Jay Edgar NBA, Friday 01.19.07

[Jay Edgar]

Sorry for the "Wednesday Jan. 18" title on Thursday's. Doubtless made my thread even more confusing than usual.

MONEYLINE PLAYS (at 1* each)
Thursday, 0-2, -2.00u
(IND, LAX)
YTD 150-256, +44.71u

SAME TEAMS ATS (at 1* each)
Thursday, 1-1, -0.05u
YTD 217-184 (.541), +23.80u

POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES
1 PHX 73
2 DAL 70
3 CHI 65
4 ORL 62
5 NJ 61
6 HOU 59
7 CLE 56
8 SAN 55
9 TOR 54
10 NY 53
11 LAX 53
12 WAS 51
13 MIN 51
14 SAC 50
15 IND 50
16 MIA 50
17 NOK 49
18 MIL 49
19 CHA 47
20 UTH 46
21 DEN 44
22 LAC 44
23 DET 43
24 SEA 41
25 ATL 41
26 PHI 38
27 GS 38
28 BOS 37
29 MEM 37
30 POR 36

All of a sudden the bad teams are not that bad. The Hawks in particular are showing strong signs of waking up.

EDGAR LINES FOR 01.19.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

ORL 6.3/232 over WAS

TOR 4.2/163 over UTH

PHI 2.4/125 over MIA

SAC 0.4/103 over BOS

ATL 1.9/119 over CHA

NY 3.6/148 over NJ

SAN 5.1/181 over NOK

MIN 3.6/146 over DET

PHX 7.2/278 over POR

SEA 1.7/114 over MIL

DEN 3.6/146 over CLE


STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

WAS +286, ORL -191

UTH +195, TOR -137

MIA +149, PHI -106

SAC +115, BOS +122

CHA +141, ATL -101

NJ +177, NY -125

NOK +219, SAN -151

DET +175, MIN -123

POR +350, PHX -226

MIL +136, SEA +103

CLE +175, DEN -123


20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar.)

WAS +783, ORL -104

UTH +419, TOR +132

MIA +291, PHI +171

SAC +213, BOS +228

CHA +272, ATL +181

NJ +364, NY +145

NOK +496, SAN +119

DET +360, MIN +146

POR +1210, PHX -121

MIL +259, SEA +189

CLE +359, DEN -123

[bigboydan]

These based on dimelines or 20 cent lines on the ML games Jay?

[Jay Edgar]

These based on dimelines or 20 cent lines on the ML games Jay?

The method would you have you strike at those moneylines wherever you can get that price for the team you're playing. Doesn't matter at what book.

"5%-off" is still calculated as 5% off from the midpoint of the Pinny ML. The midpoint of the Greek or Cris ML probably wouldn't be that much different (even though the extremes of the ML are farther apart).