FONTANA--5mike5

[5mike5]

jimmy odds dropping like a rock early...+750 down to +600...not suprising really

they have been running well and this may be the place they cash in on a win...not to mention winning that appeal is a shot of momentum too

[5mike5]

also think im going to go with 1 of my longshots early as well...as a few guys have already mentioned Bowyer @ +3300 is worth a shot here, at least at that huge price....throw in the fact MWR cars have been running well...martin not bad here either but not sure either can win the race, but looking at longshots Bowyer does have some value at that high #...Bowyer has never won at this type of track his whole career, but not much risk involved at 33-1

also im going to try and actually cancel 1 of my early 4 picks just to have extra room for after sessions...its a gamble and they may not even do it, but i might try...whoever it is ill probably rebet them anyways but i dont want to crowd my roster too much early on with top drivers so maybe worth it...i think jj will definatl;ey be low which may drive up a few guys prices later in the week

im going to look at some things and decide what im doing and lock in my pre-session roster

[Dad]

also think im going to go with 1 of my longshots early as well...as a few guys have already mentioned Bowyer @ +3300 is worth a shot here, at least at that huge price....throw in the fact MWR cars have been running well...martin not bad here either but not sure either can win the race, but looking at longshots Bowyer does have some value at that high #...Bowyer has never won at this type of track his whole career, but not much risk involved at 33-1

also im going to try and actually cancel 1 of my early 4 picks just to have extra room for after sessions...its a gamble and they may not even do it, but i might try...whoever it is ill probably rebet them anyways but i dont want to crowd my roster too much early on with top drivers so maybe worth it...i think jj will definatl;ey be low which may drive up a few guys prices later in the week

im going to look at some things and decide what im doing and lock in my pre-session roster

Mike, what do you mean you are going to try to cancel a bet?

[5mike5]

i was thinking of canceling 1 of my early bets and waiting to bet it later in the weekend...i explained it the few sentences after in the same post that u put in bold letters...5dimes laready ok'd it if i wanted to, but not even sure i am yet...just did little more research and may use 1 pick differently or just leave it without, but not even sure i will do it yet..wouldnt matter i doubt i would leave any of the other 3 off anyways

[5mike5]

well saturday forcast has got "a little" better now at around just 20% chance of rain, but i could care less about the nationwide races....

sunday is looking very very bad though....90% and not getting any better...argggggggggggg

[5mike5]

starting to look like a monday afternoon race

[Dad]

i was thinking of canceling 1 of my early bets and waiting to bet it later in the weekend...i explained it the few sentences after in the same post that u put in bold letters...5dimes laready ok'd it if i wanted to, but not even sure i am yet...just did little more research and may use 1 pick differently or just leave it without, but not even sure i will do it yet..wouldnt matter i doubt i would leave any of the other 3 off anyways

I see.

I was just asking because I did not know you could cancel bets with 5dimes.

[5mike5]

i have cancelled several bets at 5dimes before....just a few times in 8 months ive been there....as long as odds have not shifted they have not gave me any problems when ive ask...very rare i would ever ask so doubt they just do it anytime....like i said though, not even sure i am yet...wont make too big a difference as ill just rebet the driver later probably...

of course u get the "this is a 1 time-exception" statement...lol

[5mike5]

You guys see where Burton Smith (owner of Bristol track) looking at changing Bristol back to the exact track specs to b4 they reconfigured the track in 2007???

that would be a GREAT move...wow

[5mike5]

Smith said he will decide by friday of this week about the changes, and IF he does it the changes will be made and completed by the august night race

fingers-crossed

[5mike5]

heres another little stat about FONTANA

only 1 time has the POLE winner went on to win the race...(2008 jimmy johnson)

[Reno Paul]

Motor Racing Network in the driver handicaps section is saying that JJ is driving the same car that he won at Kansas Speedway last fall.

[5mike5]

Motor Racing Network in the driver handicaps section is saying that JJ is driving the same car that he won at Kansas Speedway last fall.

wouldnt suprise me they can use the same chassis at about any track since COT was introduced...i dont pay alot of attention to chassis they bring every week, but some guys here put some thought into that, or at least did last year i remember...thanks for the info Paul...appreciated

never hurts to have 1 with some wins under the belt

[Optional]

I keep an eye on who is bringing a brand new chassis.

[5mike5]

I keep an eye on who is bringing a brand new chassis.

i thought i remember u watched chassis info

[Optional]

You guys see where Burton Smith (owner of Bristol track) looking at changing Bristol back to the exact track specs to b4 they reconfigured the track in 2007???

that would be a GREAT move...wow

He's fast to move when the ticket sales slow!

Definitely a nice idea. As an idea at least.

[5mike5]

He's fast to move when the ticket sales slow!

Definitely a nice idea. As an idea at least.

yeah i actually think hes going to do it...said he will announce decision by friday and get to work on it so will be complete by august night race...

[5mike5]

cancelled early wager on KYLE...going to hold off til later, and probably re-bet him on weekend....also added bowyer @+3300

still have room to place jimmy(+750) kennseth (+1000) and harvick(+1100) as just cover wagers if need be, or add plenty to them if odds get better than i got them at early..will add the rest of my drivers b4 the race and through the weekend....

really just took Bowyer as extreme value pick that would payoff huge...dont think he will win by any means, but never hurts to have longshot or 2 in the roster...

[5mike5]

few interseting stats for....

Toyota or JGR have never won a race at Fontana

a past champion has won 14 of the 22 races here also...cream rises to the top here more than just about any other track

[Reno Paul]

Already on JJ +600 and Harvick +1100.....Messed up on not taking Johnson earlier, but his record at Fontana speaks for itself.......Will add another after the practice sessions.

[JackalLion]

Mike, I apologize for asking this on your thread, but I know there are a lot of NASCAR fans here.

Does anyone here play ESPN Stock Car Challenge? If so is there a thread to discuss? Most of the ones I've found are playing Yahoo.

[5mike5]

Mike, I apologize for asking this on your thread, but I know there are a lot of NASCAR fans here.

Does anyone here play ESPN Stock Car Challenge? If so is there a thread to discuss? Most of the ones I've found are playing Yahoo.

not sure, i personally dont play fantasy nascar but some1 here probably does

OOPS...oh yeah as Opti pointed out, SBR challenge used espn fantasy...check it out on Opti's thread

[Optional]

Mike, I apologize for asking this on your thread, but I know there are a lot of NASCAR fans here.

Does anyone here play ESPN Stock Car Challenge? If so is there a thread to discuss? Most of the ones I've found are playing Yahoo.

Oh, maybe about 21 of us

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nascar-betting/1592589-2012-sbr-nascar-challenge.html

Become a pro and you can jump in our 25 points a head weekly pool too.

[5mike5]

damn still 90% rain on sunday....

this is going to be a monday early afternoon race i have a feeling

[5mike5]

i HATE rain

[JackalLion]

Thanks Mike and Opti for your responses. I have reviewed that thread several times and just finished once again. Opti first thank you for inviting me to your weekly challenge. I'll look into becoming a pro and joining.

Im looking for a thread that players bounce ideas off of in terms of roster selection changes. I realize that your group is competing weekly and is probably not interested in sharing with each other.

[Optional]

Thanks Mike and Opti for your responses. I have reviewed that thread several times and just finished once again. Opti first thank you for inviting me to your weekly challenge. I'll look into becoming a pro and joining.

Im looking for a thread that players bounce ideas off of in terms of roster selection changes. I realize that your group is competing weekly and is probably not interested in sharing with each other.

You dont need to be a pro to join the group, or start a conversation in there.

[DDT]

You dont need to be a pro to join the group, or start a conversation in there.

Opti, you forgot to mention that you have to be an SBR member since at least 2011 to play...Sorry Jackal

[Reno Paul]

damn still 90% rain on sunday....

this is going to be a monday early afternoon race i have a feeling

I'd rather see a full race on Monday compared to a race that is called after half-way on Sunday. Well unless your pick hits.

[5mike5]

I'd rather see a full race on Monday compared to a race that is called after half-way on Sunday. Well unless your pick hits.

i totally agree....and im on the losing end of races called b4 the scheduled # of laps 99% of the time...ran shortened races have never been my friend....

never forget loagano winning a rain shortened event a few years ago and cost me BIG

[5mike5]

checked weather again this morning...

90% chance of rain still ALL AFTERNOON tomorrow....still looks like monday boys, but thats ok by me i guess...

least we will get a little nationwide in today with 0% chance

[Optional]

There has been no rain in Malaysia when the forecast said it was guaranteed too. Keep fingers crossed, after all I hear it never rains in Southern California.

[5mike5]

yeah im hoping that as well Opti.....

[Reno Paul]

Hamlin looks to have the car to beat as of now.......I can kick myself in the ass for not taking him @+1500 before practices.

[5mike5]

no reason to take him b4 practices at that price though....he isnt very good at Fontana...

not sayin he cant win but that price not that good for him at fontana b4 practices...and dont read too much in practice sessions...they havent meant much when it comes to winning the race this year