Leans for Saturday 12/6/08

[cocknocker]

For those who play college football, here are my plays for Saturday

UCONN-2.5
Arizona State +10.5
Alabama+10.5
Virginia Tech-1

I am laying off of Hawaii tomorrow, little homies. Not as strong a play as the others.


NBA

Alright, you guys are about to laugh at this play. I like the Thunder to get the job done against the Heat. This is Miami's first home game after a monstrous 5 game road trip. Th eThunder are 1-4 straight up in back end of back to back games but 3-2 ats. Now against he Heat, they are 2-3 straight up in games in Miami and get this 4-1 ats. I m definitely on them in this game for sure, and believe me this is my first wager on ths team this year, but situationally, this is a good position to take them in, so I am doing it. With a line of 11, I will take it and run to the bank.

Oklahoma City +11 and more

The Hawks are not on my list of favorites, but I have to fade the Mavs after showing out on the big screen (Wangichu you already know where i am going with this). The mavs are favored on average by 13.5 points over the Hawks, so anything that the linemaker throws out there that is under that makes it a good play, and shows that he is throwing us some rope.I project the line to be at 9, based upon Dallas play of late. But I don't give them credit for beating Phoenix the way that they did. Phoenix is weak this year. Whatever.
These Hawks hustle, and I like them in this spot because they aren't supposed to cover anyway, and being that they have a long road trip ahead of them against out of conference foes, they will give this game their best effort. I say that they are abetter running team than Dallas, so with this one I have a play on the moneyline, as well as the spread.

Hawks+9 (projected)
Hawks+300 or so moneyline

[ICE-BLOOD]

okcity looks like a good play in this spot getting big points

atlanta +9 would be nice, dont think they'll get that much tho, even if josh howard is a go
josh smith back in the line-up for atl

GL

[isiah121]

What a disappointment on Friday's play. I lost $500 on the Warriors play (+10.5), $500 on Trailblazers/Celtics over 184.5, and I'm about to lose this play, Toronto +6.5. Anyone have any advice for me to help get my loss back?

[cs11787]

Horrible horrible night for me too.

[cocknocker]

isiah121,

Money management, bro. Never bet what you can't afford to lose. But my advice to you is to follow this thread and you will win it back with ease. I have some college football plays and NBA plays. That is the best that i can do for you because i can't give you a drink ticket like they do in Vegas. I am already drinking now and laughing while my wife is giving me a lap dance, and it is hard as hell to type right now. Not that it matters to you, but one of my PC Boy pals lost a cool 4 dimes on the Lakers 1st half, so everyone takes losses, even the pros.

Keep your head to the sky and shorten your wagers so that you can feel good in the morning even if you have a bad day. If you can't afford to lose $500.00 a pop, then bet $100.00 a pop.

Trust me, everyone from the CK Mafia had a bad Friday evening. It happens, mate. But the strong get up and move on. The weak give up and stay mad. Play Virginia Tech and UCONN early tomorrow morning for (let's see you lost $1500.00) $375.00 apiece, $400.00 on Alabama at 4:00 pm eastern then hit em up with a $500.00 wager on Arizona State late. That is the best that i can give you. It will give you $1650.00 to work with, homes.

If you want to play exclusively NBA, I am putting more weight on the Hawks than Oklahoma City for obvious reasons. There you go, my man, have to it! Good luck.

[isiah121]

Thanks cocknocker. I appreciate your response very much. I have $2000 left that I can use to try to get my loss back. Are you certain that Virginia Tech, UCONN, and Alabama will win tomorrow? And when you mentioned playing them, are you talking about Money Line? Thanks bro.

[maddogmadden86]

just listen to the man he knows what he is talking about

[natelli1]

hey ck,

im looking at these injury reports and i see uconn's starting qb tyler lorenzen is out .. do you think they are still a good play even without him ..?

[danrman]

those are bad plays

[cocknocker]

Yes, natelli, they will get the job done . The lineaker knows he is out and still has not lowered the spread despite the fact that more money arrived on Pittsbugh as a result of him being out. their defense will get the job done tomorrow.

BigMoney and I came up with a dynamite 2 wayparlay that we have placed $200.00 wagers on.

Arizona State +355
Alabama+300

$200.00 to win $3440.00

If this cashes, I will buy me a new box of Cohibas Coronas Especiales Laguitos Number 2's and a new bottle of Jack Daniels Single Barrel. It deserves at the very least the best.

[cocknocker]

danrman,

you spoke against the plays and didn't offer any of your own. This is a hater free zone. You must offer a counter play and an explanation instead of criticism. We dont get down like that. The CK Mafia is about handicapping and brotherhood. You are throwing shade homes. What do you like for tomorrow's games? Give us something to chew on, not fat to spit out.

[BigMoneyMan]

ATTENTION!! I have a play for tomorrow that I will be laying some serious money on. The SEC game. I will be taking Alabama BIG! 5 units Here is why. Saban is the best coach in college ball. He has played them at LSU and beat them allot. He will out a spy on Tebo and that spells game over. In the locker room I guarantee they have the spread posted which will only piss them off more. This is my BIGMONEY pick of the season. I said week 2 they would run the table ask the man. CK likes the pick also but probably thinks I may be bias on this one since I played for the tide. I assure you I am not, in fact I hate betting on games I am personally involved in but my friends this is the perfect storm. I hope everyone enjoys the game and when they win I will try nd get in hear and type with one eye open. Like I said 5 Large +10 easy 1 unit on the ML. PICK OF THE YEAR!!!!

[BigMoneyMan]

Bring on Oklahoma! I will be out until late tomorrow night or Sunday. I was supposed to roll to Atlanta in the am but my good friend thats a Gator found a sore on his pussy and suddenly can't go. I'm just joking he really has a family problem that has to be attended to. So I called a flight attendant for Airtran to see if she could get me a jump seat and I'm going to invite my brother in law to take his ticket. I also have a friend i met (I know) that flies out of Orlando executive that may have a private run. If not I will be going to the local bar and getting right there. If anyone in the Atlanta area need tickets let me know. They may be for sale or I am giving them to my sister and bother in law and the firehouse. Good ones too.

[cocknocker]

natelli1,

Lorenzen is playing this week, just like last week against South Florida. They will be fine, homes!

[Godzilla]

What a disappointment on Friday's play. I lost $500 on the Warriors play (+10.5), $500 on Trailblazers/Celtics over 184.5, and I'm about to lose this play, Toronto +6.5. Anyone have any advice for me to help get my loss back?

Always take the Celtics Lakers and Cavs to win and/or cover

[mundane]

godzilla, u lost me there pal... lakers??? u've got to be kidding.

oh wait,, u said "and/or" so not necessarily covering but winning.

[isiah121]

CK, what do you think about parlay for Phoenix and San Antonio (moneyline)? Please respond.

[I.R.B]

Thanks cocknocker. I appreciate your response very much. I have $2000 left that I can use to try to get my loss back. Are you certain that Virginia Tech, UCONN, and Alabama will win tomorrow? And when you mentioned playing them, are you talking about Money Line? Thanks bro.

There is no for sure win bud.. But to be honest with only 2g's left i say just play the Spread, I would understand if you had some space to try a big ML play but be safe and play the spread.. Because i really think Florida wins this game out right also.. But GL with you're plays bud.

[wangichu]

i know it sounds like a stretch, but i'm looking for memphis to come through for me again. They covered 3 of 4 against the hornys last year, including both IN NO, and took two overtime losses by a pair (one home, one away). Nevertheless they lost all four... there should be no lack of motivation here for them. Plus, they know they can keep pace with them for 48 minutes so confidence won't be an issue. Then you've got momentum... they outplayed the clippers for the last three quarters of that game and should be hot coming in. I looked up to see how the hornets did in first halves of home games this year coming off one plus day(s) of rest and they have never led by more than 2 at half in any of these games (that one was sacramento). Twice they led by one, and the other games, they were losing at the break. conversely the only time memphis was in this situation, they beat orlando and went to chicago the next day, taking an 8 point lead into half as 8 point dogs.

Sooo... i think i've explained how I came by this riske play i'm high on right now, and i don't think i can be disuaded to roll with it

MEM +7(or more) 1st half

after that rant, i'm fixin' to sleep on the rest, but so far i like ...

CHAR +8
OKC +11
NJ
ATL

may widdle that down a little

[wangichu]

as for football... i like bama and asu catching 10.5

I also like the army as 11 pt home dogs to finally cover against navy, and i HAVE to fade a team laying 33 in back to back games, ESPECIALLY after they covered the first by a field goal... it means more to ucla (than to notre dame) imho, they're home too, and weird stuff always happens in these games.

and due to my respect for BMM's capper skills, i'm on bama xtra heavy. (i was on them before his blessing, but he's got me fired up for more)

[wangichu]

wow... unless i'm trippin, this is the first time army has played host in this series since 2003... kinda likin' them more... heavy public on navy...

[NBA Hero]

a little advice

Hey wanguchiu

How come bobcats. Ben will defend okafor. Jason will face frormidable L23.

What do you guys think of Denver winning?

[NBA Hero]

CK

good call last night on phillies.

detroit needs a point guard. D Prince is not a PG....so is A.I.

[cnleaf]

CHA.
CLE has never won by more than 5 in recent years again CHA ats.
I go with wang.

[cocknocker]

I.R.B. give me that girl in your avatar! Man she is stacked

[NBA Hero]

wat does ATS mean, ex. 4-1 ATS.

tnx

[shoebox]

CK what do you think about fading the suns untill they show that they can play ball post Antoni and shaq/porter destroying the whole synergy of a run and gun style of play. Just a thought figured that the public still shows hope for a lousy team.

Thoughts?

[shoebox]

wat does ATS mean, ex. 4-1 ATS.

tnx

Against the spread

[NBA Hero]

tnx shoebox. and straight up is without the odds +/-?

[natelli1]

ok, well im with you all the way CK, just put in
virginia tech pk - 150
uconn -2.5 - 150
uconn + v tech reverse - 150
if this hits maybe ill just buy you that bottle of jack daniels

[BeanSaunce]

CK, i read your leans everyday and have come to respect your writeups even in the short time ive been on this forum. However, i have to disagree with your confidence about Alabama. The 10.5 spread MAY be covered, but i just cant see bama winning the game. Florida has blown out teams that the Tide has almost lost too..

That being said I am kinda biased being as i go to UF! Its great to be a florida gator!

Also, i agree with taking the thunder with the points tonight against my heat, i dont think the heat can blow them out tonight.

[BeanSaunce]

Also, what do you think about Cavs -8.5 vs the bobcats?

[cocknocker]

Atlanta is +7.5 or 8 by gametime. i will add a point to it if it is 8 and make my spread 9.

[cocknocker]

Thou shalt not bet against the Cavs right now. They are too hot to fade!

[W0lfy]

tnx shoebox. and straight up is without the odds +/-?

Correct.