Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest - Monday, 2/4/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest - Monday, 2/4/08
    Listen up, basketball experts. Starting Friday (Feb 1) we will commence with the February Hoops Parlay Contest with the monthly grand prize a 22” widescreen LCD monitor. The rules are simple:

    1. Check in the NBA BASKETBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Posted spreads and totals are the only eligible plays for grading. Both NBA and NCAA games included.

    3. Two-game parlay picks, laying 10 to win 26. Post entire parlay at same time, no open parlays.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up, doesn’t have to be long, just a sentence or two about why you’re making your play. Here’s a THREAD from last year’s contest to be used for an example.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis for both games will be NO ACTION. Once your two-team parlay has been posted, you CANNOT change either play. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake (such as leaving out "Over" or "Under" or not clearly stating your selection), need to add analysis or wish to enter corrected lines, do so in a seperate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not tip off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not parlay selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:
    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per household and IP address.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one parlay pick per day, minimum 15 parlay plays needed to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker - Win % of individual parlay legs. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head parlay match until winner determined.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
    • Residents outside the Continental US may be awarded the cash value prize instead of the monitor.


  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       W/P     Units[/B]
    awhitejackson	3	0	0	78.00
    goldengoat    	3	0	0	78.00
    LLXC       	2	0	0	52.00
    louisvillekid  	2	0	0	52.00
    sharktank1  	2	0	0	52.00
    Deke101   	2	1	0	42.00
    MadCapper 	2	1	0	42.00
    pavyracer    	2	1	0	42.00
    uscfootball33	2	1	0	42.00
    xyzky     	2	1	0	42.00
    harsh506    	1	0	0	26.00
    stump      	1	0	0	26.00
    Dark Horse	1	1	1	25.00
    Augustus 	1	1	0	16.00
    diogee    	1	1	0	16.00
    durito      	1	1	0	16.00
    Hounds    	1	1	0	16.00
    LT Profits	1	1	0	16.00
    palerider   	1	1	0	16.00
    VBOMBER  	1	1	0	16.00
    Kellen    	0	0	1	9.00
    Cabo        	1	2	0	6.00
    IHPuller   	1	2	0	6.00
    ipickwinners 	1	2	0	6.00
    Junkyard Dog	1	2	0	6.00
    maestrobobcobb	1	2	0	6.00
    Miami2586 	1	2	0	6.00
    myr10      	1	2	0	6.00
    Wrigley     	1	2	0	6.00
    rugbybdyb  	0	1	1	-1.00
    B1GER1C828	0	1	0	-10.00
    beaneaters 	0	1	0	-10.00
    bulldog3131	0	1	0	-10.00
    ChuteBoxe  	0	1	0	-10.00
    Data         	0	1	0	-10.00
    gizmo2431  	0	1	0	-10.00
    imgv94       	0	1	0	-10.00
    Irish Lum'jack	0	1	0	-10.00
    jeffscds     	0	1	0	-10.00
    manly      	0	1	0	-10.00
    nevadaside  	0	1	0	-10.00
    Nostradamus	0	1	0	-10.00
    PerfecTrader	0	1	0	-10.00
    rake922      	0	1	0	-10.00
    regularguy  	0	1	0	-10.00
    shady610 	0	1	0	-10.00
    Ship It!    	0	1	0	-10.00
    tevari      	0	1	0	-10.00
    thezbar      	0	1	0	-10.00
    buhtah      	0	2	0	-20.00
    louisvillekid1	0	2	0	-20.00
    Mr KLC      	0	2	0	-20.00
    msubulldog	0	2	0	-20.00
    pokernut9999	0	2	0	-20.00
    The HG      	0	2	0	-20.00
    20Four7     	0	3	0	-30.00
    charlie64  	0	3	0	-30.00
    McRich      	0	3	0	-30.00
    Poker Beast	0	3	0	-30.00
    
    
    GAME-BY-GAME 
    [B]Name            W       L       P        Pct[/B]
    awhitejackson	6	0	0	100.0%
    goldengoat    	6	0	0	100.0%
    LLXC       	4	0	0	100.0%
    louisvillekid  	4	0	0	100.0%
    sharktank1  	4	0	0	100.0%
    harsh506    	2	0	0	100.0%
    stump      	2	0	0	100.0%
    Kellen    	1	0	1	100.0%
    MadCapper 	5	1	0	83.3%
    pavyracer    	5	1	0	83.3%
    uscfootball33	5	1	0	83.3%
    Dark Horse	4	1	1	80.0%
    Augustus 	3	1	0	75.0%
    Hounds    	3	1	0	75.0%
    LT Profits	3	1	0	75.0%
    palerider   	3	1	0	75.0%
    VBOMBER  	3	1	0	75.0%
    Cabo        	4	2	0	66.7%
    Deke101   	4	2	0	66.7%
    IHPuller   	4	2	0	66.7%
    ipickwinners 	4	2	0	66.7%
    Junkyard Dog	4	2	0	66.7%
    maestrobobcobb	4	2	0	66.7%
    xyzky     	4	2	0	66.7%
    charlie64  	3	3	0	50.0%
    Miami2586 	3	3	0	50.0%
    myr10      	3	3	0	50.0%
    diogee    	2	2	0	50.0%
    durito      	2	2	0	50.0%
    pokernut9999	2	2	0	50.0%
    B1GER1C828	1	1	0	50.0%
    Data         	1	1	0	50.0%
    imgv94       	1	1	0	50.0%
    Irish Lum'jack	1	1	0	50.0%
    jeffscds     	1	1	0	50.0%
    Nostradamus	1	1	0	50.0%
    rake922      	1	1	0	50.0%
    Ship It!    	1	1	0	50.0%
    tevari      	1	1	0	50.0%
    McRich      	2	4	0	33.3%
    Poker Beast	2	4	0	33.3%
    Wrigley     	2	4	0	33.3%
    rugbybdyb  	1	2	1	33.3%
    buhtah      	1	3	0	25.0%
    louisvillekid1	1	3	0	25.0%
    msubulldog	1	3	0	25.0%
    20Four7     	1	5	0	16.7%
    beaneaters 	0	2	0	0.0%
    bulldog3131	0	2	0	0.0%
    ChuteBoxe  	0	2	0	0.0%
    gizmo2431  	0	2	0	0.0%
    manly      	0	2	0	0.0%
    Mr KLC      	0	4	0	0.0%
    nevadaside  	0	2	0	0.0%
    PerfecTrader	0	2	0	0.0%
    regularguy  	0	2	0	0.0%
    shady610 	0	2	0	0.0%
    The HG      	0	3	1	0.0%
    thezbar      	0	2	0	0.0%
    Comment
    • MadCapper
      SBR MVP
      • 01-27-08
      • 4179

      #3
      Jazz -3 Playing at home. Hornets have not been playing as well of late. I think the Jazz should be more of a favorite on their homecourt.

      Nuggets +3 blazers arent the blazers of the streak. Nuggets will make their move now. melo is healthy and no one on portland can guard him.
      My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
      Comment
      • Deke101
        SBR MVP
        • 11-15-07
        • 1213

        #4
        NO @ Utah Over 202.5: This is a big game for both teams, and the Jazz are hot, and good at home. NO is going to be right with them to the end. This total is too low.

        Charlotte @ Phoenix Over 214: Charlotte's last two games were played @ Denver, and Golden State. These teams resemble Phoenix as far as game tempo, and both games went Over the total. Phoenix is very well rested, and playing at home. I see this game being played with no defense.
        Comment
        • bbyhill
          SBR MVP
          • 09-16-07
          • 2991

          #5
          no lines yet today
          Comment
          • palerider
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-06-07
            • 122

            #6
            Houston -5.5 3rd road game in 4 days, Rockets are road warriors with 8 straight wins on the road. Rockets by 12


            Magic -4.5 With 4 in a row and this team at home. I look for dallas to struggle and the magic to get the home town karma. Looking for big games from Turk, Howard and lewis ( bench should give them at least 30 ) Magic by 7
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              NBA Basketball

              Mon 2/4 701 Philadelphia 76ers +5 Over 187
              7:05PM (EST) 702 Atlanta Hawks -5 Under 187

              Mon 2/4 703 Dallas Mavericks +4½ Over 197
              7:05PM (EST) 704 Orlando Magic -4½ Under 197

              Mon 2/4 705 Toronto Raptors -8 Over 194½
              7:35PM (EST) 706 Miami Heat +8 Under 194½

              Mon 2/4 707 Los Angeles Clippers +5 Over 190
              7:35PM (EST) 708 New York Knicks -5 Under 190

              Mon 2/4 709 Houston Rockets -5 Over 188½
              8:05PM (EST) 710 Minnesota Timberwolves +5 Under 188½

              Mon 2/4 711 New Orleans Hornets +3½ Over 202
              9:35PM (EST) 712 Utah Jazz -3½ Under 202

              Mon 2/4 713 Charlotte Bobcats +14½ Over 217½
              9:05PM (EST) 714 Phoenix Suns -14½ Under 217½

              Mon 2/4 715 Denver Nuggets +2½ Over 202
              10:05PM (EST) 716 Portland Trailblazers -2½ Under 202

              Mon 2/4 717 Chicago Bulls -1 Over 193
              10:05PM (EST) 718 Seattle Supersonics +1 Under 193


              NCAA Basketball

              Mon 2/4 719 Louisville +2 Over 135
              7:00PM (EST) 720 Marquette -2 Under 135

              Mon 2/4 721 Villanova +4½ Over 144½
              8:00PM (EST) 722 St Josephs -4½ Under 144½

              Mon 2/4 723 Middle Tenn State +3½ Over 134½
              8:00PM (EST) 724 Arkansas State -3½ Under 134½

              Mon 2/4 725 Missouri +19 Over 152
              9:00PM (EST) 726 Kansas -19 Under 152

              Mon 2/4 727 San Francisco -5½ Over 135
              10:00PM (EST) 728 Loyola Marymount +5½ Under 135

              Mon 2/4 729 Louisiana Tech +16½ Over 129½
              10:00PM (EST) 730 Fresno State -16½ Under 129½

              Mon 2/4 731 San Diego -4 Over 148
              10:00PM (EST) 732 Pepperdine +4 Under 148

              Mon 2/4 733 Gonzaga +2½ Over 143
              11:00PM (EST) 734 Saint Mary's CA -2½ Under 143

              Mon 2/4 735 Portland U +11 Over 123
              11:00PM (EST) 736 Santa Clara -11 Under 123

              Mon 2/4 737 Tennessee Chat -4½ Over 149
              7:00PM (EST) 738 Western Carolina +4½ Under 149

              Mon 2/4 739 Marist +6 Over 142½
              7:00PM (EST) 740 Siena -6 Under 142½

              Mon 2/4 741 The Citadel +16½ Over 140
              7:00PM (EST) 742 Coll Charleston -16½ Under 140

              Mon 2/4 743 NC Greensboro +2 Over 143½
              7:30PM (EST) 744 Georgia Southern -2 Under 143½
              Comment
              • Miami2586
                SBR Rookie
                • 08-17-07
                • 28

                #8
                Houston Rockets -5 I'm looking for the rockets to blow this game out.


                Portland blazers -2 1/2 Portland is a great home team. Might be close but I think portland will pull it out.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  palerider,

                  You will get a loss today because you edited your post. Please make sure to adhere to Rule #5 in the future.
                  Comment
                  • rjt721
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-06-07
                    • 7929

                    #10
                    Jazz -3.5: Best team in the West at the moment, hottest team in the league, playing at home and laying a short number in what's one of the stronger home court advantages in basketball. Deron has a big game in reaction to his AS snub and to prove he's every bit the play C. Paul is.

                    Georgia Southern -2: Revenge spot for GA Southern. UNC-GB's 7 conference Ws have come against against the bottom teams in the league. They've lost both road games against conf. foes with winning records within the league. Two evenly matched teams... give me the home team laying a bucket in a revenge spot.
                    Comment
                    • rugbybdyb
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-06-07
                      • 997

                      #11
                      Raptors -8 -- Miami is bad and at home they have only won 5 so I think this goes up in the loss colum for Miami. The spread makes this hard to pick but I think Raptors can do it.

                      Rockets -5 -- Rockets run over minnesota, this game will be won by over 8.
                      Comment
                      • The HG
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-01-06
                        • 3566

                        #12
                        Marquette -2 - Lville popped these guys bad last time out, and Marquette should be looking for revenge here, which I do think they are capable of. Marquette plays well at home, and even thought Lville has many good road wins this year, this one will be tough and I think Marquette will get it in the end.

                        Georgia Southern -2 - I'm not convinced Greensboro is good enough to be close to even money against good division rivals on the road. Ga So is ready to put together a string of home wins and I think they'll start with this one.
                        Comment
                        • Poker_Beast
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-14-06
                          • 6545

                          #13
                          I'll take the Jazz and Magic

                          Jazz have been very hot as of late and the damn Mavericks cost me $100 last week so I am going against them (they will probably win now since it always works that way)

                          GL all!
                          Comment
                          • xyzky
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-23-07
                            • 1577

                            #14
                            704 Orl -4 1/2
                            Mavs are just playing awful right now.
                            713 Over 202
                            I thought the over would be around 220 for this game.
                            Comment
                            • bulldog3131
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 12-04-07
                              • 23

                              #15
                              Good Monday

                              Knicks - The Clippers Are Awful And The Knicks Are A Little Better.

                              Portland - Portland Is Tough At Home And Denver Is Up And Down.
                              Comment
                              • uscfootball33
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-26-07
                                • 157

                                #16
                                Dallas +4.5: Dallas is coming off of one of their worst performances of the season and I expect them to go out and get their revenge.

                                Houston -5.0: Still talking about the T-wolves here and Houston should not have a problem blowing them out tonight.
                                Comment
                                • durito
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-03-06
                                  • 13173

                                  #17
                                  713 Charlotte Bobcats +14½ and Under 217½ -- Charlotte applies to a 105-60-2 ATS angle that plays on road underdogs that have been playing poorly. The suns just played a low scoring game and teams that go under by a lot tend to also go under their next game as well. The suns are also just 3-6 ATS as a home favorite of 12+ this season and 3-5 ATS after a loss.
                                  Comment
                                  • goldengoat
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-25-05
                                    • 3239

                                    #18
                                    utah -3.5
                                    utah is great at home and they did play in the wcf last year

                                    missouri +19
                                    mizzou playing well of late and 1st meeting was close even with poor shooting from mizzou
                                    Comment
                                    • pavyracer
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-12-07
                                      • 82813

                                      #19
                                      NC Greensboro +2

                                      Georgia Southern has been playing awful lately giving up too many points and losing to inferior teams. There is a reason why they lost by 12 to NC Greensboro earlier this year and also twice last year: They are outcoached!

                                      NC Greensboro over 143.5

                                      Georgia Southern was involved in a high 180's game a few days ago and I expect NC Greensboro to keep the tempo up and try to wear out the Georgia Southern players by scoring in bunches.
                                      Comment
                                      • buztah
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-23-07
                                        • 7470

                                        #20
                                        Charlotte +14 1/2 -- too many points to pass up as Pho tends to get up big then give a lot back in the 4th.

                                        Dallas +4 1/2 -- Dallas should bounce back here against a very overrated Magic team.
                                        Comment
                                        • picantel
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-17-05
                                          • 4338

                                          #21
                                          Philadelphia 76ers +5- I need philly -1 for my pleaser so I have to take this.

                                          Gonzaga +2.5- have to take the team with the best pedigree here for better or worse.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            LOUISVILLE/MARQUETTE UNDER 135: The Under is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings, and the most points scored in any of the Unders was 127.

                                            LOUISIANA TECH/FRESNO STATE UNDER 129,5: The first meeting berween these schools this year produced just 107 points. La Tech averaged just 54 points on the road, and Fresno hasn't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard lately.
                                            Comment
                                            • Cabo
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-07-06
                                              • 5273

                                              #23
                                              Missouri +19: Mizzou seems to always play Kansas close, when they are unranked and KS is a top team, I'll take the 19 points on this one.
                                              Utah Jazz -3½: Jazz are hot and playing at home, go jazz.
                                              Comment
                                              • Data
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-27-07
                                                • 2236

                                                #24
                                                706 Miami Heat +8
                                                The line is inflated due to public's perception of how bad the Heat is. The inflated lines is the reason big home dogs tend to cover.

                                                716 Portland Trailblazers -2½
                                                I would rank Portland and Denver very closer. Therefore, due to the home court advantage the line should be -3.5. While this overlay is not that big we should account that Camby may be out and even if he is in he will likely underperform due to his injury. This provides considerable advantage.
                                                Comment
                                                • B1GER1C828
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-31-07
                                                  • 10244

                                                  #25
                                                  jazz -3 jazz at home is just very hard 2 beat and getting them at -3 is a gift

                                                  clips/knicks over 189 both teams dnt play too great of defense and they can put up points
                                                  Comment
                                                  • indy62
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 07-21-07
                                                    • 321

                                                    #26
                                                    no/utah 202 over..i like the fact this should be close,meaning alot of fouls and free throws..toward the end and possible ot...also toronto-8 ilike toronto to beat miami like they did to wash afew days ago(by 39)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Deke101
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-15-07
                                                      • 1213

                                                      #27
                                                      LT, The total for the Pho/Cha game is 217.5, and i saw that it would be 214, is it OK for me to change that play?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • charlie64
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-22-07
                                                        • 398

                                                        #28
                                                        Chicago vs Seattle under 193 Chicago averages 94.0 on offense,and gives up 97.1 on defense.Where as the Sonics only score 96 pts a game.LOSER

                                                        Phoenix vs Charlotte under 217.5 Even though Phoenix has a high scoring offense,I don't think they get enough out of Charlotte to cover.LOSER
                                                        Comment
                                                        • beaneaters
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 10-31-07
                                                          • 362

                                                          #29
                                                          Wow, I've kicked off the month with an impressive 0-7 effort. May have to give the game up. But for now:

                                                          76ers +5. Phillie is 6-1 with similar spreads including 4-1 on the road. And the line hasn't changed despite majority of action on Atlanta.

                                                          Seattle +1. Trying to stay away from home favourites, given my track record. And Seattle fits into a new system I'm looking into.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            Deke101,

                                                            No sorry, no changing plays allowed. From now on either wait until after 1:00 ET as lines should be posted by then, or monitor 5 Dimes lines as those are what we use.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Deke101
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-15-07
                                                              • 1213

                                                              #31
                                                              My mistake, then remember that my play is 217.5 and not 214. Thanks.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • maestrobobcobb
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 12-29-07
                                                                • 129

                                                                #32
                                                                Started of month 1-0; two straight days of split results;lets try these today:

                                                                Kansas -19 over Missori: Kansas 9-3 ATS @ home; last 4 home wins have been by a combined 119 points: also Missouri is 1-5 ATS on road

                                                                Santa Clara -11 over Portland: Santa Clara 5-0 ATS last 5 games;5-1 ATS in conference: Portland 1-6 ATS last 7 lined games;1-5 ATS in conference
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stump
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-14-05
                                                                  • 1715

                                                                  #33
                                                                  701 Philadelphia 76ers +5 Sixers playing better lately, have a chance for the outright here

                                                                  717 Chicago Bulls -1 Probably a sucker bet but Bulls have a chance for a rare road win here, tough games upcoming, need a win here
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • IHPuller
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-10-08
                                                                    • 333

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Tenn-Chatt -4.5= much better team and they already blew them out by 30pts this year.

                                                                    Georgia Southern -2= again the line is too close here to not take the home team plus the pts. This is the better of the 2 teams and they are at home.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • freebie
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                                      • 1174

                                                                      #35
                                                                      NOK/Utah Under 202
                                                                      the number is too high for these 2 team IMHO.

                                                                      Orlando Magic -4.5

                                                                      Dallas is going down the drain. while Orlando keeps climbing up.Dallas on the road record is not the same as last year.
                                                                      Comment
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