Hey fellow cappers, relatively new to sportscapping and was inspired by a number of great cappers. I tail the successful threads in attempts to learn the insights they consider when weighing options. So far I am disappointed but not surprised at my 15-16 record. Without a doubt I am a newbie and am at a learning stage, and am going to open this thread and post plays that I like a lot along with the reasons why. I want to find out what mistakes I am making, or what stats I am ignoring/unaware of, and hopefully I will get some feedback.
My goal is to hit 55-60% with plays that I post. (by no means the only plays that I bet on)
For tomorrow, personally see only 1 play that I like:
Miami @ Cleveland -- Under 192
A few stats:
-Cleveland worst home scoring team in the league, at 91.3
-Miami 24th in the league at scoring on the road, at 93.7
-Miami 4th in the league at road defense, at 93.7
-Cleveland 9th in the league at home defense, at 94.9
-Miami has never given up more than 100 points to a team with losing record this year
Game Dynamics:
Obviously, most anticipated regular season game of the year (maybe ever, for a regular season game), and on National TV. Both teams are looking forward to this game, and I feel that usually leads to better defense than the other way around. Cleveland will definitely try to be physical with the Heat (especially Lebron), and the Heat are capable of shutting down mediocre to poor offensive team, showcased by today's win over Detroit. I think both teams will be focused, and both teams have better defense than offense when they are focused.
I see a grind it out game; Cavs wouldn't want the Heat to run over them at home. Along with the season stats on these two teams, I like the under 192 for 2 units.
My goal is to hit 55-60% with plays that I post. (by no means the only plays that I bet on)
For tomorrow, personally see only 1 play that I like:
Miami @ Cleveland -- Under 192
A few stats:
-Cleveland worst home scoring team in the league, at 91.3
-Miami 24th in the league at scoring on the road, at 93.7
-Miami 4th in the league at road defense, at 93.7
-Cleveland 9th in the league at home defense, at 94.9
-Miami has never given up more than 100 points to a team with losing record this year
Game Dynamics:
Obviously, most anticipated regular season game of the year (maybe ever, for a regular season game), and on National TV. Both teams are looking forward to this game, and I feel that usually leads to better defense than the other way around. Cleveland will definitely try to be physical with the Heat (especially Lebron), and the Heat are capable of shutting down mediocre to poor offensive team, showcased by today's win over Detroit. I think both teams will be focused, and both teams have better defense than offense when they are focused.
I see a grind it out game; Cavs wouldn't want the Heat to run over them at home. Along with the season stats on these two teams, I like the under 192 for 2 units.
the Cavs fan brought out what was expected out of them, and in return Cavs bricked hard. They should've known well that this is the game of the year for them and the fans, and unlike failing in the playoffs where after a meltdown you are given several months for the fans for forget and forgive, this is in the middle of season and they have a lot to lose. They came out flat and joked around with Lebron, with no effort whatsoever after first several minutes. It was also funny they tried a fast paced offense. They did not stick to what they have to win. On the other hand, Lebron james's shot selection was consistant with shots he's taking this season-- absolutely horrible 20 foot jumpers. Miraclously everything dropped.