Jay Edgar NBA, Saturday 11.18.06

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  • Jay Edgar
    SBR MVP
    • 03-08-06
    • 1576

    #1
    Jay Edgar NBA, Saturday 11.18.06
    RESULTS
    Friday, 4-5 +2.92u
    YTD, 63-75, +5.58u

    RANKINGS BY LAST-10-GAMES POWER RATING
    1 UTH, 2 GS, 3 LAC, 4 HOU, 5 SAN
    6 SAC, 7 NY, 8 DAL, 9 CLE, 10 NJ

    11 CHI, 12 BOS, 13 PHX, 14 MIL, 15 ATL
    16 SEA, 17 ORL, 18 NOK, 19 DET, 20 DEN

    21 WAS, 22 LAX, 23 PHI, 24 LAX, 25 TOR
    26 MIN, 27 IND, 28 CHA, 29 POR, 30 MIA

    EDGAR LINES for 11.18.06
    WAS 3.1/139 over CLE
    ORL 5.9/209 over CHA
    ATL 8.7/371 over MIA
    NJ 6.7/254 over POR
    HOU 1.5/109 over DET
    NY 4.2/164 over BOS
    NOK 0.1/101 over MIN
    MIL 8.1/339 over IND
    DAL 5.6/193 over MEM
    DEN 7.1/276 over TOR
    UTH 6.2/227 over PHX
    LAC 7.1/275 over PHI
    GS 3.5/146 over SEA
    Last edited by Jay Edgar; 11-18-06, 01:12 AM.
  • Jay Edgar
    SBR MVP
    • 03-08-06
    • 1576

    #2
    Numbers ready for Saturday.

    GL



    Don't know what the holdup is on books hanging a MIA-ATL line. We know Shaq is out. I'll guess ATL -2.5, which creates a huge discrepancy with these calculations.
    Comment
    • Jay Edgar
      SBR MVP
      • 03-08-06
      • 1576

      #3
      Should be a low-volume weekend in the NBA market with CFB and NFL going full bore with high profile games.

      CURRENT ML-OFF NUMBERS (listed by "play-on" team)
      ATL is 22% off at -135
      MEM is 19% off at +530
      MIL is 16% off at -160
      SEA is 11% off at +225
      POR is 10% off at +440
      PHI is 9% off at +450
      NY is 8% off at -125
      NOK is 8% off at +132
      UTH is 8% off at -162
      CHA is 6% off at +270
      TOR is 6% off at +310

      The HOU-DET and CLE-WAS lines are not measurably off.

      Really like ATL, NOK, MIL
      Last edited by Jay Edgar; 11-18-06, 10:57 AM.
      Comment
      • Jay Edgar
        SBR MVP
        • 03-08-06
        • 1576

        #4
        PLAYS


        1u
        ATL -3 -103
        NOK +3 -105
        NOK E +134
        MIL -3 -107

        0.5u
        CHA E +285
        CHA +7.5
        HOU -1
        NY -2
        MEM +10
        UTH -4.5
        SEA +7
        SEA E
        Comment
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