Big warning label here.
Seems to me that this is the night of the year when performance over the last ten games means the absolute least.
In every sport (especially MLB it seems), teams often head off in a completely different direction in the first few days after the all-star break. It’s an unparalleled momentum-changer.
MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Thursday, 1-1, +2.02u
(HOU, CLE)
YTD 209-365, +65.71u
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Thursday, 1-0-1, +1.00u
YTD 308-257 (.545) +38.15u
POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 CLE 71
2 DAL 66
3 DET 65
4 UTH 64
5 SAN 62
6 TOR 60
7 HOU 60
8 MIA 59
9 NOK 55
10 NY 54
11 LAX 53
12 MIN 51
13 SAC 51
14 POR 50
15 CHI 49
16 ORL 49
17 DEN 49
18 SEA 49
19 ATL 46
20 MEM 46
21 GS 45
22 IND 43
23 LAC 42
24 NJ 41
25 CHA 41
26 PHX 39
27 PHI 37
28 BOS 36
29 MIL 35
30 WAS 32
EDGAR LINES FOR 02.20.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)
CHA 2.9/135 over NOK
MIN 1.7/116 over WAS
NY 6.3/237 over ORL
DET 1.6/112 over MIL
SAN 6.0/213 over DEN
CHI 4.8/172 over ATL
SAC 4.7/170 over BOS
POR 2.7/130 over UTH
SEA 3.2/140 over MEM
LAC 4.7/172 over PHX
STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)
NOK +161, CHA -114
MIN +102, WAS +138
ORL +292, NY -195
DET +106, MIL +132
DEN +261, SAN -177
ATL +207, CHI -144
BOS +205, SAC -143
UTH +154, POR -109
MEM +167, SEA -118
PHX +207, LAC -144
20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Teams this strongly preferred by the Edgar Line have not performed as well as teams preferred by less.)
MIN +186, WAS +264
ORL +817, NY -106
DET +194, MIL +252
DEN +662, SAN +103
ATL +458, CHI +125
BOS +450, SAC +126
UTH +304, POR +166
MEM +337, SEA +153
PHX +455, LAC +125
Seems to me that this is the night of the year when performance over the last ten games means the absolute least.
In every sport (especially MLB it seems), teams often head off in a completely different direction in the first few days after the all-star break. It’s an unparalleled momentum-changer.
MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Thursday, 1-1, +2.02u
(HOU, CLE)
YTD 209-365, +65.71u
SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Thursday, 1-0-1, +1.00u
YTD 308-257 (.545) +38.15u
POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 CLE 71
2 DAL 66
3 DET 65
4 UTH 64
5 SAN 62
6 TOR 60
7 HOU 60
8 MIA 59
9 NOK 55
10 NY 54
11 LAX 53
12 MIN 51
13 SAC 51
14 POR 50
15 CHI 49
16 ORL 49
17 DEN 49
18 SEA 49
19 ATL 46
20 MEM 46
21 GS 45
22 IND 43
23 LAC 42
24 NJ 41
25 CHA 41
26 PHX 39
27 PHI 37
28 BOS 36
29 MIL 35
30 WAS 32
EDGAR LINES FOR 02.20.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)
CHA 2.9/135 over NOK
MIN 1.7/116 over WAS
NY 6.3/237 over ORL
DET 1.6/112 over MIL
SAN 6.0/213 over DEN
CHI 4.8/172 over ATL
SAC 4.7/170 over BOS
POR 2.7/130 over UTH
SEA 3.2/140 over MEM
LAC 4.7/172 over PHX
STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)
NOK +161, CHA -114
MIN +102, WAS +138
ORL +292, NY -195
DET +106, MIL +132
DEN +261, SAN -177
ATL +207, CHI -144
BOS +205, SAC -143
UTH +154, POR -109
MEM +167, SEA -118
PHX +207, LAC -144
20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Teams this strongly preferred by the Edgar Line have not performed as well as teams preferred by less.)
MIN +186, WAS +264
ORL +817, NY -106
DET +194, MIL +252
DEN +662, SAN +103
ATL +458, CHI +125
BOS +450, SAC +126
UTH +304, POR +166
MEM +337, SEA +153
PHX +455, LAC +125
