KANSAS--5mike5

5mike5 · 10-05-11, 09:11 PM

im just now looking over my kansas notebook and this years notes in 1.5 and checking out all the early odds to see if anything looks worth taking a shot at b4 the practices, ect.

Optional · 10-06-11, 08:50 AM

Come up with anything Mike?

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 09:56 AM

i havent pulled the triiger on anybody as of yet opti...i do like the big odds every1 has early, but guess it should be here....how about u, grabbed up any1 yet?

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 09:59 AM

5dimes only jimmy and carl at 7.75 and everybody else 10+ and higher....sets up for a nice roster and prophits, but wont stay that way im sure...

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 10:22 AM

just hope this thing doesnt turn into mileage again

Optional · 10-06-11, 10:23 AM

Yeah, the bookies are about as sure as us so far

Originally posted by 5mike5

i havent pulled the triiger on anybody as of yet opti...i do like the big odds every1 has early, but guess it should be here....how about u, grabbed up any1 yet?

I'm trying to stop myself going too big early. Jimmie, Biff and Smoke are the only solid chances on my radar. Took first two but not happy with +1000 on Tony.

Vegas39 · 10-06-11, 10:23 AM

Originally posted by 5mike5

just hope this thing doesnt turn into mileage again

sadly think thats exactly what we see Sunday

Optional · 10-06-11, 10:25 AM

Wish I had enough cash on hand to make it worthwhile filling up betfair and laying against Kyle heavy. (even though he has ****** me more than any other driver)

Optional · 10-06-11, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by Vegas39

sadly think thats exactly what we see Sunday

Why does it seem to be happening more this year?

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 10:26 AM

yeah maybe some1 throws a beer can on the track and saves the day....nothing worse to me than having 500.00 or more on the line and my handicapping thrown out the window by fuel mileage...argggggg....i got my fingers crossed but ur right, odds are it will be stragety race from the green flag to the checkers fly

Vegas39 · 10-06-11, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by Optional

Why does it seem to be happening more this year?

seems like less cautions this year,in years past we always got that mystery debris caution it seemed to take mileage out of equation

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by Optional

Why does it seem to be happening more this year?

1 main reason is goodyear has pretty much perfected the tire they bring to every race track....i mean these tires NEVER fall off like they used to, which makes the races more boring imo...not hardly ever a blown tire anymore, which means less wrecks and cautions.....another reason is COT handles alot better and takes punishment more than the older car did...but mainly its goodyear and the tire

Vegas39 · 10-06-11, 10:30 AM

Mike nailed it too was about to post that nowhere near tire fall off they need,so on last cautions they will stay out if close or good on fuel

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 10:33 AM

and vegas39 has a point too, no idea why nascar doesnt throw those mystery debris cautions anymore...i know media kinda called them on it a few times last year and this year they havent done it at all really...fuel mileage just usually never falls in my favor...i usually winning until the mileage kicks in and i run out( like bowyer did, costing me around 800 profhit)...i lose WAY more than i win on mileage races

Optional · 10-06-11, 10:34 AM

I'm a bit of an F1 fan and this year racing has been brought alive again by asking Pirelli to make tires that deliberately fall off a cliff as soon as used up.

A bit artificial, but you're right that it works well!

@Vegas... that sounds logical too. But can't believe we sound like we want NASCAR to throw more fake cautions here

Come to think I recall getting pissed off with a long run of races that all had GWC or cautions in the last 10 laps week after week not that long back.

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 10:36 AM

LMAO...yeah thats true opti...i guess its whatever i need to WIN that week!!!

Vegas39 · 10-06-11, 10:36 AM

Think Nascar listened to fans that were complaining ( me included) that too many cautions at end so now unless very bad its staying green

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 10:37 AM

f1 usually always at wiers times here in the states, so i never even watched an f1 race to be honest with u or wagered on it either, but looking by odds only a few guys ever win in that series....if i ever see it on the tv ill check it out though

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 10:39 AM

yes i was also the guy complaining as well, but i guess when u gamble on it every week, u ( or me anyways) want whatever is goping to help a driver i bet on the win the race....way out front i pray for no caution, in 2nd or worse and dont have the leader, i want the debris caution for a mystery reason...lol

Vegas39 · 10-06-11, 10:42 AM

Opt or Mike do you know of a site other than Jayski that lists chasis teams are running.As Jayski hasn't listed this yet this week

Optional · 10-06-11, 10:42 AM

I think it's been a tough F1 season betting wise if using US books. With Vettel and Red Bull being so dominant. You really need a book like Betfair that offers a lot of markets on obscure things to have found much value this year.

Originally posted by Vegas39

Think Nascar listened to fans that were complaining ( me included) that too many cautions at end so now unless very bad its staying green

Probably how it should be as a purist. But have to admit they do improve the racing excitement at the end. :\

Optional · 10-06-11, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by Vegas39

Opt or Mike do you know of a site other than Jayski that lists chasis teams are running.As Jayski hasn't listed this yet this week

No I dont. Been looking for it on Jayski myself.

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 10:46 AM

i only use jayski to look at chasis team runs...actually i dont knowe anywhere else that lists them...BTW...USUALLY JAYSKI DOESNT POST them until late thursday night...not sure if teams dont release info. til then or what the reason is....but most the time its late in the week when jayski posts them

Vegas39 · 10-06-11, 10:49 AM

Thanks guys

Optional · 10-06-11, 11:10 AM

Think they just collect them from the teams weekly press releases.

Jay Price · 10-06-11, 11:40 AM

NASCAR Notes

http://robertsnascarnotes.blogspot.com/

News and notes from each week of NASCAR racing using a Las Vegas oddsmaking perspective

This guy scours the press releases early and posts chassis selections

Vegas39 · 10-06-11, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by dew22

http://robertsnascarnotes.blogspot.com/

This guy scours the press releases early and posts chassis selections

awesome thanks

5mike5 · 10-06-11, 07:03 PM

hard not to take a look at gordon 10 to 1 early here with 2 wins and 5 straight top 5 finishes at kansas...plus hes done well on this track type this year....chances are if u like him this is as good as it will get for him, but never know with early wagers

5mike5 · 10-07-11, 08:44 AM

thinking just a few early and wait til sessions are over for the rest...couldnt help to take those few, but going to save bankroll for this week mostly after sessions

5mike5 · 10-07-11, 11:56 AM

5dimes odds this week were amazing i though

5mike5 · 10-07-11, 05:25 PM

loved the QUALIFYING SESSION..going to be a nice moneymaker this sunday boys! cant wait

5mike5 · 10-07-11, 05:41 PM

the post-odds will set up to able to make some big money along with the few taken pre-sessions that turned out great....nothing like good odds and a few more drivers than usual and still prophit big

Optional · 10-07-11, 06:02 PM

Sounds good. Lets hope the books comply!

5mike5 · 10-07-11, 06:22 PM

i think it will be fairly close to the pre-sessions were odds wise.give or take some points here and there..i hope so anyways cause i only picked up a few drivers early, but i think they were good selections at the odds 5dimes posted this week....i neede a big race...i hate when season gets close to ending cause that means big withdrawls (paychecks for me) are on a 2.5 month hiatus..lol...