25-08
                  • 3592

                  #9
                  Houston Rockets +1½
                  needless to say, rockets have been playing great! i dont see any stopping now at dallas. they play good d as it is.. now they dnt even have to worry abt dirk on this game!?! if josh howard doesnt step up on this game, they have no shot at all. poor jason kidd. he's got no one to pass to. lol! kidding aside, i just don't see mavs winning this one without dirk.

                  Indiana Pacers/San Antonio Spurs Under 196
                  last meeting's total was 205 but this game will be played in san antonio, i expect spur's D and set plays would equal to a much low scoring ballgame. hopefully none of the spurs become trigger happy - which they might just do to seal the game and rest their starters (they play the next day in denver). i hope not tho.
                  Comment
                  • kkhimji2001
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 03-05-08
                    • 86

                    #10
                    i only have one bet to make today after my loss yesterday, what is the best pick?
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      ARIZONA STATE/OREGON UNDER 139: Arizona State plays a deliberate style, and their road games are only averaging 128.8 points this season. They have done a nice job of slowing the Oregon offense recently too, as the Under is 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head, with the last two meetings producing just 106 and 116 points respectively.

                      XAVIER/ST. JOSEPH'S UNDER 138.5: St. Joe's could be playing for their tournamnet lives here, and they know that their best chance of beating 25-4 Xavier is to slow the pace down, thereby limiting the amount of possessions for a Musketeers offense that is second in the country behind only Kansas in points per possession. Now we are not so sure the Hawks have enough to get that needed win over what we feel is an underrated Xavier team, but St. Jow will at least serve the purpose of keeping this game relatively low scoring.
                      Comment
                      • justdoingit
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-26-07
                        • 207

                        #12
                        Arizona -11.5 86% of public is on Arizona but line is moving towards oregon state.
                        Boise State -5 Again 70% people are on Boise but going towards utah looking for Boise to roll!
                        Comment
                        • seaborneq
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-08-06
                          • 22556

                          #13
                          St Joseph's +1.5, Xavier is HOT and tournament ready, let down time

                          Illinois +2, Mich St has the wicked home aura, not so much so on the road.
                          Comment
                          • sir.civic
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-21-08
                            • 154

                            #14
                            rockets +1.5....are mavs that hot?to beat a still burning rockets.no dirk,mavs crippled...so rockets all the way

                            cavs +3
                            chicago r home and they have lost there a couple of times its not unusual for them to lose.lebron n the cavs should b able to take them
                            Comment
                            • dannyt76
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 06-29-07
                              • 779

                              #15
                              CAVS +3: Lebron is dominating the competition and no reason it won't continue tonight on National TV. I had the Cavs favored in this game so I'll definitely take the points.

                              HOU +1.5: Rockets are on fire and 4-0 since Yao's injury. I keep betting against them with their DD spreads, but they keep covering. I'm taking them tonight against the Dirk-less Mavs. Rockets keep their streak going tonight.
                              Comment
                              • Deke101
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-15-07
                                • 1213

                                #16
                                Indiana State -1: This will be the third meeting between these two teams this season, they split the first two, and this is a Missouri Valley Conference tournament game being played on a neutral court. Indiana State is 8-10 in Conference play, and Wichita State is 4-14 in Conference play. I think Indiana State is coming in with the upper hand, and should win this game.

                                Wichita State @ Indiana State Over 125: Wichita State's last 7 games have gone over. Indiana State's last 9 games have gone Over.
                                Comment
                                • freeVICK
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-21-08
                                  • 7114

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by justdoingit
                                  Arizona -11.5 86% of public is on Arizona but line is moving towards oregon state.
                                  Boise State -5 Again 70% people are on Boise but going towards utah looking for Boise to roll!
                                  wouldnt that mean go with oregon st and utah state?
                                  Comment
                                  • harsh506
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-24-07
                                    • 489

                                    #18
                                    Rockets +1.5 16-0 NO DIRK...enuf said
                                    Xavier -1.5 I would like to see them keep rollin and put up a ton of points
                                    Comment
                                    • babaoriley
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-11-06
                                      • 2316

                                      #19
                                      AZ St./Oregon Under 139--- 129 would be more like it. LT already said quite a bit about this game but it was the first thing that jumped out at me last night. I figured the total would be set in the low 130's which is still too low, in my opinion. That said, normally when a line looks too good to be true...

                                      SA Under 196. Ditto on the "looks to good to be true" angle... I could easily see the Spurs coming out and hanging 30+ on Indy in the 1st. Scared about this one.
                                      Comment
                                      • justdoingit
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 09-26-07
                                        • 207

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by hawaii04
                                        wouldnt that mean go with oregon st and utah state?
                                        i meant to say people are putting a lot of money on the favs but the line isnt moving its actually moving towards the dogs making people think that people are actually putting money on the dogs. probably not more clear huh?
                                        Comment
                                        • freeVICK
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-21-08
                                          • 7114

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by justdoingit
                                          i meant to say people are putting a lot of money on the favs but the line isnt moving its actually moving towards the dogs making people think that people are actually putting money on the dogs. probably not more clear huh?
                                          those two picks actually stood out to me last night, but i think im going to pass on both. those line movements are just to sketchy for me.

                                          my guess is that the few people who bet on oregon state and utah state are the pro gamblers betting huge money?
                                          Comment
                                          • justdoingit
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-26-07
                                            • 207

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by hawaii04
                                            those two picks actually stood out to me last night, but i think im going to pass on both. those line movements are just to sketchy for me.

                                            my guess is that the few people who bet on oregon state and utah state are the pro gamblers betting huge money?
                                            I dont know i just started this system went 4 for 1 last night. Not saying i have found the answer but just checking this out. gl on your plays tonight!
                                            Comment
                                            • pokernut9999
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-25-07
                                              • 12757

                                              #23
                                              Clemson -1.5: Tigers on a roll and should win here.

                                              Oregon over 139 : Hoping Ducks light up scoreboard.
                                              Comment
                                              • The HG
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-01-06
                                                • 3566

                                                #24
                                                Indiana/San Antonio under 196 - I think the Spurs will control the pace and come away with a solid medium-scoring win.


                                                Indiana St -1 - Indiana St was inconsistent this year, but they are the better team here, and I think they should be able to pull it together and rise to the occasion and come out with a win.
                                                Comment
                                                • Wyndham
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-09-08
                                                  • 598

                                                  #25
                                                  Pacers-Spurs U196: Too high for most Spurs games (funnily enough I like O201.5 in tomorrow's game against Denver but that's a vastly different game). Indiana won't top 90, and I don't see the Spurs pouring in over 100. They slow it down too much.

                                                  Cavs +3.5: I capped Cleveland as the favorite and they're getting 3.5 (I have real money on them at +4). I can't bet against that for any reason. Maybe they lay an egg on a back-to-back, but I'll take my chances.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • louisvillekid
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-14-07
                                                    • 9262

                                                    #26
                                                    #514 Cincy -5.5 : Sr. Night for the Bearcats , i look for them to revenge last seasons loss at Depaul.

                                                    #523 Utah St. +5 : with Nelson hurting his ankle at the end of the game 2 games back that made him miss the last game against Hawaii , i'm sure he'll play for Sr. Night, but i'm not sure how well its healed. the Aggies are fighting for a good seed for the tourney.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brock
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-07-08
                                                      • 8257

                                                      #27
                                                      532 CS Northridge -3 This is one of those games that look
                                                      easy to me. Northridge at home should cover the three. I say
                                                      a ten to fifteen point win.

                                                      538 Indiana State -1 This would be a close game on a neutral
                                                      court. Home is big for Indiana St.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • maestrobobcobb
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-29-07
                                                        • 129

                                                        #28
                                                        Thursday Parlay of the Day

                                                        Seems like its all or nothing so far in March here's today's selections:

                                                        Arizona St/ Oregon under 139: last 3 years 4 out of 5 games have gone under total: last game total was only 116 should play under 139 tonight


                                                        Indiana St/Wichita St over 126: Both teams playing over lately Indiana St 9 straight "overs": Wichita St six straight "overs": last game total was at 134 points before overtime
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xyzky
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-23-07
                                                          • 1577

                                                          #29
                                                          541 Michigan State @ ILL Over 123
                                                          I think the pace will be higher than 123.
                                                          501 Cleveland Cavaliers @ CHI Over 194
                                                          I think that 207 will be the Over number.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • beaneaters
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 10-31-07
                                                            • 362

                                                            #30
                                                            Houston +1.5. The hottest team going, and you can't ignore the Dirk factor.

                                                            Cleveland +3.5. Cavs are 4-0 in their last back-to-back efforts, and Lebron should enjoy a national stage.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Wrigley
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-28-07
                                                              • 7268

                                                              #31
                                                              504 San Antonio Spurs Under 196
                                                              Look for the SA defense to shut down the Pacer offense I have this game high from 170 to low mid 180

                                                              508 Georgia Tech +1½
                                                              GEORGIA TECH is 8-2 straight up at home vs. CLEMSON since 1997
                                                              Comment
                                                              • diogee
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-11-08
                                                                • 19477

                                                                #32
                                                                St Joe +1.5 Xavier has already locked up the A-10 and St Joe is a bubble team needing this win badly. Senior night and on national television...I'll take the home dog.

                                                                Xavier/St Joe U 138.5
                                                                As stated above St Joe needs this win and their best chance is to buckle down and control this game.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • goldengoat
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-25-05
                                                                  • 3239

                                                                  #33
                                                                  boise st -5
                                                                  utah st can't win on the road

                                                                  uconn -4.5
                                                                  prov blows monkeys plus has a player hurt
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rjt721
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-06-07
                                                                    • 7929

                                                                    #34
                                                                    St. Joe's +1.5
                                                                    X playing for seeding, Joe's playing for its tourney life. Joe's matches up better with X than any team in the league - they have a PG in Carr that can put defensive pressure on Lavender, and in Ahmad Nivins they have an inside force to make make Duncan work on the defensive end. 3 disappointing losses in their L4 has left Joe's in dire need of a win if they're to have any hope of an at-large bid, and the Hawks led until the final minute at Xavier despite only getting 15 min. from Nivins as a result of foul trouble. Xavier's had many close encounters on the road in conf. play, and I think this is a spot they won't survive.

                                                                    Pacer/Spurs UNDER 196
                                                                    SA's clearly picked up its defense during its recent run. Game will be played in the half court, and the Spurs are just so difficult to score on. This is a game where Indy will struggle to surpass the mid 80s, leaving SA needing an offensive outburst (unlikely) to push the total over.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • charlie64
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-22-07
                                                                      • 398

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Parlay contest 3/6/08

                                                                      Clemson -2 over Ga Tech.


                                                                      Clemson comes into this game with a big win over Maryland,and sporting a (21-7) record,and (9-5) in the conference.Led by scoring leader K.C Rivers,and the rebounding,and 3pt shooting leader Trevor Booker,Clemson is having one of their better years in a long time.So they should be able to take care of Ga Tech.


                                                                      SanAntonio and Indiana under 197.5


                                                                      Even though the Pacers score allot of pts and give up allot of pts,the Spurs are ranked 3rd in total defense behind Boston,and Detroit,and they should have no trouble holding the Pacers under 197.5
                                                                      Comment
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