I got some money on will power 3/1 at st. petersburg. In F1 I took vettel 2/1 at austrailia.
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Considering it's first races of the year, those 2 look like pretty sure bets.
Good enough to go for a little +1100 on the parlay even I think.
I took Massa early in F1, based on the hope these new Pirelli tires would suit him a lot better than the old Michelins... hasn't looked that way in first 2 practice sessions unfortunately.
I grabbed some Red Bull car to win at -108 during P1. They look to have the field covered to me... although temp and weather will play a big part in how the race plays out. If it heats up for Sunday and the tires start degrading badly, it could become a race between pit crews and strategists rather than drivers..Comment -
vettel on pole.Comment -
Winning Margin > 10 seconds +132
Webber Top 3 -119
Kobayashi Top 6 +315
Schumacher Top 10 -145
Schumacher Fastest Lap +2700
If all goes without incident it does not look like Vettel can be touched, even by his team mate Webber. If that happens he is the type of driver to press on for a dominant win, so think >10 secs is good value. I'd rate it more of a 50/50 proposition.
Webber knows he is beaten already imho, so will be racing with Hamilton in his head for the second. I can't see him losing his head and making an error in anger, so I like him for a Top 3 more than I like Vettel for the win (at around evens), as Vettel is fired up and brimming with confidence. Not the safest combination for a young world champion in his first race defending the title.
Kobayashi starts in 9th and both Saubers have looked fast. He has a pathetic looking Massa in 8th, Rosberg in the Merc in 7th and Petrov in the Renault in 6th to get past for a top 6th. I think he is a good bet to get past Massa and Petrov, and has a 50/50 shot at Rosberg, Alonso and Button. So the +315 looked attractive to me as I think he could be competing for 4th if everything goes his way.
I'm fairly sure Schumacher will use hard tires for his first two stints, and go onto the softs as late as possible. The Red Bulls, McLarens and Ferraris will most likely be forced into the opposite. This is why I am confident on the old man for a top 10, as he could make up 2 or 3 places from the first round of pit stops alone. Plus he practiced better than 11th imho.
Whoever gets fast lap will be on soft tires and low fuel at the end. Schumacher is also the most likely to be on that out of the top 11 starters on the grid, so +2700 seems like gift odds to me.
Also took Rosberg Fastest Lap +2300, but don't really like that bet now..Comment -
F1 is back
Going to stay away and see what happens with regards to the kers/tyres/new wing.
Vettel is almost a certainty but who knows, 4 pit stops or an incident could change everythingComment -
schumacher top 10 looks like a lock.Comment -
Red Bull car to win at -108 pay
Winning Margin > 10 seconds +132 pay
Webber Top 3 -1195th
Kobayashi Top 6 +3158th
Schumacher Top 10 -145Retired
Schumacher Fastest Lap +2700
Couple of units profit. But should have just followed you sideloaded, and put the lot on a Vettel win..Comment -
sorry man I really thought shumacher had that top ten. He really should have.Comment
