Magic -270 Celtics +230

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  • UntilTheNDofTimE
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-29-08
    • 9283

    #36
    Make sure to let me know when you starT making successful regression models
    Comment
    • KingKolzig
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-02-10
      • 5550

      #37
      The only time the Magic had fewer points at the half this season came against Boston on Christmas, when Orlando was held to 27

      ..............bet u didnt know that
      Comment
      • jayc88
        Restricted User
        • 12-30-07
        • 6785

        #38
        Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE
        A game 1 upset dosent put a line off 160 points. Grow up and learn something about betting. The true no vig line in this match was -185 putting the fair offered line at -220. Given public perception as you implied the line was inflated. This makes boston the play. But that in no way means the line was inflated or off 160 points. You must be living in your own world if u believed that



        at least one poster who has a clue
        Comment
        • UntilTheNDofTimE
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-29-08
          • 9283

          #39
          Originally posted by jayc88
          at least one poster who has a clue
          Yea other guy is just a newbie that has no clue how a line is derived. Im not saying Boston isnt the better team they were definitely the +EV play as i stated in the original post, and the line was slightly shaded about 30 to 40 cents depending on what book you go in at by my calculations.

          But to then sit here and say vegas was off by 160 is just absurd. Dosent matter is boston sweeps the line still isn't off its about long term expected value and this kid obviously dosent understand what that is.
          Comment
          • KingKolzig
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-02-10
            • 5550

            #40
            ..........what would the line be if they played again next week. this after the non-call on nelsons tackle on pierce at the end of game4 and the messed up game 5? Celtics +100, just like i said, u r my b1tch
            Comment
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