Durant -200 for ROY, unreal value, no?

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  • biggamer3
    SBR MVP
    • 04-16-07
    • 2163

    #1
    Durant -200 for ROY, unreal value, no?
    This is a 6 months bet, but barring injury this is a 50% gain

    How crazy am i for thinking about pounding this like a 50 unit wager for me, as i never bet over 3 units

    I mean who else can win it besides Durant?

    Its an absolute one man race, ALA Tomlinson for MVP last year
  • bookie
    SBR MVP
    • 08-10-05
    • 2112

    #2
    Absolutely agree with you that there's value here. He's already the team's MVP and no other rookie is being featured like he is.

    He probably has to play around 65 games to win it, and there's probably about a 15 percent chance that he'll break his leg or get caught with a gun or something and play fewer than that.

    So the value is there, but I'd say your risk should be no more than ten to twelve of your single game units.

    Where are you seeing that -200 line?
    Comment
    • biggamer3
      SBR MVP
      • 04-16-07
      • 2163

      #3
      The only reason i will not wager this is because the site is a new site and my rule is to never play futures in books that might not last a year

      Its lazerwager BTW:

      Odds to Win the NBA Rookie of the Year
      Thu 11/8 7:05PM (EST)

      1 Aaron Brooks +3500
      2 Acie Law +1500
      3 Al Horford +500
      4 Alando Tucker +7500
      5 Arron Afflalo +3500
      6 Brandan Wright +2000
      7 Corey Brewer +1500
      8 Demetris Nichols +10000
      9 Glen Davis +7500
      10 Greg Oden
      11 Herbert Hill +7500
      12 Jared Dudley +7500
      13 Jason Smith +10000
      14 Javaris Crittenton +3000
      15 Jeff Green +1800
      16 Joakim Noah +2000
      17 Julian Wright +2000
      18 Kevin Durant -200
      19 Mike Conley +700
      20 Morris Almond +10000
      21 Rodney Stuckey +3500
      22 Wilson Chandler +7500
      23 Yi Jianlian +1200
      24 Al Thornton +600
      25 Aaron Gray +3500
      26 Juan Carlos Navarro +3500
      27 Luis Scola +800
      28 Marco Belinelli +7500
      29 Oleksiy Pecherov +5000
      Comment
      • biggamer3
        SBR MVP
        • 04-16-07
        • 2163

        #4
        For what its worth i also really like Chris paul for MVP at 30-1
        Comment
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