Leans for Tuesday 1/27/09...SamsNCharge is Running Point

[cocknocker]

maddog,

I have given Sam the blessing to run the NBA thread while I am gone. You ask for that reason please give him the respect he is due for running this thread, which is not an easy thing. I will return in a few short weeks, and things will return to normal. But in the meantime, let's be righteous about things and keep this as a family atmosphere. I know that as one of my henchmen you may not fully understand what is going on, but it is good and it is what it is. I could however use some of your streetsweeping talent over in the NCAA thread however. There are some gentlemen over there who are stirring the pot, if you know what I mean. They feel intruded upon, which is true. They haven't ever seen anything like what I'm kicking over there.

[SamsNCharge99]

Sams Card for Tonight
Denver -5.5

4 Team 10 Point Teaser
Utah +10
Orlando +1
Lakers -1
Texas +11

I have to do it,

2 team parlay
Utah -1
Texas +1

[Jm5900]

Guys take a look at the 1half team total for the kings it's 48.5 meaning the kings have to score 49 points in the 1st hall against the best defense in the NBA!! Not gonna happn in my opinion take the under bol to everyone today!

[mehow]

den -6 (i don't see any reasons why den won't cover, two last easy wins even with utah) my biggest play
orl -9
san +1 (utah lost with tired team cleveland, they are without boozer and kirilenko)


i think clev will probably cover, but i won't bet it because line -14 is too high.

[stakagrp]

I see that everyone is on Denver tonight. Everything points to taking Denver by looking at stats covering the last 3 seasons that the two clubs have played, but I'm just a bit surprised that the line isn't a little higher. I understand that Den isn't as good on the road as they're at home but by the way Memphis has been playing you would think that the line would be a bit higher or shift a little. I haven't seen it move at all and the majority is all over Denver. Feeling a bit iffy about taking Denver with the spread. I'm sure they'll win, but might not cover.

Memphis hasn't covered and lost 9 games in a row and before that winning and covering at home against Dallas. Prior to that losing another 4 only to cover 1 of those games. Memphis tend to step up their game over better teams and maybe this might be their first cover against the spread within the 9 games losing ats. I think I'll put a little on Memphis or won't play the game at all. Just a weird hunch like how I felt about New Jersey yesterday against the Thunders although NJ can't be compared to Denver.

Also I've noticed everyone's taking San Antonio. The line was Utah -2.5 when I saw it open last night on WSEX and now its at pick'em. Utah has lost the their last 3 games against some good teams. I'm thinking that they're gonna bounce back tonight especially with home field advantage. They're a good team at home and Spurs aren't quite as good on the road. Playing in Utah will be tough and even harder when a high caliber team is looking to bounce back. We all know that this is 2nd half of the season and teams will try to step their game up thinking about going to the playoffs!

Any thoughts are welcome so let me know what you guys think out there!

[SamsNCharge99]

I'm on Denver myself, I used Utah -1 in a small parlay, but also teased them 10 points to make them +10, when I made the bet they were a PK....you can see that in my plays tonight.

I think teasing Utah is the best way to go, I don't see any team really dominating and winning by a lot

[SoonerGreg]

4 team parlay straight up win for fun very small on this... 1:1

NBA[702] ORLANDO-500
NBA[704] CLEVELAND-1400
NBA[705] DENVER-230
NBA[710] LA LAKERS-800

Your parlay would probably pay out more if you only did a 3 teamer and left Cle. out. That's my 2 cents.

[kluve]

Here are my plays for tonight....

3 Team 8pt BK Special Teaser
CLEVELAND -5½-105 (B+8)
DENVER +2-105 (B+8)
LA LAKERS -3-105 (B+8)

STRAIGHT BET
DENVER -6-105

PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
ORLANDO -6-165 (B+3)
CLEVELAND -13-115 (B+½)
TOTAL o204-105 (SACRAMENTO vrs CLEVELAND)
DENVER -5½-115 (B+½)
LA LAKERS -10-125 (B+1)
TOTAL o195½-105 (CHARLOTTE vrs LA LAKERS)

BOL all........

[BelieveTheHype]

1st Quarter

Cleveland Cavaliers -4
Denver Nuggets -2

1st Half

Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5
Orlando Magic -5
Denver Nuggets -3.5
Los Angeles Lakers -6.5

Also will be playing...

2nd Half

Cleveland Cavaliers
Orlando Magic
Los Angeles Lakers

[SamsNCharge99]

Cavs looking like crap early...Orlando looking good....Kentucky is a good game. I need some more Kentucky 3's for my streak for the cash on ESPN.

Almost about that time for Denver...we all are riding them here, let's all cash baby

[ManBearPig]

crap need cle to go on a 12-0 run or something to end the half...once again sac playin well when you dont want them to. They always do that crap...they will fade in the second. I should've just taken CLE for the game instead of 1H.

[SamsNCharge99]

hang in there, only down 1 now w/ 3 + minutes left

[BelieveTheHype]

that 3 kills us

[BelieveTheHype]

1st Quarter

Cleveland Cavaliers -4
Denver Nuggets -2

1st Half

Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5
Orlando Magic -5
Denver Nuggets -3.5
Los Angeles Lakers -6.5

Also will be playing...

2nd Half

Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5
Orlando Magic + 0.5
Los Angeles Lakers

Orlando covers 1st, Cleveland blows 1st... updated 2nd half lines.

[BigMoneyMan]

So it's official. CK gave me the right to run the big thread for the NBA. I ran it today and it was very good. But, we didn't have as good of a day as we all would liked to have had, but that's why tomorrow's another day.

There is a down side to me running this which is that I'm back in school...college at Plattsburgh and now, I have classes during the day, study time every once in a while, and school events. Tomorrow, I think I may go to the Hockey game, if not, I'll be here.

Now that we got some of the background information out of the way...let's get down to business.

I'm going to be completely honest with you guys and gals. I SUCK AT NCAA. Therefore, I will need much help in that part. NBA is all good for me, but NCAA is where I lack all the skills. That's where you will come in.

HUGE NOTE CONCERNING ME
I do research games, but I'm not 100% a stat man. I do look at past performances, but I'm not going to give out stats such as *-* in last 10 games vs. opponent. Or, in last 10 road games, team is *-*. The stats I give have stats and some opinion. Just letting you all know.

Leans for Today.

NBA
Denver has won their last 2 games that I can remember by 19 and 20. Winning at home to the Kings and another at home to Jazz. They are playing great basketball before the All Star break and should continue to be dominate. On the other side...Memphis is on a bad slump, losing by 15 at Charlotte, losing by 20 at the Knicks and losing at home to Nets by 11. They play again at home and are playing terrible. Losing to 3 bad opponents by an average of 15.3 points. I don't see anything new coming from Memphis and see a Denver continue to DO WORK.

Denver -6

That's it for now for NBA for me to be honest. I will be playing this one pretty heavy about $330 to win $300 which is big bet for me.

NCAA
I have no write ups, just leans of who I sort of like.
Texas +1. I know the public will be on Texas. probably like 70% at least and I expect the line not to move like always. i don't like texas b/c they are ranked, it's just I see better match ups all around for them.

Kentucky -8.5??
Maryland -4???
Other Games???

I did my best to start this thing up and give you my best opinion and stats to help out.

In the words of CK or around...I've shown you mine, now show me yours.

Good Luck for today, let's have fun and DO WORK

Sam I like that you admit your strength and weaknesses but I don't know about the record. With that said when are you going to start another chalenge? I am going to PM you with something that I want you opinion on.

[SamsNCharge99]

the next challenge I have isn't really a challenge, it's just a 32 man tourney that we are doing. find it on NBA thread, I'll bring it up

[kluve]

WTF is with Denver.....do they normally play shitty early or are they just having a bad game?

[BelieveTheHype]

adding San Antonio +2

[SamsNCharge99]

Believe the Hype...I'm against you there. I'm on Utah for a smaller play w/ Texas.

Kluve....
Denver starter both quarters pretty weak...it doesn't show in the score, but Denver was down 8 points early and worked it up to down 1 at the end of 1. Then, they start the 2nd quarter down 6-0 and down 7 again. but, then they start to play and now tied again for now.

I still don't see any reason why Denver won't pull away as the game progresses

[BelieveTheHype]

I'm against you on Texas, as I am on Baylor -1, as well as Northeastern +7.

[SamsNCharge99]

Sams Card for Tonight
Denver -5.5

4 Team 10 Point Teaser
Utah +10
Orlando +1
Lakers -1
Texas +11

2 team parlay
Utah -1
Texas +1

Sams Card for Tonight
Denver -5.5

4 Team 10 Point Teaser
Utah +10
Orlando +1 WIN
Lakers -1
Texas +11

2 team parlay
Utah -1
Texas +1

[cheesehead004]

Heartbreaker. NC ST was on fire all night long cept for like a 5-8 min stretch in the 2nd Half. Oh well, not much I can do when a team plays it's hearts out. Now hopefully the Nuggets Boilermakers and Longhorns can cover

[SamsNCharge99]

Kluve....
Denver starter both quarters pretty weak...it doesn't show in the score, but Denver was down 8 points early and worked it up to down 1 at the end of 1. Then, they start the 2nd quarter down 6-0 and down 7 again. but, then they start to play and now tied again for now.

I still don't see any reason why Denver won't pull away as the game progresses

Denver looking good at half like I said, now, 2nd half, they will slowly pull away or if not, at least cover. DENVER IS MONEY IN THE BANK

[kluve]

Denver looking good at half like I said, now, 2nd half, they will slowly pull away or if not, at least cover. DENVER IS MONEY IN THE BANK

Sounds good
Now for Cleveland...
Lets go Cleve land, lets go..

[ManBearPig]

hope yur right Sam

[ANDYW15]

Yep, I have every confidence in Denver at the moment. They were playing in 3rd gear for most of the 1st half. Look for them to come out in the 2nd and bury them.

[SamsNCharge99]

looking at tomorrow's games, there's so much I like right out of the gate.

Boston -17....too many points for NBA. They probably will cover, but no chance I'm touching..maybe and I mean MAYBE in a 10 point tease

Knicks -2....To be honest, my rule w/ Knicks is not bet them as fav...but they are playing awesome right now. Coming back from 11 down in late 3rd to beat Houston...winning 4 of 5, they are on a roll against up and down Atlanta team...still don't know if I'll play that

Toronto Nets PK....No opinion....leaning Nets, but they sucked at OKC yesterday

OKC -7.5 over memphis...Are You Kidding Me??? OKC that much of a favorite...YES, they should be...Memphis is looking like they are going to lose AGIAN by a lot. OKC is playing great bball right now as well. I actually like them in this spot.

That's it for now, but just looking ahead, now back to Denver

[BelieveTheHype]

wow Cleveland just screwed the pooch hard to blow the 2nd half

[kluve]

wow Cleveland just screwed the pooch hard to blow the 2nd half

Why would they take 3's, up 13, with 1:50 to play? Dam fools!

[cheesehead004]

Parlaying Purdue +1.5 and Texas +1 for the 2nd Half. Let's get this done.

[SamsNCharge99]

continue DOING WORK Denver, finish out the game strong and lets get the big win

[SamsNCharge99]

guys for Lakers game in a few...I'm thinking Lakers -7 1st half along w/ over 100 for 1st half in parlay...I never bet o/u, but this loooks really good. I probably still won't bet that, but at least Lakers 1st half

Lakers -7
O 100

What you think??

[google99]

i think Utah PK 2nd half is good play

[SamsNCharge99]

Denver is giving us all a scare, hopefully they pull this one out

[kluve]

I took Denver in the 2nd half -1/2. Might have been a dumb bet.