Jay Edgar NBA, Wednesday 03.28.07

[Jay Edgar]

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Tuesday, 2-2, +7.58u
(IND, NOK, SEA, MEM)
YTD 273-511, +45.53u
(since the ASB: 64-146, -20.18u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Tuesday, 2-2, -0.10u
YTD 409-362 (.531) +28.90u
(since the ASB: 101-105 (.490) -4.20u)


POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 SAN 71
2 DAL 70
3 DET 68
4 LAC 64
5 HOU 63
6 DEN 60
7 CLE 58
8 TOR 53
9 CHI 52
10 WAS 52
11 ORL 50
12 PHX 50
13 UTH 50
14 GS 49
15 BOS 48
16 NOK 48
17 NJ 47
18 IND 46
19 POR 45
20 CHA 44
21 MIA 43
22 PHI 42
23 LAX 42
24 MIL 41
25 SAC 39
26 ATL 39
27 SEA 38
28 MIN 38
29 MEM 35
30 NY 35


EDGAR LINES FOR 03.28.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

WAS 4.0/162 PHI

TOR 5.0/177 MIA

CHA 6.5/249 ATL

NY 1.9/119 CLE

BOS 3.2/140 ORL

NJ 6.1/219 NJ

SAN 7.8/320 NOK

DAL 7.6/311 MIL

UTH 7.5/305 MIN

DEN 7.2/281 SEA

LAC 3.7/151 HOU


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

MIA +212, TOR -148

ATL +309, CHA -204

CLE +141, NY +100

ORL +167, BOS -118

IND +268, NJ -181

NOK +410, SAN -257

MIL +397, DAL -251

MIN +388, UTH -246

SEA +354, DEN -228

HOU +180, LAC -127

[Jay Edgar]

At first I simply overlooked the Rocket-Clipper game. But now the numbers are complete for Wednesday.

GL and take it easy -- it's March Madness in the NBA. That is, Coinflip City.


In that HOU-LAC game, the numbers point to the Clippers, but I think you take your life in your hands risking serious units against a rested elite team such as Houston at this stage of the season. Though the Clippers 5-of-6 streak has featured some decisive wins over highly ranked opponents.

[bigboydan]

You might take life into your own hands betting against the Rockets Jay. However, you have to play the numbers in that game IMO

I'm waiting on that Bucks/Mavs line to be posted.

[Jay Edgar]

% TEAM ATS ML
8 IND LOSS -100
10 MIN WIN -100
11 PHI WIN -100
15 SEA WIN 720
15 NOK WIN -100
16 MIL WIN -100
17 NY WIN 165
17 BOS WIN 139
20 LAC LOSS -100


THROUGH WEDNESDAY 03.28.07

5%-OFF TEAMS vs. MONEYLINE (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Wednesday, 3-6, +4.24u
(PHI, NY, BOS, IND, NOK, MIL, MIN, SEA, LAC)
YTD 276-517, +49.77u
(since the ASB: 67-152, -15.94u)

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Wednesday, 7-2, +4.90u
YTD 416-364 (.534) +33.80u
(since the ASB: 108-107 (.503) -4.35u)