Jay Edgar NBA, Saturday 11.18.06

[Jay Edgar]

RESULTS
Friday, 4-5 +2.92u
YTD, 63-75, +5.58u

RANKINGS BY LAST-10-GAMES POWER RATING
1 UTH, 2 GS, 3 LAC, 4 HOU, 5 SAN
6 SAC, 7 NY, 8 DAL, 9 CLE, 10 NJ

11 CHI, 12 BOS, 13 PHX, 14 MIL, 15 ATL
16 SEA, 17 ORL, 18 NOK, 19 DET, 20 DEN

21 WAS, 22 LAX, 23 PHI, 24 LAX, 25 TOR
26 MIN, 27 IND, 28 CHA, 29 POR, 30 MIA

EDGAR LINES for 11.18.06
WAS 3.1/139 over CLE
ORL 5.9/209 over CHA
ATL 8.7/371 over MIA
NJ 6.7/254 over POR
HOU 1.5/109 over DET
NY 4.2/164 over BOS
NOK 0.1/101 over MIN
MIL 8.1/339 over IND
DAL 5.6/193 over MEM
DEN 7.1/276 over TOR
UTH 6.2/227 over PHX
LAC 7.1/275 over PHI
GS 3.5/146 over SEA

[Jay Edgar]

Numbers ready for Saturday.

GL



Don't know what the holdup is on books hanging a MIA-ATL line. We know Shaq is out. I'll guess ATL -2.5, which creates a huge discrepancy with these calculations.

[Jay Edgar]

Should be a low-volume weekend in the NBA market with CFB and NFL going full bore with high profile games.

CURRENT ML-OFF NUMBERS (listed by "play-on" team)
ATL is 22% off at -135
MEM is 19% off at +530
MIL is 16% off at -160
SEA is 11% off at +225
POR is 10% off at +440
PHI is 9% off at +450
NY is 8% off at -125
NOK is 8% off at +132
UTH is 8% off at -162
CHA is 6% off at +270
TOR is 6% off at +310

The HOU-DET and CLE-WAS lines are not measurably off.

Really like ATL, NOK, MIL

[Jay Edgar]

PLAYS


1u
ATL -3 -103
NOK +3 -105
NOK E +134
MIL -3 -107

0.5u
CHA E +285
CHA +7.5
HOU -1
NY -2
MEM +10
UTH -4.5
SEA +7
SEA E