Anyone else have a hunch that Dallas will win Game 6?

**LT Profits** · 05-03-07, 06:40 AM

I say the Warriors do the unthinkable here and send the Mavs and their 67 wins packing. How many home games did Golden State lose after the trading deadline? ONE (to San Antonio with no rest after an overtime game)? Not to mention the fact that the Warriors are 97-3 ATS in the last 100 head-to-head meetings.

(But seriously, I think it is 21-6-2 ATS last 29)

With such a low spread in this one, I feel the play is Warriors on the Moneyline (currently +125).

**buztah** · 05-03-07, 08:32 AM

I also took Warriors ML. Doing a parlay:

Angels, Brewers, Red Sox, and Warriors. Risking 100 to win 940. Go teams go! LOL!

**tevari** · 05-03-07, 08:40 AM

Originally posted by buztah

I also took Warriors ML. Doing a parlay:

Angels, Brewers, Red Sox, and Warriors. Risking 100 to win 940. Go teams go! LOL!

i rarely play parlays, but was feeling a bit frisky on Monday....

May 1 6:39pm 8 Team Parlay - Winner 80.00 to win 8292.61 8292.61
1. Baseball - Cincinnati Reds - moneyline (-115)
for the entire game held on May 1 at 7:05pm [winner]
B Arroyo -R must start and M Albers -R must start for action
2. Baseball - Milwaukee Brewers - moneyline (-119)
for the entire game held on May 1 at 7:05pm [winner]
B Looper -R must start and B Sheets -R must start for action
3. Baseball - San Diego Padres - moneyline (-157)
for the entire game held on May 1 at 9:05pm [winner]
S Hill -R must start and C Young -R must start for action
4. Baseball - Los Angeles Dodgers - moneyline (-150)
for the entire game held on May 1 at 9:10pm [winner]
L Hernandez -R must start and B Penny -R must start for action
5. Baseball - Colorado Rockies - moneyline (+103)
for the entire game held on May 1 at 9:15pm [winner]
T Buchholz -R must start and R Ortiz -R must start for action
6. Baseball - New York Yankees - moneyline (-155)
for the entire game held on May 1 at 7:05pm [winner]
P Hughes -R must start and K Loe -R must start for action
7. Baseball - Los Angeles Angels - moneyline (-125)
for the entire game held on May 1 at 7:10pm [winner]
B Colon -R must start and Z Greinke -R must start for action
8. Baseball - Seattle Mariners - moneyline (-117)
for the entire game held on May 1 at 9:05pm [winner]
J Vazquez -R must start and J Washburn -L must start for action

anyway back on topic...GS closes it out tonight, IMO. Good luck all.

**buztah** · 05-03-07, 08:44 AM

Impressive

WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 8k off an 80 buck bet? I bow to thee.

**tevari** · 05-03-07, 08:46 AM

it's a sure way to lose a lot of money, quick, so i try to stay away from making those type of bets...thanks though

**buztah** · 05-03-07, 09:01 AM

Originally posted by tevari

it's a sure way to lose a lot of money, quick, so i try to stay away from making those type of bets...thanks though

But hey you've got a lot to play with now. Enjoy!

**gridironguy** · 05-03-07, 10:16 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I say the Warriors do the unthinkable here and send the Mavs and their 67 wins packing. How many home games did Golden State lose after the trading deadline? ONE (to San Antonio with no rest after an overtime game)? Not to mention the fact that the Warriors are 97-3 ATS in the last 100 head-to-head meetings.

(But seriously, I think it is 21-6-2 ATS last 29)

With such a low spread in this one, I feel the play is Warriors on the Moneyline (currently +125).

LT, none of the home games they've won after the trade have had the magnitude of this game. They had beaten Dallas several times in a row dating back to last year, but now Dallas has beaten them 2 times in the past 4 games.

In tonight's game, I truly feel that GS will feel a lot of pressure to close out the Mavs, and that ball will feel a little heavier on all of those 3-pointers. I am rooting big-time for GS but if you forced me to make a pick that my life depended on, I would take Dallas tonight.

But, I'm not gonna come back and here and say "I told you so" if the Mavs win...

Wait a second, I just might feel tempted to come back after this call I'm making. Dallas might be favored in this game but it sure doesn't feel like it :-)

**crackerjack** · 05-03-07, 10:28 AM

GS should have won game five except for a late collapse. But I think Dallas pulls it off. I will be cheering my guts out for GS (I hate the Mavs) but I think the loss in game five when they had the game in hand will be an emotional killer...

**buztah** · 05-03-07, 10:50 AM

I think GS will come out and run full court for the entire 48 minutes tonight, exhausting and frustrating Dallas. GS by double digits tonight, mainly off of fast break points.

**gridironguy** · 05-03-07, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by crackerjack

GS should have won game five except for a late collapse. But I think Dallas pulls it off. I will be cheering my guts out for GS (I hate the Mavs) but I think the loss in game five when they had the game in hand will be an emotional killer...

We're on the same page here, Cracker

**Tchocky** · 05-03-07, 11:21 AM

I'm hoping the Mavs win. It's really up to Golden State whether they win or not. I don't think the Mavs can play much better. GS have been the better team in this series and now they have an opportunity to end this series at home. I think the onus is on GS to close out this series tonight.

**bigboydan** · 05-03-07, 11:33 AM

I could make a strong case for either side in this game. I'm going to just watch the game and not wager on it, because I gotta feeling this game has the potential to be an instant classic.

**gridironguy** · 05-03-07, 11:54 AM

I agree Dan. Both teams will give max effort and this thing has "Game 7 in the NBA Finals" feeling about it.

**Crayzee** · 05-03-07, 12:22 PM

MAYBE....

thinking about something like this

take gs +4-1/2 (buy pts)
and dall money line or buy pts down to -1

and shoot for a middle

**gridironguy** · 05-03-07, 01:15 PM

Crazee, just don't do it at the same book or you might get booted!

**Halo** · 05-03-07, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by Crayzee

MAYBE....

thinking about something like this

take gs +4-1/2 (buy pts)
and dall money line or buy pts down to -1

and shoot for a middle

You will not get booted from a book for trying to middle. As long as your not betting huge amounts. Most books like it when people go for middle because they usually get paid x2 the vig!

**Crayzee** · 05-03-07, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by gridironguy

Crazee, just don't do it at the same book or you might get booted!

really?
i've done it a few times and had no problem

not humungous
hundred or two ony

**Razz** · 05-03-07, 03:21 PM

Any book that doesn't want their players doing that is criminally insane.

**shrax4** · 05-03-07, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by bigboydan

I could make a strong case for either side in this game. I'm going to just watch the game and not wager on it, because I gotta feeling this game has the potential to be an instant classic.

I'm glad I read this before I chirped in with the exact same sentiments.

I liked GS in the other games, this one I'm passing on. Won't stop me for cheering for em though.

**gridironguy** · 05-03-07, 04:01 PM

Originally posted by Halo

You will not get booted from a book for trying to middle. As long as your not betting huge amounts. Most books like it when people go for middle because they usually get paid x2 the vig!

That's exactly what i've thought before, but reading about the guy from betmania led me to believe that one might get the boot or have the wager canceled just like that guy did.

**tevari** · 05-03-07, 04:18 PM

1* gs ML

**Junkyard Dog** · 05-03-07, 04:24 PM

GS ML. Dirk has a chance to tie it with a 3 at the buzzer but gets distracted lookin at Jessica Alba.

**gridironguy** · 05-03-07, 04:35 PM

I hope the cameraman gets distracted lookin at Jessica Alba, too!

Chick has got it goin on!

**dodif** · 05-03-07, 05:46 PM

dallas is the play here

**TheProphet** · 05-04-07, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by gridironguy

I hope the cameraman gets distracted lookin at Jessica Alba, too!

Chick has got it goin on!

To bad they didn't show her each time Dallas had the ball that was boring as crap watching them miss every single jumpshot and lack of ball movement. I enjoyed the crap out of watching GS just run them down though it was great watching awesome basketball by a GS team that will probably be in the Western Conference finals now and I don't know how excited any team will be about playing them with how well they are all clicking right now.

**gridironguy** · 05-04-07, 12:24 AM

Well, I missed the full-game line but was able to reverse out of it with a slightly larger wager on GS +4 second half. When Baron hit that off-balance 3-pointer with 30 seconds go in the first half, I had a feeling it was just destiny for them to win.

How could I have been so foolish to bet Dallas -2.5 for the game.

**TheProphet** · 05-04-07, 12:27 AM

I have no clue with how bad Dallas has played the whole series a lot of people got tricked by that 15-0 run that ended Game 5 and thought they would show that Dallas team today, but I just thought back to the Game 2 meltdown by GS and the way they bounced back in Game 3 they did the same thing with a HUGE bounce back today in Game 6 it has made this postseason VERY interesting in the west.

**tevari** · 05-04-07, 12:37 AM

congrats to all the GS backers, this one's for us

**gridironguy** · 05-04-07, 01:18 AM

Originally posted by TheProphet

I have no clue with how bad Dallas has played the whole series a lot of people got tricked by that 15-0 run that ended Game 5 and thought they would show that Dallas team today, but I just thought back to the Game 2 meltdown by GS and the way they bounced back in Game 3 they did the same thing with a HUGE bounce back today in Game 6 it has made this postseason VERY interesting in the west.

Exactly Prophet. I was fooled by the late run in Game 5. I thought Dirk found his game two nights ago.

Oops!

**gridironguy** · 05-04-07, 01:19 AM

Originally posted by tevari

congrats to all the GS backers, this one's for us

Yes, Tevari, congrats are in order. But, don't forget that on this very site last week, I said after Game 1 that Dallas was in big trouble.

I just lost my way before tonight's game, but I was on GS from games 1 through 5. Luckily, the second half line came out and I waited until it went to +4 and grabbed it to reverse out of my game line. I salvaged a loss on Dallas.

**crackerjack** · 05-04-07, 09:17 AM

I agreed with you on this one, gridironguy... I am glad at the outcome and especially glad I didn't bet this game as I would have taken Dallas. I am not sure why though...as everything about this series indicated that GS should have been favored, not getting 2.5. But that team has heart...I have seen many other teams fold after a late game meltdown (like they had in game 5).

Go Warriors!