Leans for Friday 1/16/09

[Killer Chihuahua]

MADDOG

Minnesota Timberwolves (11-26) at Phoenix Suns (22-13)
Just some info as I will not be on this game-
Minnesota has struggle on the road, just 5-13 this season. Besides, struggling against the Suns. The Timberwolves are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings versus Phoenix and 0-4 ATS in the last four at US Airways Center. The home team in this series has covered the spread in five of the last 6 meetings. I know phoenix played OT yesterday but some strong trends against Minny

[maddogmadden86]

locked in bucks PK
SPurs -2 bought a half a point
about to lock in magic +4.5

[GreatDanes52]

Dex thanks for the advice buddy

[solobass]

does any book have a ML up for the bucs tonight? every time i refresh another game is OTB.

[ZHUMPY]

Booked PLAYS

Mil -1
Atl -1
Spurs ML

Parlay all 3 of these picks for 100$

[IrwinFletcher]

ragiche
Im guessing that the news that Labron is still sick is floating around. He looked bad last night like he really did not want to be their. Banging NO hard

He probably IS still feeling ill.. During the game cast last night they said when LeBron was asked he said he didn't want to get out of bed and that he ached all over and was all congested.. he certainly played like it..

Let's hope he doesn't want to get out of bed today!

[IrwinFletcher]

MADDOG

Minnesota Timberwolves (11-26) at Phoenix Suns (22-13)
Just some info as I will not be on this game-
Minnesota has struggle on the road, just 5-13 this season. Besides, struggling against the Suns. The Timberwolves are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings versus Phoenix and 0-4 ATS in the last four at US Airways Center. The home team in this series has covered the spread in five of the last 6 meetings. I know phoenix played OT yesterday but some strong trends against Minny

Although they played OT last night they shot poorly. Barbosa 1-11, Barnes 5-12 and the team a collective 7-27 from 3. If you watched, it was pretty ugly. They couldn't buy a bucket when it counted and the Hill was hacked on the final play of the fourth but didn't get the call.

[solobass]

suns legs down the stretch were a factor, those j's were falling short. once it went into OT i knew they were a cooked goose.

[ragiche]

CK,

Already locked on Sas -2.5,Mil pk, I haven't locked on Atl -1.5, cause as you told me that wait for the outcome of the early games first.And also your recommendation of the three in a parlay for $100.I also add Was -3,Tor +4.5,NoH +3 in a six way parlay for $20.I'll be watching this game very closely,cause i've been rob by the refs yesterday.GL to all.

[IrwinFletcher]

love the analysis here, gives my capping something to compare to. definitely staying away from the orl-la game, i cannot get a feel on that one. neither of my models give me any reliable probability.

I personally feel like Howard is a beast, playing better hoop than any big in the league right now and wants to show that he is the man. Their shooters are hitting threes at a 50% clip over their last 6 ball games with Redick and Turk being on fire. If Howard stays out of foul trouble, and the Lakers' rotations are as slow as they've been all season, they could dominate this game. My guess though, is like in the LA/SA game, it will come down to the final possession and the probability of OT.. pretty good.

[africanroller]

Does anyone have the number for the Government bailout office? I need some funds after yesterday

[africanroller]

The Wizards have jumped two points with the money on New York. Well as I look there is RLM in just about every game today.


Also big RLM in the Yale and Brown game. Brown drops a point with 75% of the public on them.

[ram1502]

I'm loving the picks for the board today. I have the Bucks capped to win by 6, they're at PK right now. I have the Jazz capped to win by 8, they're only -3.5. I have the Magic capped at +1, they're getting 4.5. And with the news of Lebron being a little under the weather and Delonte definitely being out, I think the Cavs may get blown out tonight by one of the two teams to beat the Lakers IN LA this year. Hornets FTW.

[NBA Hero]

yeah. y dont LJ stay in bed and miss a game. it will do him good and my wallet. have been losing the whole week with my big plays. time for a change. LJ drink some chicken soup while watching NOh at espn.

[cs11787]

Dont be scared of the line movement on Mil. Even if they do lose (I highly doubt they will) they have two more consecutive road games in which you will win your money back if your using the Morrison System!

[cs11787]

Haha. Thats pretty funny all of the games we are taking big tonight all have RLM and were on the wrong side! Lol. Lets do the damn thang!

[natescott]

I have one play on todays card. I absolutely love the bucks. The kings are coming off a triple ot game in golden state and in there previous home game they got demolished by the magic. The kings havent won two SU games in a row since nov.9th and are 3-11 ats against non conference teams. The bucks havent lost two SU games in a row since dec.10. The bucks trend recently ha been win one lose one. They lost last game and are 12-4 ats against teams with a losing record. The bucks play good defense while the kings almost give up 107ppg. Bucks are the play.

Bucks -1 3 units

[cs11787]

Anyone think if I wait it out the lines on SA, Mil, and Atl will go down??? Or I should I hammer it now? As of now I can get SA -2.5, Mil Pk, Atl -1. And my local wont let me buy points.

[Sloanie29]

CK, worth buying points and taking NO if im putting alot on it, or just stay off it now since its down to 3 and take the other 3 games?

[cs11787]

Sloanie,
Im pretty sure Ragiche asked the same question earlier and CK reccommended he lay off NO and just take SA, MIL, and Atl.

[UndersSuck]

Bogut Career Stats

11.9 ppg 54% FG 59% FT 8.8 RPG

Not too devastating of a loss.

[Sloanie29]

how confident is the hawks pick?

[Dexter]

Bogut Career Stats

11.9 ppg 54% FG 59% FT 8.8 RPG

Not too devastating of a loss.

you're factoring in his rookie year. he was a top pick out of college and had made great strides each of his first 3 seasons:

2005- 9/7
2006- 12/9
2007- 14/10
2008- 12/10 (scoring down this year, but in his defense he's been banged up a lot)

I do like the bucks to win tonight, but bogut does mean something to the bucks imo.

[Dfjay9]

Rough day for me yesterday, 2-3. Time to move on, unfortunately I don't have time again today so if someone would enlighten me as to the top picks I'll tail them, I might get some time later to enlighten you to some CBB. GL

[Sloanie29]

If you guys had your choice of NO +6 or Atl -1, which would be the better play. i want to do a 3 team parlay as well and not sure which of these to make the third team

[peterpan19]

my plays for today (not much time for a writeup):
Mil -1(700) and Atl -1(400), lets fade the 3 OT teams today

I also like Orl +4.5 (500) and Min +8 (500), I think someone already said something about this plays, suns are horrible and orl one of the best teams, will be close

And now the game I am alone on here, Phi +3, they just played great basketball lately and they are 7-2 ATS and 6-2 SU against SA at home, I dont have it locked in yet, but probably will

[killersweet]

Well, today looks decent. I am loving the Spurs today. Although they have screwed me twice, I am still going to ride them tonight.
Taking: Spurs –2.5, Bucks even, and small ML play on Toronto.

What do u guys think about the over on NY vs Wiz? 208?

[LETS GET IT]

i took the bucks before i knew about bogut, so to be safe i washed that out and took the kings as well... hope i dont regret it

[LETS GET IT]

Well, today looks decent. I am loving the Spurs today. Although they have screwed me twice, I am still going to ride them tonight.
Taking: Spurs –2.5, Bucks even, and small ML play on Toronto.

What do u guys think about the over on NY vs Wiz? 208?

that over looks solid

[maddogmadden86]

i'm playing that over

[Sloanie29]

CK and others...i need to go out for the day soon and need to get my picks in. i want to put a 3 team parlay in... here are the lines i will have with buying points...which 3 should i take?

Spurs -2
Bucks -1
NO +6
Hawks -1

which 3 should i use?

[jgbgsox]

i would use spurs, bucks,atl

[killersweet]

Nice. I'll throw some money at NY-Wiz over as well.

[gdaujat]

Hi Guys,
Here are my bets for today:

Sacramento +1 (The Kings have won three straight and 12 of the last 14 meetings, going 6-1 at home against the bucks. The Bucks' last win in Sacramento was 112-101 on March 23, 2004)

New York +3.5 (New York are 3-0 this season against washington)

Utah -4.5 (`Utah have won five straight since the start of the 2006-07 season. They have won eight of nine overall against the Grizzlies in that stretch, including the first two meetings this season by an average of 13.0 points)

Good Luck to all

Greg
Melbourne, Australia

[Sloanie29]

no more time....took

Spurs -1
Bucks -1
Hawks -1

$200 parlay to win $1000..i think it has a great shot!

Spurs scare me, but we'll see!

Thanks CK and everyone!


GL to all!!!