~2010-2011 NBA Plays~

**Dexter** · 04-17-11, 07:20 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Just wondering, what is your reasoning behind backing all the home faves? Just a system that has worked in the past?

i backtested it a few weeks ago....60% ats in 2010, 54% ats in 2009. i went game by game on covers....

many of the angles i like go out the window in the playoffs, so this seemed like a good route for me to take.

**7secondsOrLess** · 04-17-11, 07:20 PM

wow all dogs to start the playoffs killin you huh

**t-wizzle** · 04-17-11, 07:22 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

i backtested it a few weeks ago....60% ats in 2010, 54% ats in 2009. i went game by game on covers....

many of the angles i like go out the window in the playoffs, so this seemed like a good route for me to take.

I think you'll see some good results in the Game 2s. Liking Chicago, LA, and SAS but not sure if i will play any of them.

**Dexter** · 04-17-11, 08:23 PM

ya think the celts miss perkins in the middle?

amare beasting right now.....

**Dexter** · 04-17-11, 08:55 PM

1-7 now after the thunder follow the weekend trend.....i should have quit when i climbed back to -5 units.

i have never seen the road team dominate game 1 like this ever...pretty comical how it happened this year.

**skaterplayer808** · 04-17-11, 09:00 PM

i know right. i can't believe it either. and here i was stupid enough to play some of those big spreads thinking home teams would cover :/

**MrSink** · 04-18-11, 04:18 AM

horrible start...

**million2one** · 04-18-11, 08:12 AM

Crazy, gotta think the fav's will start covering at some point.

**QUEST001** · 04-18-11, 12:46 PM

Lets turn this around.....variance to the home teams to cover.......

**MrSink** · 04-18-11, 01:48 PM

I notice same start this playoffs so far...
0-3 after first round
I dont trust Heat tonight and lets roll with Bulls
time to turn things around

**Dexter** · 04-18-11, 03:49 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

Tue 4/19:

(3u) magic -8.5

(3u) celtics -7

**Dexter** · 04-19-11, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

(3u) celtics -7

(3u) mavs -3.5 (Game 2)

**Dexter** · 04-19-11, 10:21 PM

if dallas goes up 2-0......portland big time at home in game 3.

**kobefanatic** · 04-20-11, 12:28 AM

this year's playoffs is killing me

**MrSink** · 04-20-11, 04:10 AM

celtics up by 11 in 3rd

**Dexter** · 04-20-11, 05:42 AM

Originally posted by kobefanatic

this year's playoffs is killing me

plenty of time left kobe.....

**kobefanatic** · 04-20-11, 06:05 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

plenty of time left kobe.....

hopefully i can still cash in at the end of these playoffs

**Dexter** · 04-20-11, 07:11 AM

gonna pound portland for a dime tomorrow.....and if the thunder win in game 2 - same story in denver game 3.

**kobefanatic** · 04-20-11, 08:02 AM

dexter what do you think of lakers, spurs and nuggets?

**Dexter** · 04-20-11, 09:59 AM

Thur 4/21:

(10u) blazers -6

**Dexter** · 04-20-11, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

Wed 4/20:

(4u) spurs -8.5
(4u) lakers -12

(5u) thunder -4.5

**kobefanatic** · 04-20-11, 10:14 AM

on the same side as you except for spurs

**t-wizzle** · 04-20-11, 11:34 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

Thur 4/21:

(10u) blazers -6

Was really hoping this line would be more like 4. Talk about the books taking a stand. Blazers win by DD's.

**jacer333** · 04-20-11, 11:39 AM

Thinking the favorites take over tonight Dex? These playoffs have got me scared from making any big plays....BOL, hope this is your night

**MrSink** · 04-21-11, 06:44 AM

Blazers big for me also

**Dexter** · 04-21-11, 08:48 AM

gonna pound denver in game 3 as well...

**Dexter** · 04-21-11, 09:54 AM

Saturday 4/23:

(10u) nuggets -5.5
(3u) grizzlies -1.5

**t-wizzle** · 04-21-11, 10:18 AM

With you on the nugs as well

**jacer333** · 04-21-11, 11:05 AM

Denver and Portland are scary plays...OKC and Dallas are both superior teams and are getting over 5 points in these games. BOL though, hope things turn around for ya.

**Dexter** · 04-21-11, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by jacer333

Denver and Portland are scary plays...OKC and Dallas are both superior teams and are getting over 5 points in these games. BOL though, hope things turn around for ya.

those lines are that high for a reason. i feel pretty confident in those 2 plays and actually plan on to continue pounding the home team throughout both of those series.

**GTS925** · 04-21-11, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

Thur 4/21:

(10u) blazers -6

BOL!

**Dexter** · 04-21-11, 02:22 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

Thur 4/21:

(10u) blazers -6

(3u) pacers +4
(3u) sixers +5

**sweetjones55** · 04-21-11, 02:30 PM

Dexter, do you have in running lines for the playoffs? Reason I asked is because there is so much value on waiting on teams like Denver and Blazers. If they are just down 2-3 points at a timeout in the 1Q, you can get them like -3 for the game a lot of times if you are quick which is huge because teams obviously constantly foul down 3 late, down 5-6 they might now.

**Dexter** · 04-21-11, 04:19 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Dexter, do you have in running lines for the playoffs? Reason I asked is because there is so much value on waiting on teams like Denver and Blazers. If they are just down 2-3 points at a timeout in the 1Q, you can get them like -3 for the game a lot of times if you are quick which is huge because teams obviously constantly foul down 3 late, down 5-6 they might now.

nope

**Dexter** · 04-21-11, 10:39 PM

Friday 4/22:

(3u) knicks -150
(3u) hawks +1.5