NBA system in the making!!

**austintx05** · 03-14-07, 03:33 PM

and what is this?

**dirtyjock** · 03-14-07, 03:39 PM

Hello fellow texan. Im still working on it almost done with the current season to date. But I want to go back and back test it atleast 2 years. Im not to fond of temporary systems I want to make sure its something worth posting. I was just so happy with the early results I had to get it out. I know half the people reading this are like what a dumb shit

Ill post this seasons results real soon but ill update last few years tonight cause im on dial up now and takes forever to back test so when Im on DSL 2night ill kick into gear for us

**dirtyjock** · 03-14-07, 04:04 PM

ok results are 99-6 for +49.56units
wins=1unit
loss=8.26units
By the way Im sorry I worded it wrong in the 1st thread its not really ATS it should be worded as plays. So far so good will work on this more later GL all

**AC1318** · 03-14-07, 05:22 PM

what are the the plays for tonight
at 99-6 lets here them
things shouldn't turn around that drastically at them odds

**dirtyjock** · 03-14-07, 05:56 PM

its nothing more than a martingale 3 step limit. Playing ATS when a team wins/loses 4 in a row ats play the opposite. There can't be a push inbetween the 1st 4 However after you find a play and say ur in ur 2nd bet and its a push its void and remake ur 2nd play. After you find a play bet 1st bet $110 If you win your +$100
2nd bet $231.03(if you lost 1st bet) If you win you +$100
3rd bet $485.18(If you lost 2nd bet) If you win your +$100
If you lost your minus $826.21 Stop chasing and wait until next play
Units based off $100
so win =1 unit
loss =8.26units
Things I dont reccomend doing is betting ur whole bankroll cause you cant ever rule out a loss to start with. However its rare. Sounds like a dumb system but the results speak for itself. Like I said I havent went back past the current year so I dont know how this holds up.

**dirtyjock** · 03-14-07, 06:03 PM

just got on dsl and working on last yr looking bad for last 4ats but looks very good ats when using 5streak will keep tracking

**quik2** · 03-14-07, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by dirtyjock

its nothing more than a martingale 3 step limit. Playing ATS when a team wins/loses 4 in a row ats play the opposite. There can't be a push inbetween the 1st 4 However after you find a play and say ur in ur 2nd bet and its a push its void and remake ur 2nd play. After you find a play bet 1st bet $110 If you win your +$100
2nd bet $231.03(if you lost 1st bet) If you win you +$100
3rd bet $485.18(If you lost 2nd bet) If you win your +$100
If you lost your minus $826.21 Stop chasing and wait until next play
Units based off $100
so win =1 unit
loss =8.26units
Things I dont reccomend doing is betting ur whole bankroll cause you cant ever rule out a loss to start with. However its rare. Sounds like a dumb system but the results speak for itself. Like I said I havent went back past the current year so I dont know how this holds up.

so 99-6 really means you won 99 units, but lost 6 * 8 units = 48 units. Still not bad.

**durito** · 03-14-07, 06:12 PM

The martingale is not a good idea.

I do know there are some good situations playing on teams on spread losing streaks, but you will do better evaulating each game and bet on its own.

There are plenty of situations you can find looking backwards that went 70-20ATS or 30-1ATS, etc ... but that does not mean they will win at those rates going forward.

**dirtyjock** · 03-14-07, 06:19 PM

yea i notice ats is alot more streaky im guessing cause the game it self is much easier to predict then the totals. Thats why im testing if for the past 5 yrs

if it can profit 5 yrs in a row no reason why it wont work in future. However its very early so still need to figure out how many to start betting on and if its worth betting

**dirtyjock** · 03-14-07, 06:22 PM

theres nothing wrong with a good limit martingale :P

**dirtyjock** · 03-14-07, 06:47 PM

Ok time to put this 1 to rest after doing last yr and limiting it to 6streak chase 3 it profited 4units. But lets face it 4units a season isnt worth our time and effort. Gonna try it with totals. I would think it would have a better chance since they are more random