Sj55 nba playoff picks

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by lyon804

I am convinced.. Nice writeup! Is this a 4 unit play or 5 unit?

I was going to put 4.5 units on it but I am very superstitious. My favorite number is 5 and the rotation number on the Lakers for this game is 555 so it only makes sense to put 5 units on it. I edited my post and have changed this play from BIG to HEAVY now.

**Goat Milk** · 04-28-10, 11:58 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

You think so SJ. I do agree in principle that the Lakers want to end this series now and put away these guys but okc-1.5 tells us that the books believe in okc one more time or are they playing mind games?

Remember how I said Mental toughness doesn't come in until the later games of series. OKC has been playing fearless with no worries, aggressively; mental kicks in now; the pressure comes in to play; the magnitude of it all- the youngins will fold under the pressure when it matters most, but their crowd is enough to keep them in the game. What happened yesterday Kobe haters? I told you the real Kobe would come to play, attacking the rim, and shutting down Westbrook. Kobe should have been guarding West this whole series.

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 11:59 AM

Good luck to everyone tonight on their plays.

**lyon804** · 04-28-10, 12:02 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I was going to put 4.5 units on it but I am very superstitious. My favorite number is 5 and the rotation number on the Lakers for this game is 555 so it only makes sense to put 5 units on it. I edited my post and have changed this play from BIG to HEAVY now.

I see that.. I usually don't pay attention to a rotation #. Funny how that worked out. It's just a matter of what the lakers want. If they want it over Friday then it's gold. lakers made the statement last nite to not just the Thunder but anybody in the league that was thinking they would walk over the Lakers in the Finals. There is alot of hope in Cleveland and Orlando, but if lakers get this one Friday I say alot of that hope discipates quickly.

**Goat Milk** · 04-28-10, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

No need to come in here and go jynxing it. This series is not over yet.

edit- no such thing, but sure.

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 12:09 PM

Good luck on your plays goat milk

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 12:10 PM

I started off going 0-5 in the playoffs. My current total NBA playoff record is 18-8 (70%). I am 18-3 (86%) my last 21 NBA playoff plays.

**tealish** · 04-28-10, 12:16 PM

Originally posted by lyon804

I would have left you alone like I said, but you slipping was too much for me to resist.

^The above post is ironically bullshit because you promised to ignore SJ and this threads, right? How would you have seen his mistaken post under his buddy's account if you never clicked on his thread?

Lyon, for the most part, you seemed to be one of the cooler dudes on here, but I don't know what it is with you and other relative "old-timers" here and the problem you guys all seem to have with new cappers on SBR who are successful, but it's comical to see.
It gets to the point where whenever I see someone new on the scene who is doing well, I can already predict some of you guys will be on his ass real soon.
You can continue to say you admire SJ's picks and I don't blame you, the guy is the hottest in NBA right now...but just because you say 'you ain't hating', doesn't mean you aren't. You are straight hating on the brother, and you could at the very least not deny it lol...

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by tealish

^The above post is ironically bullshit because you promised to ignore SJ and this threads, right? How would you have seen his mistaken post under his buddy's account if you never clicked on his thread?

Lyon, for the most part, you seemed to be one of the cooler dudes on here, but I don't know what it is with you and other relative "old-timers" here and the problem you guys all seem to have with new cappers on SBR who are successful, but it's comical to see.
It gets to the point where whenever I see someone new on the scene who is doing well, I can already predict some of you guys will be on his ass real soon.
You can continue to say you admire SJ's picks and I don't blame you, the guy is the hottest in NBA right now...but just because you say 'you ain't hating', doesn't mean you aren't. You are straight hating on the brother, and you could at the very least not deny it lol...

I really don't need this drama going back and forth in my thread. If lyon or anyone else who thinks tealish is referring to them as "old timers" wants to respond to this then do it through PM and not in here. Thank you for respecting my playoff picks thread.

**tealish** · 04-28-10, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I really don't need this drama going back and forth in my thread. If lyon or anyone else who thinks tealish is referring to them as "old timers" wants to respond to this then do it through PM and not in here. Thank you for respecting my playoff picks thread.

Sorry SJ, my bad. I like your style. And I'm usually the one who can't stand the unnecessary drama on the boards here, but I just felt like I had to finally say something. See this stuff way too much. Anyway, no more from me.
I like your LA Game 6 play and may probably bet the 4Q too. I see the young Thunder team keeping it close throughout, until wiltering away down the stretch because they're talented but aint ready yet for an elimination game against the Lakers.

**swavings** · 04-28-10, 12:56 PM

SJ, I have the under at 191.5 at my book, should take it at that number, or are you still concerned

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 01:06 PM

I'm not taking that hawks/bucks total. The total went up and I don't like that. I'm only on hawks 1q tonight

**bosti123** · 04-28-10, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I'm not taking that hawks/bucks total. The total went up and I don't like that. I'm only on hawks 1q tonight

-3 ?

**Wolf40** · 04-28-10, 01:36 PM

I'm liking 1Q for both Hawks and Nuggets tonight. SweetJ I see your already on the hawks (GL with that play)
what is your thoughts on the nuggets I'm thinking of playing 1Q, 1H and game with them tonight.

**BamaCBass** · 04-28-10, 01:43 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Lakers +1.5 LOCKED HEAVY

Mind games for sure. Lakers is the play. They won game 1 and game 2 and should have won game 3. Kobe threw game 4 on purpose to spite Jackson/Artest for calling him selfish. I don't care what anyone says I know for a fact Kobe through that game. He NEVER goes 15 minutes to start a game without a shot especially when his team is down double digits and I watched that game and he passed up on TONS of shots in that 1st quarter.
Read this article and if I don't convince you maybe this will

Close Menu

http://www.cbssports.com/columns/story/13308059/kobe-throws-away-game-4-and-jackson-lets-him-do-it

The Lakers have now figured out OKC. They got Kobe on Westbrook now and Artest knows Durants ever move. Gasol and Bynum dominated last game and that will definitely continue. If Lamar Odom plays well this game 6 could very well be a blowout. I personally think it goes down to the last two minutes and the defending champs show why they are the defending champs. The Thunder will choke late as this is their first close out game. OKC is suppose to win since they are at home and that pressure will bee too much for them to handle in a game 6 with their season on the line. Look for Harden, Ibaka, and Green to all play below their standards.

Home court advantage is going to be OKC's only hope and that won't be enough against the Lakeshow. I think of game 6 last year where Denver had the sickest home court advantage I had seen in a while. Lakers went there game 6 and ended it.

Lakers opened up at +2 and dropped to +1.5. I won't be surprised to see them at -2 come game time.

My question is, will the refs make the difference and extend it one more game? That's my fear. More drama and excitement for the league seems like fair incentive to me.

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 02:23 PM

Originally posted by bosti123

-3 ?

I took -3 but other sites have diff lines. I've seen -2.5, -3 and -3.5

**phillybadboy** · 04-28-10, 02:46 PM

good luck sweet

**lakerboy** · 04-28-10, 03:24 PM

sj your box is full

**jonblayze8** · 04-28-10, 05:11 PM

SJ, what do you think of the utah ML (+300), seems like the criminals are on the verge of blowing up...They just have no dicipline, on and off the court...

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 06:08 PM

I think Jazz are the right play. The Nuggets will never be the same. Nene sucks and Boozer owns him. Deron gets to any spot on the court. Kenyon is worthless on offense. Denvers bench sucks with the exception of JR once every 4 games. Denvers coach is lostt.

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 06:11 PM

Good luck to everyone tonight on their plays.

**jonblayze8** · 04-28-10, 06:44 PM

i agree completely....thanks for you input, i feel much more confident in my play....

gl to all tonight

**Flopa3** · 04-28-10, 06:45 PM

SJ, good luck tonight, and thanks for the input on tonight's games.

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by jonblayze8

i agree completely....thanks for you input, i feel much more confident in my play.... gl to all tonight

Originally posted by Flopa3

SJ, good luck tonight, and thanks for the input on tonight's games.

Your welcome guys, good luck on your plays tonight.

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 07:32 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Hawks -3 1st Quarter LOCKED Atlanta has been very consistent in the playoffs the last couple of years. They are dominant at home and come out hot and blow teams out a lot. On the road they are just downright terrible. The Bucks are horrible on the road and have come out cold the two 1st quarters in Atl. I expect more of the same from both teams. I think Hawks win the 1st quarter by 5+ points. I am going light on this play, only a 0.5 unit.

0-1 tonight, very small 0.5 unit loss though.

**thechaoz** · 04-28-10, 07:42 PM

Dang I'm just stupid for not getting in here earlier. I got hit hard SJ at the beg like you and have been doing very well at bases and kind of gave up on NBA playoffs. Seeing that record of yours makes me want to kick myself, but will be checking daily.

BOL and keep up the great work. Salute!

**AmpleGamble** · 04-28-10, 07:49 PM

SJ, do you ever post units with your picks?

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by AmpleGamble

SJ, do you ever post units with your picks?

If I don't label a game it is usually a small play 1-2 units. A game I label BIG is 4 units, Heavy is 5 Units, of the year kind of plays is 10-15 units.

**AmpleGamble** · 04-28-10, 08:07 PM

Icic, thanks for letting me know! Will be tailin you on the lakeshow tomorrow night

**colout** · 04-28-10, 08:48 PM

Sj55.. what are your opinion about the Jazz@Nuggs game?

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by colout

Sj55.. what are your opinion about the Jazz@Nuggs game?

I would stay away from that game.

**doctor_on_call** · 04-28-10, 10:39 PM

should have played mil/atl under like you said sj55.

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 11:34 PM

I am leaning strongly to SA -3.5 and SA ML

**sweetjones55** · 04-28-10, 11:47 PM

Spurs ML -170 LOCKED BIG

The Dallas Mavericks visit the San Antonio Spurs tomorrow in game 6. The series is 3-1 SA. Dallas absolutely blew out the Spurs last game by 22 at home. Dallas also won the first game of the series at home, Dirk had the game of his career and shot like 87% and Dallas was only able to win by 6. I just think the Spurs have way too many weapons for Dallas and have a great defensive strategy on Dirk. They try their best to not let him get the ball and when he does they double very late in the shot clock forcing him to pass and have a player shoot a rush shot or forcing him to shoot a bad shot.

The line opened at -3 and with split betting on both sides the line has gone up to -3.5, a good sign for the favorite. San Antonio is highly undervalued coming into the playoffs. They have gotten a bad wrap as an old team but they really do have a good mixture of youth and veterans. They really started gelling well at the end of the year when it matters. They got solid young players in George Hill, Dejuan Blair, and Matt Bonner. Tony Parker and Manu Ginobli are at the top of their games as well. Tim Duncan is old but he is still a very solid PF who has a great feel for the game. They have IMO the best coach in the NBA in Greg Popovich.

For all you trend lovers, Spurs are 9-2 SU, 8-2-1 ATS in home games immediately following an SU road loss.

San Antonio is at home and they obviously want to close this out at home. I think the refs will favor the Spurs at home in the playoffs like they always have and this series ends tomorrow, Spurs in 6.

**Goat Milk** · 04-29-10, 12:02 AM

Nice analysis. The Mavs actually have more weapons than the Spurs, but the Spurs have the ultimate mismatch on the floor. Hill and Parker can both abuse Jason Kidd. On a positive note for the Mavs, Caron Butler is heating up at the right time, and no one in the NBA can guard Butler 1 on 1 when he's on his game.

The Spurs really need to play efficient half court ball in this game and not try and crash the offensive glass too much, cuz when Blair and Duncan are in there they sometimes go for too many ORebounds and thats basically free transition points for a team like the Mavs. Spurs have been pounding the O glass, but what's going to happen if those second chance tip ins don't fall?

I think it'll be a tight one this is a tough game to cap; the 4th quarter Over will be solid especially if its tight going in (obvious fouls if "elmination game" comes into effect).

Good luck, nice write up.