Early Leans NBA 3/28 (Let's get some feedback here please)

[Goat Milk]

Cavs -13.5 vs. Kings.
Usually don't mess with games like this that have a huge spread. Maybe will bet the first half. Cavs come out strong after a loss to SA where Mo Williams really struggled. He'll be on fire against Sac's weak perimeter players. Emotional return for Big Z, Cavs will roll easily. No Tyreke Evans, probably no Varejoue.

Hawks Indiana over 207. Indiana smokin hot lately. They'll definitely lose this game (they're +8), but I think it's going to be an offensive battle, fast-paced, lots of 3's from both teams.

Bulls +2 @ DET: I live in Detroit, and I'm a fan, so i'm not going to try and argue how Detroit will win this game because I took Det against the nets and lost a lot on that game. I think Det pulls this out, and a big day for Ben Gordan. I want you guys' feedback on this though I probably won't touch this gm.

Denver + 5.5 @ Orlando: I like Denver to win this game straight up. Nene can handle Dwight 1on1 as he has in the past, and Denver won't miss Kenyon Martin much here as Orlando gets most of it's points off jumpers. Affallo will do a good job on Carter, Barnes/Pietreis have NO CHANCE against Mello, and Billups will get the better of Jameer Nelson on offensive and defensive end. Rashard Lewis might be a problem though...

SA @ Bost -3.5: I think this game comes down to the wire. I would bet Bost ML, but I definitely think it comes down to a last second shot by Pierce, Ray Ray, or Ginobli. Battle of 2 of the greatest PF ever, gotta love it.

Other games lines not released yet:
Mem@Mil- If Bogut doesn't play, Mil can't win this game. Salmons is cold shooting, Jennings will struggle to penetrate against a just-as-quick Connely. Memphis will be too much on the glass with Thabeet, maybe Gasol, Randolph and Gay.

Miami over Toronto: No Jermain Oneal? No Turkagalu? Not sure. Don't think D wade lets an easy home win slip away.

GWS@Clippers: Clippers will own the rebounds. GSW just embarrassed at home. Like Clips here (not sure what line is) but wouldn't touch this shity game.

Feedback please...

[bretb27]

i love the bulls here... and miami is worth looking into

[Masu485]

like the chi bet i'm on it too. the orlando/denver game is tough, but i'm going to play orlando here

[Goat Milk]

Really? I thought Denver was a strong play tomorrow. It should be a very tight game, might even take Denver ML. Nene has always outclassed Dwight in every matchup. He's a much better offensive player than Howard. I think Denver stays disciplined defensively this game after seeing what Dallas and Utah did today. Affallo will stick to Carter like glue when he's in the game, and I just don't see anyone on Orlando that can Handle Carmelo. Always feel comfortable with floor general Chancey, who's had a few poor games now, I expect him to attack Orlando in the paint and get Dwight into foul trouble. With Chauncey and Carmelo averaging so many fts a game, it's almost certain he does get in early foul trouble.

Argue in favor of Orlando with matchup analysis as such if possible.

[Goat Milk]

How will the celtics play the spurs tomorrow? Will they be disciplined on spurs three point shooters? Bonner will really stretch the defense and there's no way perkins can play him on the perimeter. Celtics have struggled at times guarding the 3, especially from big men. This game definitely comes down to a last second shot. Ray Allen for the win.

[Crnjak]

For me Kings +13.5