I gotta feeling it's gonna be a scorcher tomorrow

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  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #1
    I gotta feeling it's gonna be a scorcher tomorrow
    Despite the way the Heat have looked in the first two games of this opening round series against the Bulls. I do find much value with Miami in game 3, and will be laying the 5.5 with the Heat tomorrow night.
  • Razz
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-05
    • 5632

    #2
    That's what I am leaning towards, not sure if I'll play them or not.
    Comment
    • TheProphet
      SBR Sharp
      • 03-15-07
      • 264

      #3
      I am leaning Heat as well they have been in this spot before and know how to play through adversity not to mention that 6 of the last 7 teams down 0-2 in a series coming back home have won Game 3 and the Lakers game isn't over yet
      Comment
      • durito
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-03-06
        • 13173

        #4
        All of those factors are more than evident in this line.

        Chicago was 4 and 3.5 pt favorites at home and is now a 6pt dog on the road?

        Miami is in a good spot here, and I'd expect them to win, but that line is inflated.
        Comment
        • Razz
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-22-05
          • 5632

          #5
          Originally posted by durito
          All of those factors are more than evident in this line.

          Chicago was 4 and 3.5 pt favorites at home and is now a 6pt dog on the road?

          Miami is in a good spot here, and I'd expect them to win, but that line is inflated.
          Yes, very similar to the Utah/Houston game. Actually, those series are very similar, IMO. I could see the home team winning all the games in both series.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            I actually think there's some value in the under at 185 in this one. Heat are an under team at home, going that way in 27 of 41 home dates. Both Miami meetings between the teams also went under while the games in Chicago trended over. Probably gonna pass on a side unless the line slides some.
            Comment
            • tevari
              SBR MVP
              • 02-02-07
              • 4959

              #7
              I really like Chicago in this game to put a chokehold on the series, but will not be making a wager. I remember on Nov.1st '06...first day of the season Chicago comes into Miami and blows the Heat out by 30 some odd points. No bearing here, just something I remember.
              Comment
              • Razz
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-22-05
                • 5632

                #8
                OK, small play for me at -6 -105. Good luck everyone.
                Comment
                • Razz
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-22-05
                  • 5632

                  #9
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  I actually think there's some value in the under at 185 in this one. Heat are an under team at home, going that way in 27 of 41 home dates. Both Miami meetings between the teams also went under while the games in Chicago trended over. Probably gonna pass on a side unless the line slides some.
                  That makes a lot of sense. I think you saw the defensive intensity that the 0-2 teams brought last night, and I'm sure Riley will demand the same tonight.
                  Comment
                  • onlooker
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 36572

                    #10
                    I like the Heat tonight, but just hard for me to lay the 5.5/6. Maybe a small play on them, but most likely a pass.

                    Good luck everyone.
                    Comment
                    • bigboydan
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 55420

                      #11
                      I'm glad I got down at 5.5 last night, because I see this line is up to -6 is a lot of places today.
                      Comment
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