Monster mile--dover

5mike5 · 09-26-11, 11:38 PM

waiting for the odds to be posted at 5dimes tomorrow and see if theres anything worth grabbing early this week

Optional · 09-27-11, 11:53 AM

Greek has openers up

101 Jimmie Johnson +700
102 Kyle Busch +700
103 Carl Edwards +800
104 Jeff Gordon +900
105 Tony Stewart +900
106 Matt Kenseth +1000
107 Kevin Harvick +1200
108 Kurt Busch +1500
109 Brad Keselowski +1500
110 Greg Biffle +1800
111 Denny Hamlin +2000
112 Clint Bowyer +2000
113 Mark Martin +2500
114 Dale Earnhardt Jr +3000
115 Kasey Kahne +3000
116 Ryan Newman +3000
117 AJ Allmendinger +3500
118 Martin Truex Jr +3500
119 Jeff Burton +3500
120 Joey Logano +4000
121 Field +1500

5mike5 · 09-27-11, 12:09 PM

looking pretty standard for dover....im just diggin into my dover notebooks today...ill definatley have 1 or 2 early maybe...just not sure yet....any1 catching ur eye on opening odds opti? l

Optional · 09-27-11, 01:25 PM

I'm losing confidence with my calls I've been so far wrong recently.

On paper it should be between Edwards and Jimmie but out of that lot I'm thinking Biffle and Newman look the early value?

Will probably wait until Friday to place any bets this week though I think. See what news comes out and maybe even wait until post practice.

Optional · 09-27-11, 01:30 PM

Changed mind. Think I'll start with a small play on Newman +3000.

Like Dale Jr's recent form, and Hendrick in general, but his Dover record is below his average.

5mike5 · 09-27-11, 04:50 PM

i agree there is value there in a longshot...still going through and see what im taking early, im sure at least 1 or 2....last week was painful as bowyer running out cost me the win AND my 3 team matchup parlay...but i won 3 weeks in a row and was due that lose cause i won the exact same way last weekend at chicagoland....i just pray for NO MORE FUEL MILEAGE!!!!...im sick to death of that shit....so we will get them this week....ill post anything io decide early, but probably wont know 4 sure until tomorrow

5mike5 · 09-27-11, 10:08 PM

nice to see we will have a nationwide race (330pm) and truck series race(8pm speed channel) BOTH on saturday!!! mybe ein a little money for sunday

5mike5 · 09-28-11, 11:08 AM

i know i should take jimmy but his odds co0uldnt get much better than 6 to 1, and if has good prec/qualif/ sessions he may actually go even lower to the dreded 4-5 to 12 range...hate to but may have him early, hes sooooooo overdue to win a race

Optional · 09-28-11, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

i know i should take jimmy but his odds co0uldnt get much better than 6 to 1, and if has good prec/qualif/ sessions he may actually go even lower to the dreded 4-5 to 12 range...hate to but may have him early, hes sooooooo overdue to win a race

Kyle is overdue too...

5mike5 · 09-28-11, 07:27 PM

yes he is....i usually never leave kyle off my roster honestly...still havent pulled the trigger on any1 early yet

5mike5 · 09-28-11, 08:06 PM

well i went ahead and pulled the trigger on matt kennseth...hes been top 3 at these tracks and is very good here...i think hes a good value ealry grab (+1100)....probably taking 1 more early, looking at kyle as hes down to +675 already

5mike5 · 09-28-11, 08:15 PM

finialized my EARLY roster: KYLE BUSCH (+675) and MATT KENNSETH(+110).....that wil be the only 2 wagers that i will have early...the others i will wait and see what practice avgs and qualifying looks like...but these 2 i cant see not having anyway so i grabbed them up early

avssakic · 09-28-11, 09:45 PM

well last two weeks i have made bets before qual and it has paid off. gonna try that again this week...

johnson
kyle
edwards
biffle - debated between him and kenseth

5mike5 · 09-28-11, 10:48 PM

i may add jimmy as well but just will wait, i didnt want to take both favs early on...and i though kennseth had the best value by far of the drivers acrually in chase, and we know that chase drivers in the chase usually win...but i do like biff here too...edwards just cant win races this year, but hes good here but im waiting to see how he looks cause this odds are too low for me early here...GOOD AVSSAKIC, hope we both win this week buddy

5mike5 · 09-28-11, 10:57 PM

if i add any1 else ill update it here...got trucks and nationwide saturday so hopefully pad the bankroll with extra winnings to put toward cup race...goodluck to every1

Optional · 09-29-11, 12:03 AM

You make the gap between races take even longer with all this bloody thinking early in the week Mike!

Roll on Friday...

hawk 5 · 09-29-11, 06:36 AM

Originally posted by avssakic

well last two weeks i have made bets before qual and it has paid off. gonna try that again this week...

johnson
kyle
edwards
biffle - debated between him and kenseth

I'm on Johnson, Edwards, and Kenseth. May still take Biffle. Going to wait on my 4th.

DDT · 09-29-11, 09:14 AM

Can Tony win 3 in a row??

5mike5 · 09-29-11, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by DDT

Can Tony win 3 in a row??

i cant see me taking stewart at dover...hes terrible here...1 of his worse tracks actually

5mike5 · 09-29-11, 12:47 PM

well i went ahead and added jimmy and biff as well....my total now is 4 and probably will only add 1 or 2 more later...now my roster is KENNSETH, KYLE, JIMMY, AND BIFFLE

5mike5 · 09-29-11, 12:48 PM

also went ahead and took KYLE BUSCH (+250) for the nationwide race at dover

Vegas39 · 09-29-11, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

also went ahead and took KYLE BUSCH (+250) for the nationwide race at dover

According to entry list Kyle not running nationwide Logano will. Be in the 18 and Ryan Truex in the 20

5mike5 · 09-29-11, 08:15 PM

yeah they already refunded it...thankx though vegas!

5mike5 · 09-29-11, 08:21 PM

5dimes had kyle in the car and i noticed tthat it will be lagano as well...they refunded and should have already changed it as i spoke to the lineboard so hopefully nobody else has made mistake as well

5mike5 · 09-29-11, 09:34 PM

Originally posted by Vegas39

According to entry list Kyle not running nationwide Logano will. Be in the 18 and Ryan Truex in the 20

but let me tell every1 i was 1st told NO i couldnt cancel because they said it was a replacement for kyle (which it wasnt, kyle was never suppose to be in nationwide event at dover), and was told the rule stands..and the +250 odds would be placed on LAGANO!..and we all know lagano wouldnt be close to +250 anywhere....after 30 minutes of trying to explain i was getting nowhere...so i ask for TONY( never have b4)...he quickly read the 500 page chat, cancelled my wager, and said his crew were ass clowns tonight..lol....i have to say TONY was very nice and was glad to help me out....im very apprecative...TONY REALLY HELPED THE SITUATION....very glad to see him stand up beaus i was correct and he made everything right again

Vegas39 · 09-30-11, 12:17 AM

Glad it got corrected for you buddy

Vegas39 · 09-30-11, 12:24 AM

One early longshot play for me grabbed Allmendinger @ 60-1

Optional · 09-30-11, 02:32 AM

Originally posted by 5mike5

but let me tell every1 i was 1st told NO i couldnt cancel because they said it was a replacement for kyle (which it wasnt, kyle was never suppose to be in nationwide event at dover), and was told the rule stands..and the +250 odds would be placed on LAGANO!..and we all know lagano wouldnt be close to +250 anywhere....after 30 minutes of trying to explain i was getting nowhere...so i ask for TONY( never have b4)...he quickly read the 500 page chat, cancelled my wager, and said his crew were ass clowns tonight..lol....i have to say TONY was very nice and was glad to help me out....im very apprecative...TONY REALLY HELPED THE SITUATION....very glad to see him stand up beaus i was correct and he made everything right again

Nice to hear about him being reasonable with someone, for a change lately.

Greek still has Kyle there. Guess I should tell them...

5mike5 · 09-30-11, 10:22 AM

yeah im not sure whats going on, but from what i could tell he was never entered...i hadnt even looked i just liked the odds onkyle winning 3/4 at dover nationwide....thankl god i got it taken care of though....having 125.00 on kyle at +250 ALOT better than lagano...lol...im just glad it worked out...phew

milwaukee mike · 09-30-11, 02:42 PM

i'm thinking edwards +300 for nationwide, any thoughts guys?

5mike5 · 09-30-11, 03:20 PM

i mean its definatley not a bad choice by any means, but i just have to look at times/avgs to see if theres better value out there....hes def. the oddds on fav. and really doubt hes +300 or even close after practices

Vegas39 · 09-30-11, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by milwaukee mike

i'm thinking edwards +300 for nationwide, any thoughts guys?

he will be a factor think his biggest threat will be Bowyer who was fastest in practice

5mike5 · 09-30-11, 03:49 PM

and stenhouse jr.....bowyer as well but he always has trouble closing the deal, even in nationwide...just wait and see what every1 odds are tomorrow....i usually bet 1 or 2 at the most winning the race and more on matchups for trucks and nationwide and the opposite for cup where i focus on winning the race.....id say edwards, stenhouse, and bowyer should be class of the field

5mike5 · 09-30-11, 10:38 PM

Originally posted by Vegas39

he will be a factor think his biggest threat will be Bowyer who was fastest in practice

i have to admitt bowyer post practice odds at +465 too much for me to pass up on value alone...also best 5 and 10-lap avg too...not a big fan of his but he does have 2 wins here in nationwide so +465 i have to get him....may take 1 other to win then just go with a 2 or 3 team driver matchups parlay...wont be sure til b4 the race