Congrats CK and Sexymit. Thanks for sharing your plays
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cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#667
Y'all miss me with the bullshit. With Phoenix sitting around for so long there is bound to be some rust. I thought you guys wanted to make some money. Now we've got guys quoting stats from years past as if it has something to do with now, and this current Lynx team. No doubt about it. Either we play the total, Minnesota and the points, Minnesota moneyline or pass on the game. I can't be on the side of 80% of motherf*ckers, Sexy. I just can't agree to that. I can't play tackle football on thin ice
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#668
Originally posted by cocknocker
Y'all miss me with the bullshit. With Phoenix sitting around for so long there is bound to be some rust. I thought you guys wanted to make some money. Now we've got guys quoting stats from years past as if it has something to do with now, and this current Lynx team. No doubt about it. Either we play the total, Minnesota and the points, Minnesota moneyline or pass on the game. I can't be on the side of 80% of motherf*ckers, Sexy. I just can't agree to that. I can't play tackle football on thin ice
Guys? I am the only one who put up stats from last year. You can go ahead and call me out, I can take it. The teams are different but I am sure it is a recurring theme in the WNBA for teams to have a horrible road record on back to backs. It's just a trend in the sport if you autofade that will make money in the long run.
Also FWIW, if you guys post the Lynx pick I will be sitting on the sidelines on the game. I know better than to fade you two at this point. I am 13-1 so far tailing your project picks/leans.
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#669
Originally posted by sweetjones55
CK, I gotta completely disagree with you on that last statement (The opposite of the obvious is always the play). Cleveland in the 1st/2nd round this year, Warriors overs this year, gators in college football (covered every spread except one). These were all very obvious plays that hit like crazy. The public was hot on the Mercury the other night and they covered. I am not saying trying to say that the Lynx have no shot but you can't solely bet a game based on asking yourself how Vegas will make money. I would like to hear a little more about the Lynx pick. I personally just think that the books are giving the Lynx too much credit because of their early success. The Lynx will be more than happy to go 1-1 on two road back to backs. I am starting to think more and more that the Lynx winning makes this game so different tommrow.
You are entitled to your own opinion. And to be a O.G. you have to go with what you feel on the game. But respectfully, I'm working with Sexymit. I have to go what what he says. But if he says he wants Phoenix, then it will be a Sexymit suburb pick. I just can't go with the crowd because you think it's cool. Ain't a muthaf*ckin' thang cool until Sexymit and I both say it's cool on our tip for a Project Pick.
Comment
Pajda
SBR MVP
03-25-09
1385
#670
Excellent job guys
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MrMonkey
SBR MVP
11-09-08
2278
#671
Just home from work and Monkey happy! Thanks CK and SM! I know it's repetitive, but are these guys dialed in or what! Money had to be going Sky's way, right, so the books and the Dating Crew were winners! The rest of the planet, who cares!
MrMonkey
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darthfader
SBR Hustler
06-05-09
53
#672
you guys are unbelievable.
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jcygts6
SBR MVP
04-05-09
3316
#673
tomarrows big plays should be Phoenix and the total UNDER...
I think the total is too high and Phoenix should win.
DO WORK + KROW OD do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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mais
SBR Rookie
04-27-09
9
#674
Awesome! Thank you guys!
Comment
socrates01
SBR Sharp
05-17-09
301
#675
"Ain't a muthaf*ckin' thang cool until Sexymit and I both say it's cool on our tip for a Project Pic"
That shit's comedy! Amen!
Comment
PortsDave
SBR Sharp
06-13-09
447
#676
Newbie member and poster, just wanted to say a big thanks for sharing your plays, only have small stakes to play with, but a win's a win
Comment
Vreston
SBR MVP
03-12-09
1428
#677
Hit both project plays last night!
Thanks guys!
Comment
bigjonson
SBR Wise Guy
05-27-09
668
#678
So what's the play here on 6/17.
Current 183 O/V & -5 on the line.
I am leaning on the under here for only one reason.
Two good teams and I would expect some defense.
Even though they are both scoring powerhouses.
CK/Sexy: Thouhgts?
Comment
xxdjstriderxx
SBR MVP
11-25-08
4740
#679
two women teams expected to put nba-like scores? i dunno i really like the under here, but it may be a trap.
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sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#680
88% of bets on the Mercury so far. The line has barely moved on 5dimes from -4.5 to -5. This is not a good sign for Mercury backers.
Interesting note, Phoenix broke the record for most points in a WNBA game last game scoring 115. I knew this was a big score but didn't think it was record breaker. The total of 115-104 was the 3rd highest combined total ever. This O/U has to be inflated because of this.
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
RoagBettor
SBR Hall of Famer
01-20-09
8355
#681
I want a Free Chicken Dinner!
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#682
If there is that much percentage on Phoenix, either were going to take Minnesota or nothing at all. I'm at work on my phone will look at some things when I get home! Everyone on Phoenix better be careful thinking they are going 2 get free money!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#683
I say that we watch the line and wait for the linemakers to give the Lynx an ignorant amount of points and then pound them if anything at all. Ideally I would like to work wth the Lynx+8, so what I am looking for is the line to rise to 7 on it's own and then we can buy a point and make it 8. If we can't get to the number 8, I say that we pass on tonight's game, watch it and learn from it. I am not desperate for action. I have 4 games which I will be playing on Friday no matta whut!
Friday we MUST take the Silver Stars (they are on a 6 game losng streak dating back to last year and also lost to the Liberty just a few days ago. This team was in the Championship last year so the talent is there obviously and so is fine ass Becky Hammon! I like some others tomorrow:
Atlanta+4.5 Projected Any team that beat the champs must be faded next game in ANY sport Silver Stars+3 Projected You don't think that they will forget the loss to the Liberty now do you? Seattle-5.5 Projected HEAVY (Minny's 3rd game in 4 days) Connecticut-6 Projected (Revenge game with the Sky)
These will all be 1 uniters on mine except for the Seattle game, which will get ugly and out of hand by the middle of the third quarter
Comment
RoagBettor
SBR Hall of Famer
01-20-09
8355
#684
Phoenix line -4 now on Bookmaker. I don't see it going to -7.
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#685
HEAVY RLM on the Mercury game. Phoenix is now -4 and the money just dropped from -220 to -170 on 5dimes. They are just begging for even more money on the Mercury.
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
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SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#686
Yes they sure are!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
RoagBettor
SBR Hall of Famer
01-20-09
8355
#687
I'm taking Minnesota ML!
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#688
5dimes is now offering Phoenix -4 -105, -3.5 -115.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Panekkkk
SBR MVP
03-12-09
2430
#689
Might tease this game with Lynx +9, just not sure which way to go on the total. Any thoughts?
Comment
RoagBettor
SBR Hall of Famer
01-20-09
8355
#690
If I tease it I will take Phoenix +1, over 177.5. Minny/Sac scored 169 last night and there were droughts in the 2Q and 3Q, I don't see any droughts like that tonight.
Comment
aneurysm00
SBR High Roller
03-07-08
230
#691
About an hour ago, I saw the line move from -5 to -3 and then -3.5 to -4 (where it is now). (Saw this at Pinnacle and BetCris)
Comment
Panekkkk
SBR MVP
03-12-09
2430
#692
Originally posted by RoagBettor
If I tease it I will take Phoenix +1, over 177.5. Minny/Sac scored 169 last night and there were droughts in the 2Q and 3Q, I don't see any droughts like that tonight.
Why would you take Minny ML (two posts up) and then tease with Phoenix +1? That leaves you a 1 point window of success.
Comment
RoagBettor
SBR Hall of Famer
01-20-09
8355
#693
Because I changed my mind. I just don't see Minnesota winning this game, I've been on Phoenix all week and even though there is a big RLM I think Phoenix wins and the game goes over.
Comment
cocknocker
Restricted User
11-06-08
8001
#694
If the line goes down to 4, then I think it's all systems go for a play on the Lynx. That's as reverse of a line movement as you can get. I am proposing a play on the Lynx, Sexymit. A 1 uniter with a hook buy to get the game at +4.5 which is all that we will need. There's only one game on tonight. Might as well take the underdog that's hot coming in against a team that has been chillin'. That's how jgbgsox got me!
Project Play
Lynx+4.5 -120 (Hook buy to get on top of the key number)
$300.00 to win $250.001.2 unit risked to win 1 unit
The line is 4 at Bookmaker right now, the o/u just went back up to 183
Comment
xmrblueduckyx
SBR Sharp
03-11-09
300
#696
PHX -4 o/u 183 at bookmaker...
Comment
xmrblueduckyx
SBR Sharp
03-11-09
300
#697
my bad roag. page didnt refresh until after i posted
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#698
The Lynx are also at +4 on 5dimes.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
RoagBettor
SBR Hall of Famer
01-20-09
8355
#699
Damn, Minny coming off a big win last night and playing a tough Phoenix team in Phoenix, line is only 4? I know all "logical" signs point to the Lynx but I can't get past the notion of Phoenix blowing them the f*ck out tonight.
Comment
Panekkkk
SBR MVP
03-12-09
2430
#700
Originally posted by cocknocker
If the line goes down to 4, then I think it's all systems go for a play on the Lynx. That's a reverse of a line movement as you can get
CK line is at +4 and that's really about as reverse a line as you can get. I'd just feel more comfortable taking it at around +6.