my nba plays

**Diesel79** · 10-28-10, 11:15 PM

Good start for the season...

YTD: 1 - 0

**Diesel79** · 10-30-10, 06:37 PM

My second play of the season is MIAMI -8,5

Miami last 2 games:

10/29/10 vs Orlando.... 26 point win (game was decided after 3 quarters when Heat was up by 24 points)
10/27/10 @ Philly .......10 point win (game was decided after 3 quarters when Heat was up by 26 points)

I have no idea why this line is so low.... the way Miami has played in their last 2 games, this most likely will be 20+ points blowout. I dont think Miami takes this game lightly because they already lost 1 game and New Jersey is 2-0 at the moment. I just cant see how could Nets stay close enough to cover..... maybe somekind of last minute crazy scoring from Nets gives them a cover but thats like 20 % chance of this happening...

**Diesel79** · 10-31-10, 02:35 PM

Well, it went pretty much like I thought...

YTD: 2 - 0

**Diesel79** · 11-02-10, 03:59 AM

11/02/10

ORLANDO -7

Last 3 games between Orlando and New York:

04/09/10 118-103 Orlando 15 point win (2-nd half Orlando was up by 24 points)
12/02/09 118-104 Orlando 14 point win (2-nd half Orlando was up by 24 again)
11/29/09 114-102 Orlando 12 point win (2-nd half Orlando was up by 15)

I cant see how could Knicks hold Orlando under 110-115 points. And Orlando defense has been great this far.... Miami scored 96 on them and Washington 83 and in preseason games their defense was even better..... opponents scored against them 76, 73, 67, 73, 81, 86 and 88 points.

Orlando has 3 off days since last game to prepare for the Knicks and I think they will take this game very seriously because the way they lost their last game...

**Diesel79** · 11-03-10, 03:10 AM

all the research for nothing.... game got postponed

**Diesel79** · 11-03-10, 05:38 AM

11/03/10

ORLANDO -17,5

I dont think this game will be much different than Miami-Minnesota game yesterday..... maybe backdoor cover for Minny but much more likely it will be 30+ point blowout

**Diesel79** · 11-03-10, 08:38 PM

Nice... Orlando 42 point win

YTD: 3 - 0

**thewazoo** · 11-04-10, 05:50 PM

nice

**awesomeness** · 11-04-10, 05:57 PM

Like your style...keep up the good work!

**Diesel79** · 11-04-10, 08:00 PM

11/05/10

ORLANDO -16

Orlando last 2 games against bad teams:

11/03/10 MIN 128-86..... 42 point win (+39 after 3 quarters)
10/28/10 WAS 112-83.... 29 point win (+31 after 3 quarters)

New Jersey only game so far against elite team:

10/31/10 MIA 78-101...... 23 point loss ( -24 after 3 quarters)

I cant see how could orlando score under 110-115 points here.... New Jersey has scored 83 and 78 points in their last 2 games and these were home games..... who is going to score for them tomorrow? Their leading scorer is Brook Lopez and his numbers from last season against Dwight were like this:

3 games
32 minutes per game
31,4 FG %
6 rebounds per game
11 points per game

Unless Devin Harris goes for 50, Nets have no chance keeping this under 25 point loss...

**treythewop** · 11-04-10, 08:04 PM

should change the thread name to orlando/Miami blowout thread, seems like a good strategy

**Diesel79** · 11-06-10, 04:28 AM

Orlando won by 15 points so first loss of the season for me...

YTD: 3 - 1

**Diesel79** · 11-07-10, 07:02 AM

11/07/10

LAKERS -7,5

Lakers have won their last 5 games pretty comfortably..... 4 of those have been at least 8 point wins and last game against Toronto was 5 point win only thanks to last second meaningless 3 pointer from Tor player.

This is back to back away game for Portland and also 5-th game in 7 days...

Last 5 games in LA against Portland:

04/11/10 88-91.... 3 point loss (and before that game LA was 2-4 in their last 6 games so clearly they were not rolling like they are now)
01/04/09 100-86... 14 point win
10/28/08 96-76..... 20 point win
04/02/08 104-91... 13 point win
02/26/08 96-83..... 13 point win

**Diesel79** · 11-08-10, 01:25 AM

Back on track..... Lakers 25 point win

YTD: 4 - 1

**Diesel79** · 11-09-10, 12:59 AM

11/09/10

MIAMI -10

Miami last 3 home games:
11/06/10 NJ 101-89...... 12 point win ( +19 after 3Q)
11/02/10 MIN 129-97...... 32 point win ( +28 after 3Q)
10/29/10 ORL 96-70....... 26 point win ( +24 after 3Q)

Utah last 2 games:
11/06/10 LAC 109-107.... 2 point win ( -3 after 3Q)
11/05/10 @GS 78-85....... 7 point loss (-4 after 3Q)

Utah will play 4 games in next 5 days.... all away games against Miami, Orlando, Atlanta and Charlotte. If Miami gets 10-15 point lead (and most likely they will), I dont think Utah puts up much of a fight and probably rests starters.... and Jazz bench has scored 9 and 16 points in last 2 games so no big threat from there either. Again, maybe back door cover but more likely Miami 15+ point win.

**Diesel79** · 11-09-10, 10:40 PM

I have to admit it I didnt see this coming..... Miami gives back 22 point lead and Paul Millsap scores career best 46 points. Very unlucky here...

YTD: 4 - 2

**Diesel79** · 11-10-10, 11:04 AM

11/10/10

ORLANDO -11

Back to back away game for Utah after yesterday miracle comeback and overtime win against Miami..... almost everything points to Orlando big win here

**Diesel79** · 11-10-10, 09:51 PM

Gambling gods must be against me.... I cant find any other reason why Im getting f....d like this 2 days in a row...

YTD: 4 - 3

**Diesel79** · 11-11-10, 03:29 AM

11/11/10

MIAMI -6,5

Miami last 3 home games:

11/09/10 UTA 114-116.... 2 point loss (+22 was Miami biggest lead)
11/06/10 NJ 101-89...... 12 point win (+21 was Miami biggest lead)
11/02/10 MIN 129-97...... 32 point win (+34 was Miami biggest lead)

Its not like Miami cant win their home games by 15-20 points against most teams..... question is are they ready to give 100% from start to finish..... and after loss in Boston and epic choke against Utah, motivation should not be any problem at all tonight...

**Diesel79** · 11-12-10, 08:02 AM

Another loss..... and betting favorites strategy cant be very succesful lately considering the fact that underdogs are 42-11 ATS since november 4-th...

YTD: 4 - 4