Wizards, +4.5, 183
Knicks, pk, 204.5
Pistons, +6.5, 213.5
Mavericks, -4, 214
We have an exact match on my total versus the opening number at Washington. I can have faith in the 4.5 spread, but that number opened at 5.5 and is slowly climbing toward 6.5. Not a lot of wiggle room there so let's be patient and see how far it goes. Other lines are on the move also and I will call my shot on a POD when the best play is at the peak margin, at least that is the idea.
Pacers +4
One of the best dogs you can play at this time, the Pacers hang in there with everybody and occasionally stun one of the better teams, i.e. Oklahoma City just two days ago. The Pistons rarely pull a shocker but do try to keep up, as they did in Indianapolis scoring 102 points to only lose by 4. Of course the betting public places huge faith in the home court and also the concept of reversal when teams play each other again in a short time at the other venue, but the Pistons really don't have much going for them these days and that leads us to...........
Pacers-Pistons OVER 205
The Pistons defense is a mere shadow of what it was a year or two ago and recently they can't stop anyone. While scoring 97.7 ppg they are still averaging a 10.8 ppg loss over the course of their last 10 and a defense that surrenders 108.5 ppg to an offense that scores 102.2 ppg does not have a very good chance of keeping the score down. With or without Ben Wallace the defense still is not what it once was, so you try to keep up on the scoreboard and hope it is not as embarrassing as the 79 you scored against the Cavaliers. You can probably do that since noone is going to confuse the Pacers defense (104.9 ppg recently) with the Cavs defense (95.8 ppg recently). If the Pistons defense were what it once was perhaps they could control the pace, but that ain't the case and this one flies over the 205 with an outright win by the Pacers, let's say around 110-104.
Knicks, pk, 204.5
Pistons, +6.5, 213.5
Mavericks, -4, 214
We have an exact match on my total versus the opening number at Washington. I can have faith in the 4.5 spread, but that number opened at 5.5 and is slowly climbing toward 6.5. Not a lot of wiggle room there so let's be patient and see how far it goes. Other lines are on the move also and I will call my shot on a POD when the best play is at the peak margin, at least that is the idea.
Pacers +4
One of the best dogs you can play at this time, the Pacers hang in there with everybody and occasionally stun one of the better teams, i.e. Oklahoma City just two days ago. The Pistons rarely pull a shocker but do try to keep up, as they did in Indianapolis scoring 102 points to only lose by 4. Of course the betting public places huge faith in the home court and also the concept of reversal when teams play each other again in a short time at the other venue, but the Pistons really don't have much going for them these days and that leads us to...........
Pacers-Pistons OVER 205
The Pistons defense is a mere shadow of what it was a year or two ago and recently they can't stop anyone. While scoring 97.7 ppg they are still averaging a 10.8 ppg loss over the course of their last 10 and a defense that surrenders 108.5 ppg to an offense that scores 102.2 ppg does not have a very good chance of keeping the score down. With or without Ben Wallace the defense still is not what it once was, so you try to keep up on the scoreboard and hope it is not as embarrassing as the 79 you scored against the Cavaliers. You can probably do that since noone is going to confuse the Pacers defense (104.9 ppg recently) with the Cavs defense (95.8 ppg recently). If the Pistons defense were what it once was perhaps they could control the pace, but that ain't the case and this one flies over the 205 with an outright win by the Pacers, let's say around 110-104.