Portland -4.5...Hit'em hard or stay away?

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  • diogee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-08
    • 19477

    #1
    Portland -4.5...Hit'em hard or stay away?
    I'm finding it really hard to pass up on GS -4.5...Miami was blown away at home by the Bulls and have recently lost to Memphis, Minn, and Mil on the road by at least 6 points in each game. I just don't see Miami staying in this one unless GS has a terrible shooting night or D'Wade is lights out. With this line everyone will be on Portland...Is it best just to stay away from this game or wait til the line gets inflated and go with the Heat?
  • Irish Lumberjack
    SBR MVP
    • 12-04-07
    • 2086

    #2
    i think everyone is over thinking this one, shaq if he comes back will be fatter and more tired then ever, he won't have his game legs and i expect to see about 15-20 mins from him, Portland is very good off a loss ATS and should be just fine tonight.
    Comment
    • WestsidePete
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-19-07
      • 8049

      #3
      Shaq came back vs Bulls and had 24 pts and 10 rebounds...
      Comment
      • Irish Lumberjack
        SBR MVP
        • 12-04-07
        • 2086

        #4
        Yep i'm ass, didn't see that game and i haven't checked reports yet
        Comment
        • WestsidePete
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-19-07
          • 8049

          #5
          I think Portland wins...but the Heat have to play well sometime right?? They have Shaq and Wade now both playing. Everything points to take the Blazers...IMO I don't think the Blazers cover...
          Comment
          • capitalist pig
            SBR MVP
            • 01-25-07
            • 4997

            #6
            Miami is going to win one soon, its been 11 lost in a row.Not that they are worth a darn, but sooner or later they will bust it out on someone. IMO, it gets riskier every night betting against them, its just a matter of picking that right game for a ml win.

            later
            Comment
            • tevari
              SBR MVP
              • 02-02-07
              • 4959

              #7
              i think the only way to play this game is the blazer ML. GL
              Comment
              • mmarino
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-10-08
                • 307

                #8
                Look at these stats and I don't know how you can't bet big on Portland tonight

                covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/matchups/g5_trends_5.html&t=0
                Comment
                • maritime
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-26-05
                  • 474

                  #9
                  Seems like a trap game to me. Mostly everyone and their mom on Portland. No sig. line movement. Line seems a bit short to me to begin with given Portland's success, even with their road record. I'd stay off Portland tonight.
                  Comment
                  • stingyrivers
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-15-08
                    • 1240

                    #10
                    After reading all the borads today, I am nervous now, but I am on Portland and GS big tonite, so I am hoping the growing contrarian capper philosophy about the blazers/heat game tonight is too sharp for its own good on this one.... thing is all the people backing the heat tonight, I remember saying the same exact things, about wade and shaq finally showing up on National TV to reestablish they still are elite.... and that thought cost me a big chunk of my bankroll on Christmas day when they got smoked by lebron at home.... I told myself I wouldn't fall for that (the heat really arent this bad) again, I didn't fall for it last week when they got trounced by 30 against the hornets and I wont falter now.... but crossing my fingers now after the trigger has been pulled on Portland -4.... and praying that the heat really are the worst team in the league, besides the Twolves. Hope everybody makes a good hit tonight with the books... GL
                    Comment
                    • White_Tiger
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 08-29-07
                      • 465

                      #11
                      Originally posted by diogee
                      I'm finding it really hard to pass up on GS -4.5...Miami was blown away at home by the Bulls and have recently lost to Memphis, Minn, and Mil on the road by at least 6 points in each game. I just don't see Miami staying in this one unless GS has a terrible shooting night or D'Wade is lights out. With this line everyone will be on Portland...Is it best just to stay away from this game or wait til the line gets inflated and go with the Heat?

                      Who do you like more tonight? Port or GS??? You tittle say Port but you keep say GS. Both look funny to me though.
                      gl to your play.

                      WT.
                      Comment
                      • patsfan2727
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-28-07
                        • 579

                        #12
                        Originally posted by mmarino
                        Look at these stats and I don't know how you can't bet big on Portland tonight

                        covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/matchups/g5_trends_5.html&t=0
                        all of those #s are in portlands favor until you look @ the last line, the head to head matchups. Portland is like 1-6 in the last 7. I think that may be the more important stat?
                        Comment
                        • diogee
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-11-08
                          • 19477

                          #13
                          Late at night when I posted that...I decided to stay away from the Portland play and went with GS instead. Thanks for the input
                          Comment
                          • jeffries
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-01-08
                            • 750

                            #14
                            Portland -4.5 is a fraud.. This is a trick by the bookies. Take the Miami ML and win
                            Comment
                            • White_Tiger
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-29-07
                              • 465

                              #15
                              Very Funny line move. Everyone like Port then line move from 3.5 to 4.5 and now it drop back to 3.5???? Trap here... maybe.

                              WT.
                              Comment
                              • jeffries
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-01-08
                                • 750

                                #16
                                Miami Wins Or Loses By 1-2 Points!

                                Guaranteed
                                Comment
                                • White_Tiger
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-29-07
                                  • 465

                                  #17
                                  I'll have to wait tonight. I think at least 1 team will win either Mia or CHi. I'll sitout and watch this game on ESPN if Port win then I'll bet on CHi if Port lost then I'll not bet them.

                                  WT.
                                  Comment
                                  • B1GER1C828
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-31-07
                                    • 10244

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by patsfan2727
                                    all of those #s are in portlands favor until you look @ the last line, the head to head matchups. Portland is like 1-6 in the last 7. I think that may be the more important stat?
                                    suprisingly if a team is 1-6 last 7 meetings or w/e, i dnt eve ncare much cuz teams change/coaches change. i usually only care of how the teams do vs eachother in the year. i like portland if they could keep up wit celtcs until 4th qtr, y cant they beat miami? lol
                                    Comment
                                    • Otters27
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 07-14-07
                                      • 30756

                                      #19
                                      Miami to win here

                                      I am going to take Miami and the points. Portland hot but overated in this game.
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr Nuts
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-22-05
                                        • 1383

                                        #20
                                        Like Miami here as well.
                                        Comment
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