Jay Edgar NBA, Wednesday 01.31.07

**Jay Edgar** · 01-31-07, 12:17 AM

Numbers complete for big card Wednesday.

GL

**Jay Edgar** · 01-31-07, 04:58 PM

Get ready for some line-movement fireworks in the PHI-NOK game:

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Chris Paul still had a head of hair at this morning's shootaround, which could say everything about his status for tonight's game against the Sixers or could say nothing at all.

Paul is letting his hair grow until he returns to the lineup. He still has plenty of time to get a haircut before tonight's game. A few games ago Tyson Chandler was getting a haircut inside the Ford Center about an hour before the game.

It's no telling whether Paul plays tonight. After talking to the folks at shootaround this morning I left feeling that there's a 51 percent chance that he will play and 49 percent chance of him sitting out.

Instead of just committing to a decision, everybody involved is taking a wait-and-see approach. Chris says he doesn't know. Byron Scott says he would prefer for him to have one more practice but "isn't ruling him in or out" of tonight's game. Chandler said he doesn't think he'll play because he's only had one practice. Team trainer Terry Kofler wouldn't say anything.

Before the shootaround began this morning, Paul said he didn't feel any pain in his right ankle, which he sprained over a month ago. He said after returning to practice Tuesday that he doesn't have any soreness in the foot a day later and feels good.

"I still don't know. It'll be probably 7 o'clock before I know if I can play," Paul said. "This won't be only my decision. It will be my decision, coach and the trainers."

Scott, however, says the final decision rests with Paul.

"If he says tonight that I'm ready to go, then it just (depends on) his tone of voice," Scott said. "Basically it comes down to, do I really believe him? Last year when he got hurt, he said (he was ready to come back) with such conviction that I knew he was ready. He has to convince me that way. Yesterday and this morning he said he feels good. But it wasn't as convincing as it was last year.

"But obviously the final choice is his. I've already stated what I would like to do as far as getting one more practice in. I don't think that's going to hurt him at all. I think it's just going to help him. I know how competitive he is. I know how much he wants to play. But sometimes you got to sit back and kind of let nature take it's course."

**bigboydan** · 01-31-07, 06:15 PM

Lots of line movement in the pros tonight I noticed Jay. It looks like kinda of a chalky night to me.

**Jay Edgar** · 01-31-07, 07:38 PM

Yeah.

FWIW, I passed on MIL and am passing on MEM. Both are 20%+ and I just think neither has any shot at all.

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check that, MIL was 17% at close

**Jay Edgar** · 01-31-07, 07:42 PM

Chris Paul is in, according to the Oklahoman.

**Jay Edgar** · 02-01-07, 12:56 AM

Night got better as it went along for the method.

GAP TEAM ATS ML
6 SAC WIN 178
6 WAS LOSS -100
6 PHI WIN 243
10 SEA PUSH -100
11 ATL WIN 100
16 POR WIN 130
16 MIL LOSS -100
19 NJ LOSS -107
24 BOS LOSS -100
25 UTH WIN 187
26 MEM WIN -100

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MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Wednesday, 5-6, +2.31u
(WAS, ATL, MIL, NJ, BOS, PHI, MEM, SEA, SAC, UTH, POR)
YTD 182-312, +63.12u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Wednesday, 6-4-1, +1.80u
YTD 270-217 (.554), +42.15u

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RESULTS FOR MONTH OF JANUARY

MONEYLINE PLAYS

5%-19% OFF
51-80, +25.94u

20%+ OFF
13-37, -0.57u

ALL PLAYS
64-117, +25.42u

POINTSPREAD PLAYS

5%-19% OFF
80-48 (.625) +29.60u

20%+ OFF
23-26 (.469) -4.30u

ALL PLAYS
103-74 (.582) +25.30u

A great month.

I'd be surprised (pleasantly!!) if the method kept up that kind of pace.

New in January:
ATS plays did as well as ML plays

Continuing in January:
The 20%+ plays struggled some more.

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