I think Ver.3 is too risky. In my opinion it's much safer to play Ver.1 and Ver.2 only
Comment
1jklange
SBR Rookie
10-29-10
4
#285
So were playing Minnesota with the spread and buying +3 correct?
Comment
Freddo
SBR Hustler
04-11-10
63
#286
that's correct
Comment
qwerty123
SBR Hustler
07-22-10
91
#287
Originally posted by mitchp
I got the same email, so obviously JM is not posting Version 1 games. Portland is a Version 1 game based upon the following which come from JM original pdf I purchased:
Handling road trips that start in-conference I recommend that you only start betting on a series if the team’s consecutive 3-game road trip begins immediately after their home game. This also means that if a team is on a 6-game road trip vs. 6 opponents from the opposing conference, then you should only wager on the first 3 games (assuming that they played a home game immediately before starting the road trip). Now, an exception would be that if a team has been playing road game(s) within their own conference before they start 3 consecutive games vs. 3 opponents from the opposing conference, then you should only treat the 3-game series vs. the opposing conference as eligible for play ONLY if that team has lost ALL of its road games from the beginning of the road trip by more than 3 points against the spread
Portand had a home game on 10/26, then went on the road against the Clipperson 10/27 (same conference). They lost that game by 10 points, and now start three road games against cross conference teams with Portland.
Since JM has three versions plus the rigged system, it's going to get very confusing from this point.
Once again I dont' subscribe to JM rigged system, but according to my spreadsheet I build, as long as my database of the starters is correct (race), I show that Minnesota is a "rigged" bet tonight. If someone is a subscriber and get the email from JM, could you please post it (I'd need confirmation my spreadsheet is correct before I post it).
Mitch
According to the rules, it indeed is a play. 3 white players on min, 4 black players on mem and 3 white refs...
Comment
mitchp
SBR High Roller
07-29-10
227
#288
Freddo,
You are correct Portland did beat the Clippers, so Portland should not be a play by strict interpretation of the rules. Well, bet is already placed so I will just cross my fingers.
I just notice a problem in the Minnesota game, the third official is also scheduled for the Chicago game. So depending up where he go will decide whether it's a play or not.
Comment
Stanley77
SBR Hustler
06-01-09
90
#289
Originally posted by krzychu78
I think Ver.3 is too risky. In my opinion it's much safer to play Ver.1 and Ver.2 only
That's not true. It doesn't matter what conference a team is playing against. John Morrison (a.k.a. Lan Nguyen) is touting his services to sell you his BS conference systems.
I understand that it's risky to chase teams and there are chances that you can lose series on these games. The same happens when chasing NHL teams. I realized a way that you can actually eliminate series losses. I have checked back previous seasons of NBA and NHL teams and their betting lines and it seems to make a lot of sense now. This means that there are some series games that you have to pass on, even if it wins.
So this is how it should work for both NBA:
NBA: Buy 3 points on any team that is on a consecutive road trip for at least 3 games if their next consecutive road trip for at least 3 games doesn't occur within one month later. If they are on a road trip for at least 4 games, then it stops on the "D" bet. Also, do not bet on them within a month before their last game of the season.
NHL: Bet on a team that is on a consecutive road trip for at least 3 games if their next consecutive road trip for at least 3 games doesn't occur within one month later. If they are on a road trip for at least 4 games, then it stops on the "D" bet. If they are favorites, bet on the money line. If they are underdogs, bet on the +1.5 puck line. Also, do not bet on them within a month before their last game of the season.
Here are examples in the NBA:
The Sacramento Kings series lost between 10/29/2008 and 11/3/2008. Everyone thought that you had to play a version 1 bet, which it lost, but they actually covered on against the Minnesota Timberwolves. So it's really regardless of conference and they didn't have another consecutive road trip for at least 3 games within a month after that series.
The Houston Rockets series lost between 12/23/2009 and 12/27/2009. They had a 3-game consecutive road trip within a month after that series. John Morrison made a B.S. excuse saying to bet on the money line on favorites after the Rockets lost out on that series between 12/23/2009 and 12/27/2009. So you don't bet on the first series (12/23/2009 and 12/27/2009).
The Denver Nuggets series lost between 3/23/2010 and 3/29/2010. This series occurred within a month before their last game of the season. Also, they won on the "D" bet with the 3-point buying. John Morrison said that they won on the "C" bet by playing the money line. You have to remember that you don't have to play the money line on favorites in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings series lost between 2/17/2010 and 2/21/2010. They had a 3-game consecutive road trip within a month after that series. So you don't bet on the first series (2/17/2010 and 2/21/2010).
Here are examples in the NHL:
The St. Louis Blues series lost between 1/5/2006 and 1/15/2006. They had a 6-game series within a month after that series. So you don't bet on the first series (1/5/2006 and 1/15/2006).
The St. Louis Blues series lost between 3/16/2006 and 3/20/2006. This series occurred within a month before their last game of the season.
The Edmonton Oilers series lost between 10/22/2008 and 10/25/2008. They had a 7-game series within a month after that series. So you don't bet on the first series (10/22/2008 and 10/25/2008).
The Carolina Hurricanes series lost between 1/8/2009 and 1/13/2009. They had a 4-game series within a month after that series. So you don't bet on the first series (1/8/2009 and 1/13/2009).
The Anaheim Ducks series lost between 12/31/2009 and 1/3/2010. They had a 6-game series within a month after that series. So you don't bet on the first series (12/31/2009 and 1/3/2010).
The Dallas Stars series lost between 1/10/2010 and 1/14/2010. They had a 3-game series within a month after that series. So you don't bet on the first series (1/10/2010 and 1/14/2010).
The Anaheim Ducks series lost between 10/8/2010 and 10/11/2010. They had a 4-game series within a month after that series. So you don't bet on the first series (10/8/2010 and 10/11/2010).
So under these NBA and NHL guidelines, if teams lose on the first series, bet on them on the second series. Do not bet on them on the first series if their next consecutive road trip of at least 3 games occurs within a month later. This way, you will eliminate series losses.
Comment
Freddo
SBR Hustler
04-11-10
63
#290
Originally posted by mitchp
Freddo,
You are correct Portland did beat the Clippers, so Portland should not be a play by strict interpretation of the rules. Well, bet is already placed so I will just cross my fingers.
I just notice a problem in the Minnesota game, the third official is also scheduled for the Chicago game. So depending up where he go will decide whether it's a play or not.
Good luck tonight Hope Portland wins it for you
Comment
Brundle99
SBR Sharp
10-23-10
295
#291
Anyone taking JM's pick Minnesota?, im reluctant to play it as they are one of the worst play away teams.
I welcome your comments!
Comment
bobby boucher
Restricted User
07-22-10
240
#292
wish i had of seen your comment before lol oh well
Comment
cmdyrds
SBR Wise Guy
08-20-09
522
#293
Originally posted by mitchp
Freddo,
You are correct Portland did beat the Clippers, so Portland should not be a play by strict interpretation of the rules. Well, bet is already placed so I will just cross my fingers.
I just notice a problem in the Minnesota game, the third official is also scheduled for the Chicago game. So depending up where he go will decide whether it's a play or not.
mitch,
not sure that is/was the case. i thought the filter was if they played an in conference road game before the start of the out of conference road series begins they must have won by more than three points ATS to be considered a play, in which they did. am i wrong?
Comment
cmdyrds
SBR Wise Guy
08-20-09
522
#294
my bad i reread it and it's they should have lost all their preceding road games by more that 3 points ATS. oh well we deserved one freebie.
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dvb02
SBR MVP
06-30-09
2941
#295
O.K, I am posting the upcoming plays since I may not have time tomorrow (Halloween). They should be as follows:
11/1/2010 Toronto - A bet (V1) 11/2/2010 Minnesota - B bet (V2)
Comment
jordanfreak
SBR High Roller
10-30-10
174
#296
Hey i dont know about anyone else but i lost to Minnesota Timberwolves the pick that John Morrison gave me I added 3 points and they still lost by 20 points and then there next 2 road games are against The Heat and Magic's so can i get some advice what i should do with the next 2 games since its seems like its gonna be tough against the two next teams?
P.S Why is are people saying that they won from the minnesota game under his system when apparently they lost the bet am i not doing something right here?
Comment
jordanfreak
SBR High Roller
10-30-10
174
#297
Hey i dont know about anyone else but i lost to Minnesota Timberwolves the pick that John Morrison gave me I added 3 points and they still lost by 20 points and then there next 2 road games are against The Heat and Magic's so can i get some advice what i should do with the next 2 games since its seems like its gonna be tough against the two next teams?
P.S Why is are people saying that they won from the minnesota game under his system when apparently they lost the bet am i not doing something right here?
Comment
Let Me W1n
SBR Rookie
10-30-10
8
#298
My NBA system has Toronto on Nov 1 how come that system in the begining of the thread doesnt? Am i wrong?
Comment
Brian891
SBR MVP
04-28-10
2049
#299
Thanks DVB. Heres hopin we all have an excellent unbeaten year with this system, especially after baseball ble the big one this year.
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mitchp
SBR High Roller
07-29-10
227
#300
Good start to the season - A win! Got to love it.
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chilidog
SBR Posting Legend
04-05-09
10305
#301
Originally posted by mitchp
Good start to the season - A win! Got to love it.
Ummm....
Minnesota lost by 20 points.
Comment
mitchp
SBR High Roller
07-29-10
227
#302
Sorry Chillidog, you're right! I forgot that Portland didn't actually qualify as a version 1 play. I had placed the bet prior so I'm considering it an A win. But it's not all about me, is it!
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ToTheHole
SBR Rookie
09-28-10
40
#303
Nothing to do with luck, cold probability statistics.
Comment
mitchp
SBR High Roller
07-29-10
227
#304
Got my email from JM, his play is Toronto tonight. Only problem is Toronto doesn't play tonight, they play Tomorrow 11/1!
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bauerranch
SBR Wise Guy
08-01-10
611
#305
Can someone send him our schedule!
John Morrison's Sports Betting Champ System Pick(s)
10/31 Toronto [A]
Sacramento
Note: Last year in the NBA, we went 63-0 with the system, and we only had to make 5 [C] bets the entire year! The year before that, we went 79-0, with only 4 [C] bets being made the whole season!
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dvb02
SBR MVP
06-30-09
2941
#306
Originally posted by bauerranch
Can someone send him our schedule! John Morrison's Sports Betting Champ System Pick(s)
10/31 Toronto [A] Sacramento
Note: Last year in the NBA, we went 63-0 with the system, and we only had to make 5 [C] bets the entire year! The year before that, we went 79-0, with only 4 [C] bets being made the whole season!
hilarious!
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dvb02
SBR MVP
06-30-09
2941
#307
Originally posted by Let Me W1n
My NBA system has Toronto on Nov 1 how come that system in the begining of the thread doesnt? Am i wrong?
The corrected schedule is in post #132. Sorry but I cannot edit my first post or I would put it there.
Comment
mcmister
SBR High Roller
07-12-08
236
#308
Originally posted by mitchp
Got my email from JM, his play is Toronto tonight. Only problem is Toronto doesn't play tonight, they play Tomorrow 11/1!
I think it's because you're subscribed to his Elite picks...they come at least 24 hours in advance.
Comment
cmdyrds
SBR Wise Guy
08-20-09
522
#309
Originally posted by mitchp
Sorry Chillidog, you're right! I forgot that Portland didn't actually qualify as a version 1 play. I had placed the bet prior so I'm considering it an A win. But it's not all about me, is it!
i sent him an email tearing him into one then realized i was wrong. screw it he still deserves an ass ripping. lol
Comment
mitchp
SBR High Roller
07-29-10
227
#310
He'll probably call tonights Toronto game a win!
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Zed03
SBR Rookie
04-15-10
44
#311
Originally posted by mcmister
I think it's because you're subscribed to his Elite picks...they come at least 24 hours in advance.
except the play actually lists the date the play is made on
John Morrison's Sports Betting Champ System Pick(s)
10/31 Toronto [A]
Sacramento
Comment
jordanfreak
SBR High Roller
10-30-10
174
#312
Whos betting on minnesota for the [b] bet since they lost the [a] bet?
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bobby boucher
Restricted User
07-22-10
240
#313
its hard to say they have 2 really hard games nxt, i may just cut my losses and start with the toronto a bet tommorow
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#314
Originally posted by jordanfreak
Whos betting on minnesota for the [b] bet since they lost the [a] bet?
gonna be tough, lets see what the lines are... but maybe just accepting the loss is not a bad idea...
I mean you can play so many nice variations... I already made 6 units so far this nba season...
Comment
jordanfreak
SBR High Roller
10-30-10
174
#315
I mean you can play so many nice variations... I already made 6 units so far this nba season...[/QUOTE]
Yea i hear you guys im not sure if they can get passed the heat and magics so i think ima have to pass on that as well.
Got a question for you guys though, does the john morrison system really work like people says cause i also hear stuff like its a scam so whats the deal on it foreal?