Jay Edgar NBA, Sunday 03.04.07

[Jay Edgar]

MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Saturday, 2-4, -1.44u
(BOS, MEM, HOU, ORL, POR, LAC)
YTD 227-416, +48.63u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Saturday, 4-2, +1.90u
YTD 339-293 (.536) +30.30u

POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 SAN 83
2 DAL 73
3 CLE 65
4 UTH 63
5 DET 61
6 CHI 60
7 MIA 58
8 LAX 58
9 SAC 55
10 SEA 55
11 MIL 54
12 TOR 54
13 PHX 52
14 NOK 52
15 POR 50
16 LAC 50
17 BOS 49
18 NJ 48
19 DEN 47
20 ORL 47
21 NY 44
22 PHI 44
23 HOU 43
24 MEM 40
25 ATL 39
26 WAS 39
27 CHA 38
28 GS 32
29 MIN 27
30 IND 27

EDGAR LINES FOR 03.04.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

BOS 5.6/196 over MIN

WAS 5.8/203 over GS

MIL 3.6/147 over CHI

PHX 2.5/127 over LAX

NOK 2.5/127 over UTH

PHI 2.7/131 over NJ

SEA 6.5/248 over CHA


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

MIN +237, BOS -163

GS +247, WAS -169

CHI +175, MIL -123

LAX +151, PHX -107

UTH +150, NOK -107

NJ +155, PHI -110

CHA +308, SEA -204


20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Teams this strongly preferred by the Edgar Line have not performed as well as teams preferred by less.)

MIN +565, BOS +111

GS +603, WAS +108

CHI +360, MIL +146

LAX +295, PHX +170

UTH +294, NOK +170

NJ +307, PHI +164

CHA +910, SEA -111

[Jay Edgar]

Spurs power rating of 82.98 is the highest of any team all year, by far.

The 27s on the bottom for MIN and IND, are also, I think, a season low for any team.

[onlooker]

The Magic teased with a huge ML win for you Jay. They just couldnt come through.

[Jay Edgar]

The Magic teased with a huge ML win for you Jay. They just couldnt come through.

More of the same today with the Warriors and Lakers. Just need one every once in a while and things will be fine.

[onlooker]

That Warriors lost was brutal. I was also on that money line and that has to be one of my worse bad beats ever.

[Jay Edgar]

Closer.

But still not back on track.


% TEAM ATS ML
8 NOK LOSS -100
9 GS WIN -100
11 CHA WIN -100
19 BOS WIN 105
28 LAX WIN -100


MONEYLINE PLAYS (risking 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Sunday, 1-4, -2.95u
(BOS, GS, LAX, NOK, CHA)
YTD 228-420, +45.68u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Sunday, 4-1, +2.95u
YTD 343-294 (.538) +33.25u

[onlooker]

That screw job in the Golden State game cost you a winning day.

[tevari]

tough tough game for anyone who had gs on the ml...

[Wheell]

I had GS on the moneyline and on the spread. I broke even. Did I get hosed? I didn't watch.

[Jay Edgar]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/showthread.php?t=26710&referrerid=905

[onlooker]

Did I get hosed?

Thats putting it nicely Wheell.

[Wheell]

I am dvr'ing nba fastbreak and sportscenter in the hope they show the ending. Any youtube links?

[onlooker]

ESPN Recap

Click that link. It shows the ending.

[bigboydan]

I am dvr'ing nba fastbreak and sportscenter in the hope they show the ending.

Trust me Wheell, You don't wanna watch that B.S.

[Wheell]

Watched the replay, I can believe the foul. As for the T, I can imagine Nelson screamed Bullshit at the time. I've been hosed much worse than this before.

[Jay Edgar]

Watched the replay, I can believe the foul. As for the T, I can imagine Nelson screamed Bullshit at the time. I've been hosed much worse than this before.

I don't disagree, actually. I slowed it down as best I could and I saw some contact at 0.2.

In the other gym, though, or with the Jarvis Hayeses of the world driving to the basket, I don't think the call gets made.