Who wants my NBA plays?

**suicidekings** · 01-07-10, 08:20 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

shocked you didnt take the dog bobcats after all that late money that came in.

im big on fading team off upset wins.....i do like that angle - but i just salivate when i see this knicks team as a favorite.

I feel like no one was being tricky today. rather just trying to balance the books. I don't see the point on a day with one game between subpar team and everyone is watching the BCS..

**jdhender** · 01-07-10, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by S.K.M.

It will go over because everything thinks its going under

That's what I'm sayin !

**chrislau86** · 01-07-10, 09:53 PM

LB. Followed both Knicks picks.

**michalis** · 01-07-10, 09:55 PM

respect

**cahustler** · 01-07-10, 09:56 PM

Originally posted by cahustler

take the knicks ..buy t he 1/2 to -3

gl

3-1 yest
nice winner...1-0...with BAma pending (looking good)

LETS GO BAMA!!!!!!!!

**Dexter** · 01-07-10, 10:12 PM

lakerboy called it.....he said to play the knicks if at -3.5. they win by 4. hope you got down LB.

**lakerboy** · 01-07-10, 10:14 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

hey guys im stepping out in a half hour or so but from what i read texas +4 is the play as of now. the smart money is still on them. in the nba game the under(200) is the play, the books have moved the # up on purpose all day and will move it back to 199 by gametime to get more people on the over. the bobcats are not the play. they are comingoff a big win over cleveland and will fade. if you can get ny at -3.5 go for it .

see guys they moved it 199 at all shops at closing time. they moved it up all day slowly and then back down to get over backers suckered in. too bad i didnt play today
glad to see those who cashed. texas got fukked with the injury

**rochestertitans** · 01-07-10, 10:15 PM

great hit for alot of point on the under lakerboy i envy u

**rochestertitans** · 01-07-10, 10:16 PM

points*

**lakerboy** · 01-07-10, 10:20 PM

under 17.5 second half in bcs game (1x)

**rochestertitans** · 01-07-10, 10:20 PM

now i wanna use those on the hockey game tonight, but know nothing about it.. what is your take on the game laker? Thank you for your generosity

**lakerboy** · 01-07-10, 10:21 PM

take the wings

**rochestertitans** · 01-07-10, 10:22 PM

that a hunch? or a researched?

**lakerboy** · 01-07-10, 10:22 PM

STRAIGHT BETJan 07NHL [19] DETROIT -115 250.00 SBR / 217.00 SBR63061
.

**rochestertitans** · 01-07-10, 10:23 PM

lets turn this 12 to 23 lol

**lakerboy** · 01-07-10, 10:24 PM

Wings need this game bad. They will go all out to get within striking distance of that last playoff spot.

**rochestertitans** · 01-07-10, 10:26 PM

im with ya, ive never watched a hockey game

**lakerboy** · 01-07-10, 10:26 PM

Originally posted by rochestertitans

im with ya, ive never watched a hockey game

dont worry i aint gonna watch it either.

i have watched millions of hockey games though as a canadian

**basb** · 01-07-10, 10:29 PM

LB i know that you wait til the last minute, but i was hoping what leans you have for jan8's game? :-) our local book here in asia closes at 9am american time.. so i cant really tail you on strong plays.. :-(

**rochestertitans** · 01-07-10, 10:30 PM

m gonna have to watch t or follow it on gamecast i always do when i got a bet

**lakerboy** · 01-07-10, 10:33 PM

Originally posted by basb

LB i know that you wait til the last minute, but i was hoping what leans you have for jan8's game? :-) our local book here in asia closes at 9am american time.. so i cant really tail you on strong plays.. :-(

way too early bro i dont liek friday cards. the one that does stick out is this one

nets +10.5

dont laugh folks

**basb** · 01-07-10, 10:48 PM

liking nets as well, hornets havent bin consistent lately.. ill wait for further postings..haha thanks LB!

**chrislau86** · 01-07-10, 10:58 PM

Damn.. missed the 2nd half play of this BCS game. Any more recommendations for tonight?

MV · 01-07-10, 11:11 PM

im liking the Lakers -3 @ portland. Lakers should bounce back and Portland's injuries are starting to catch up to them.

**hedgejob** · 01-07-10, 11:13 PM

Lakers without Gasol

**lakerboy** · 01-07-10, 11:14 PM

careful with lakers they always struggle in rose garden. what about spurs

**nmr123321** · 01-07-10, 11:22 PM

Hey Lakerboy, new to the forum and i've been tailing you the last few days, wanted you to know how much i appreciate you posting your picks like this. I don't want to just come in here as a lurker, take your plays and disappear. I'll try my best to add to the discussion and give you as much feedback as i can

What do you think about the Raptors at +1.5 tomorrow? They've been red hot the last games and have been much better on the road in general. Philly is also a pretty good matchup for the Raps, they don't really shoot 3's or shoot them well and Philly this year has been pretty bad defensively in the half court. I love the Raps tomorrow

**lakerboy** · 01-07-10, 11:26 PM

thanks no opinion on that game yet.

**rochestertitans** · 01-08-10, 12:09 AM

your famous lol

**shoebox** · 01-08-10, 12:23 AM

Nice calls LB suprised you bet points on em and not quasi....

**Flopa3** · 01-08-10, 12:24 AM

LB, Great NBA picks tonight. Thanks

**S.K.M.** · 01-08-10, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

see guys they moved it 199 at all shops at closing time. they moved it up all day slowly and then back down to get over backers suckered in.

How does gradually moving it up and then droping it back down sucker people into an over play? Because people feel fortunate that it dropped because they wanted to play the over to begin with?

**MarkTX** · 01-08-10, 12:46 AM

damn..... didn't check back cause I thought you weren't playin tonights games.... - nice picks ...I am trying to soak up some of the wisdom nuggets you're dropping on this thread LB. Thanks!

**S.K.M.** · 01-08-10, 12:50 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

how do you determine when the books are trying to "trick" you or not?

im on the side of the fence that says the books move lines when money comes in. plain and simple. perhaps sometimes they get tricky, but if you're following lines, its a guessing game on what their intentions are.

the way i look at that line movement down...the books want equal action (asking for more knick bets) so they can collect their taxes...

This is exactly what im thinking. How can you ever know WHY the line moved? Did the books move it as a trick? Or did they move it because real money came in forcing them to move it?

**lakerboy** · 01-08-10, 12:56 AM

Originally posted by S.K.M.

How does gradually moving it up and then droping it back down sucker people into an over play? Because people feel fortunate that it dropped because they wanted to play the over to begin with?

NO man think about it. The line was set at 197 at the open. They moved up cause everyone was betting over. Then they started dropping near the end back to the original line cause they knew all along it was an under and if they dropped it they knew more of those over players would play over at even a lower #. Just think of this next time you see a total move back and forth it goes both ways.