Looking at tonight I see a great spot for Cincinnati.
The Reds are in the clear in the Central as they hold a 7 game lead over the Cards. Admitted by Dusty Baker, the team is dead tired. In an interview yesterday he was quoted saying that rest would be upcoming for Reds starters at the end of the week if they can finish it off strong. With the hope of rest after a 6 month schedule and the first upcoming playoff berth in 15 seasons, the Reds don’t appear to be taking their foot off the gas just yet. Edison Volquez starts tonight in what will ultimately be a measuring stick on whether or not he gets the nod in the Reds playoff rotation. Arroyo and Cueto will be #1 and #2 for the Reds this October, but there is still a question mark. Tonight Volquez is making his first road start in nearly 14 months, but it comes against this Brewer team that he and his team have dominated as of late. Volquez has won on the road in Miller Park four starts in a row. Overall he has cashed Reds backers’ tickets 4 of the past 5 games. Cincinnati has taken 13 of the last 16 against Milwaukee, and 6 of the last 7 as the road team. Volquez is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. the central. Facing a team coming off a loss he has been victorious 17 of the last 21. As a road favourite he is 4-1 in his last 5. The Reds as a team are 6-2 in his last 8 starts and 5-0 in game 2 of a series. As a small road favourite, the Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 and 39-14 against a team with a losing record. Against a pitcher with an above average WHIP (1.35+) this 4th ranked Reds offense has got the job done 20 of the last 28 times. On the other side of things, Bush has won for the Brew Crew just 1 time in the last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. He is just 1-6 in the last 7 as a small home dog and 2-8 as a home dog overall. At home facing a team with a winning record with Bush on the mound, Milwaukee has not put a mark in the win column in the past 7 games. Milwaukee is 4-10 in their last 10 vs. a right handed starter, 2-5 as a home dog, 6-16 as a home dog of 110-150 and 2-6 vs. a team with a winning record in their last 8.
Play On: Cincinnati as a small road favourite starting Edison Volquez against a team with a losing record coming off a loss in their previous game.
System rate: 86% - Category 4*.
Cincinnati Reds -124
Good Luck Everyone.
The Reds are in the clear in the Central as they hold a 7 game lead over the Cards. Admitted by Dusty Baker, the team is dead tired. In an interview yesterday he was quoted saying that rest would be upcoming for Reds starters at the end of the week if they can finish it off strong. With the hope of rest after a 6 month schedule and the first upcoming playoff berth in 15 seasons, the Reds don’t appear to be taking their foot off the gas just yet. Edison Volquez starts tonight in what will ultimately be a measuring stick on whether or not he gets the nod in the Reds playoff rotation. Arroyo and Cueto will be #1 and #2 for the Reds this October, but there is still a question mark. Tonight Volquez is making his first road start in nearly 14 months, but it comes against this Brewer team that he and his team have dominated as of late. Volquez has won on the road in Miller Park four starts in a row. Overall he has cashed Reds backers’ tickets 4 of the past 5 games. Cincinnati has taken 13 of the last 16 against Milwaukee, and 6 of the last 7 as the road team. Volquez is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. the central. Facing a team coming off a loss he has been victorious 17 of the last 21. As a road favourite he is 4-1 in his last 5. The Reds as a team are 6-2 in his last 8 starts and 5-0 in game 2 of a series. As a small road favourite, the Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 and 39-14 against a team with a losing record. Against a pitcher with an above average WHIP (1.35+) this 4th ranked Reds offense has got the job done 20 of the last 28 times. On the other side of things, Bush has won for the Brew Crew just 1 time in the last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. He is just 1-6 in the last 7 as a small home dog and 2-8 as a home dog overall. At home facing a team with a winning record with Bush on the mound, Milwaukee has not put a mark in the win column in the past 7 games. Milwaukee is 4-10 in their last 10 vs. a right handed starter, 2-5 as a home dog, 6-16 as a home dog of 110-150 and 2-6 vs. a team with a winning record in their last 8.
Play On: Cincinnati as a small road favourite starting Edison Volquez against a team with a losing record coming off a loss in their previous game.
System rate: 86% - Category 4*.
Cincinnati Reds -124
Good Luck Everyone.
