2nd Half Strategy

[Jatt24]

Man okc just flat tonight over is dead..

[alamo]

they are 3/18 combined from 3s 2h

[Trep]

Just horrible shooting from OKC. So much for good feelings. Meh. Let's see if we can close out the night at least even.

[Pounding it down]

Damn....

[Pounding it down]

Looks like this is what I'm doing this week...

[proudgiant]

1H GS over not even close. Thinking 2H under

[dykstra]

Hou/GS under 104.

[DOM-Ganador]

I have been reciting a mantra since the 5 minute mark...NO O.T., NO O.T.

[Trep]

Your mantra failed ;(

[DOM-Ganador]

FK ME UP THE A** with a hot poker....
Had the under myself, waited for Dykstra, so doubled up.
Chased some earlier losses.
Under 17 in 5 is very doable, but my OT record is brutal.

[DOM-Ganador]

off the window.

[Pounding it down]

What a fuk story this turned out to be.. I would rather take an ass beating than have another night like this.. Give me the knick knack patty wack..

[DOM-Ganador]

Not only OT. the IGGY BS bank shot is whats gonna cause this to go over....Reverse JINX....

[dykstra]

This week is testing my fu**in patience.

[proudgiant]

Everything is rigged. It's obvious to everyone that most of these games miss by 0.5 or a point and we still continue making these bets. How about if we just stop betting on these already decided outcomes?

[dykstra]

TOTALS
2/20 - 0-2 (1-1), -$1100
This Week - 6-6 (8-4), -$300
Overall - 6-6 (8-4), -$300

SIDES
2/20 - 0-1, -$550
This Week - 4-5 (5-4), -$750
Overall - 4-5 (5-4), -$750

TOTALS + SIDES
2/20 - 0-3 (1-2), -$1650
This Week - 10-11 (13-8), -$1050
Overall - 10-11 (13-8), -$1050


"If luck weren't involved, I'd win every hand."---Phil Hellmuth

That's pretty much how I feel right now...and I know there's been some awful picks...proudgiant has been kind enough to point each one of those out in case I forget...

But 3 wins turned to losses by OT, the Indiana miracle, and 24 pts in the last 3 min of a fu**in Milwaukee game, all in the span of 3 nights is some pretty crazy s**t...

Yet even after all that, we're only 1 game below .500 for the week...which speaks volumes for the strength of this strategy...

Friday night has been solid for us in weeks past...tonight we've got 10 games...see ya round 8...

Later.

[dykstra]

TOTALS

Over the last week the totals have been a s**t show...so rather than waste anytime tweaking what was already good, my main focus was on our recent struggles...looking for a way which would've cut our losses at least a little bit...and here are the results...

On the left is what could've been, parentheses is what actually happened:

2/5 - 5-3 (3-4)
2/6 - 0-0 (0-0)
2/7 - 2-4 (2-4)
2/8 - 3-2 (2-2)
2/9 - 2-4 (0-3)
2/10 - 2-0 (2-1)
2/11 - 0-2 (0-3)
Totals - 14-15 (9-17)


Obviously neither strategy produced a winning week, but I'd much rather have a 14-15 record than 9-17...

During the All-Star Break I'll apply the tweak back to discovery on 1/7...it'll be interesting to see what kind of an impact it has when we're cruising...

Anyway, tweak is in play tonight...hopefully we can gain some momentum heading into the break...13 games...see ya at 8...

Later.

Went back and tweaked a little more...here's the finished product...new tweak on the right:

1/7-1/12
20-8, 18-5

1/13-1/19
22-13, 19-11

1/20-1/26
21-15, 21-16

1/27-2/2
20-10, 17-8

2/3-2/9
11-16, 13-12

2/10-2/11
2-4, 2-3

Totals
96-66 (59%), 90-55 (62%)


You'll notice the winning weeks were basically the same, which is fine...the real impact was on our losing week...11-16 to 13-12 is a $3,000 swing...that's HUGE...not just monetarily, but for confidence moving forward...

So even though we hit kind of a lull, I'm choosing to attribute that to players looking forward to the break...

Now that we're back, even though luck hasn't been our friend this week, I've got the same feeling I had when we were runnin good...and my feelings are normally dead on...

Money is coming our way.

[sunesaraz]

Thanks for everything bro.

[dykstra]

NO/Cha over 97.5.

[dykstra]

Orlando PK and under 99.

[dykstra]

Cle/Tor no play.

[dykstra]

Sixers +5.5 and under 105.

[dykstra]

Hawks +5 and under 105.5.

[dykstra]

LAC/Mem over 96.5.

[dykstra]

Den/Chi no play.

[dykstra]

SA/Pho no play.

[dykstra]

Uta/Por no play.

[probableCause]

🐒😫🐑

[dykstra]

Bos/LAL under 103.

[JonEJet]

[Trep]

What's with lakers going nuts 4q meh

[Trep]

Such sloppy ball all game and somehow they squeak out 103 still.

[Trep]

5-3-1. Missed the 76ers play meh. Pretty much too breakeven night for me, but happy things are back on track - looking forward to tomorrow =)

[alamo]

5-3-1. Missed the 76ers play meh. Pretty much too breakeven night for me, but happy things are back on track - looking forward to tomorrow =)

I have it as a 4-4-1 night ? Maybe I missed something though.

[dykstra]

TOTALS
2/21 - 1-3 (1-2), -$1150
This Week - 7-9 (9-6), -$1450
Overall - 7-9 (9-6), -$1450

SIDES
2/21 - 2-1, +$450
This Week - 6-6 (6-5), -$300
Overall - 6-6 (6-5), -$300

TOTALS + SIDES
2/21 - 3-4 (3-3), -$700
This Week - 13-15 (16-11), -$1750
Overall - 13-15 (16-11), -$1750



Most of the lines were really tight last night...coulda been better, coulda been worse...looks like at least a few of you did better than I did...

That goddam Celtics game dropped from 103.5 to 103 just as I was placing it...and the beat goes on...

8 games tonight...see ya round 8...

Later.