Clash @ LA Coliseum

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  • dapperandy
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-05-11
    • 180

    #1
    Clash @ LA Coliseum
    Hey Guys,

    I wasn’t sure if Mike was going to create a thread but qualifying and the race is only a few days away.

    Odds have been up for a bunch of weeks.

    I bet Stenhouse and Buescher both at 200-1 and more sprinkled at top 5 and 3. And a little on Custer top 5.

    It’s a brand new race with the new cars so it’s hard to know what to predict. Who else is everyone on?
  • avssakic
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-07
    • 1795

    #2
    I’m liking Logano +1000 and Ky Busch +800
    Comment
    • Optional
      Administrator
      • 06-10-10
      • 60712

      #3
      Like your longshot thinking Andy.

      Kurt and Bubba here. Think that team might come out of the gates strong in new car.
      .
      Comment
      • Optional
        Administrator
        • 06-10-10
        • 60712

        #4
        Won't be simple to qualify probably.

        ¼ mile track = wreckfest I bet.
        .
        Comment
        • sallymott
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-18-14
          • 284

          #5
          i like the joe gibbs toyotas and penske fords
          Comment
          • dapperandy
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-05-11
            • 180

            #6
            Originally posted by Optional
            Like your longshot thinking Andy.

            Kurt and Bubba here. Think that team might come out of the gates strong in new car.
            Ya I’m excited about the long shot potential in this hard to predict likely crapshoot lol.
            Comment
            • dapperandy
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-05-11
              • 180

              #7
              Where the heck is Mike?
              Comment
              • dapperandy
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-05-11
                • 180

                #8
                I grabbed some on Larson at 8-1 as he is the only driver to for sure be in the feature, locked in
                Comment
                • Optional
                  Administrator
                  • 06-10-10
                  • 60712

                  #9
                  Info about early betting trends form BetMGM


                  BetMGM Sportsbook Insights: NASCAR Clash at the Coliseum

                  Highest Ticket%
                  • Kyle Larson 13.8%
                  • Kyle Busch 6.4%
                  • Chase Elliott 6.0%


                  Highest Handle%
                  • Kyle Larson 45.8%
                  • Chase Elliott 8.2%
                  • Kyle Busch 5.6%


                  Biggest Liabilities
                  • Kyle Larson
                  • Ryan Preece
                  • Michael McDowell





                  Clash at the Coliseum
                  Driver Odds Ticket% Handle%
                  Kyle Larson 600 13.8% 45.8%
                  Kyle Busch 800 6.4% 5.6%
                  Chase Elliott 600 6.0% 8.2%
                  Alex Bowman 2000 5.7% 2.8%
                  Brad Keselowski 2000 5.7% 3.1%
                  Kevin Harvick 1600 5.7% 3.7%
                  Martin Truex Jr. 700 5.0% 5.0%
                  Bubba Wallace 10000 4.7% 1.2%
                  Joey Logano 1000 4.7% 2.7%
                  Kurt Busch 2500 4.4% 1.6%
                  Ryan Blaney 1000 4.4% 2.5%
                  Denny Hamlin 600 3.4% 3.2%
                  A.J. Allmendinger 8000 3.0% 0.7%
                  Christopher Bell 1800 2.7% 2.1%
                  Chris Buescher 20000 2.3% 0.8%
                  Michael McDowell 30000 2.3% 0.9%
                  Ryan Preece 10000 2.3% 2.5%
                  Tyler Reddick 3300 2.3% 0.8%
                  Erik Jones 20000 2.0% 1.3%
                  Ricky Stenhouse Jr 15000 2.0% 0.9%
                  Austin Cindric 3300 1.3% 0.9%
                  Austin Dillon 8000 1.3% 0.5%
                  Chase Briscoe 10000 1.0% 0.4%
                  Corey LaJoie 25000 1.0% 0.3%
                  William Byron 1200 1.0% 0.2%
                  Aric Almirola 4000 0.7% 0.2%
                  Cody Ware 100000 0.7% 0.2%
                  Daniel Suarez 15000 0.7% 0.3%
                  Harrison Burton 10000 0.7% 0.2%
                  Todd Gilliland 50000 0.7% 0.1%
                  Ty Dillon 25000 0.7% 0.1%
                  B.J. McLeod 50000 0.3% 1.1%
                  Cole Custer 15000 0.3% 0.1%
                  Landon Cassill 100000 0.3% 0.1%
                  Ross Chastain 4000 0.3% 0.1%
                  Justin Haley 15000 0.0% 0.0%
                  Sportsbook Data Insights by BetMGM
                  .
                  Comment
                  • Optional
                    Administrator
                    • 06-10-10
                    • 60712

                    #10
                    Originally posted by dapperandy
                    I grabbed some on Larson at 8-1 as he is the only driver to for sure be in the feature, locked in
                    Why is he locked in?

                    No wonder all the money flowing that way early.
                    .
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 51821

                      #11
                      Hey fellas!

                      Thanks Andy for message and thread I was just gonna wait til next week and do my usual thread for the 500 and duels Being what this race is just treating it as such betting wise. We will just use this thread for it no point in doing another one for it. So many changes this year gonna be crazy start to this season.

                      I'm gonna make a couple plays to have interest of course, but not betting it like usual race by any means. I'll post whatever I end up with here..Can't wait for reg season to start up!!!! I'll have Daytona thread up next week as usual. Ready to have another great year!!!!

                      Last edited by 5mike5; 02-05-22, 02:58 AM.
                      Comment
                      • dapperandy
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-05-11
                        • 180

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Optional
                        Why is he locked in?

                        No wonder all the money flowing that way early.
                        Because, there is 1 points provisional for the highest 2021 finisher who didn’t get one of the 22 qualifying spots so it guarantees Larson as he will automatically be that if he didn’t make it
                        Comment
                        • Optional
                          Administrator
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 60712

                          #13
                          Nice to see cars back on track
                          .
                          Comment
                          • GT21Megatron
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-20-13
                            • 10818

                            #14
                            Mike and Opti the mans….Let’s go racing boys!!!
                            Comment
                            • boardsnow24
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 03-06-21
                              • 452

                              #15
                              FD kept the odds open for a little while after the completion of practice.

                              Small wagers on:
                              Blaney +1300
                              Bell +2400
                              Reddick +5000
                              Haley +9000
                              Stenhouse +15000
                              Comment
                              • Optional
                                Administrator
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 60712

                                #16
                                Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                                Mike and Opti the mans….Let’s go racing boys!!!
                                I don't have time to cap it like a full time job reading every bit of news anymore.

                                I filter my educated guesses with Mike's picks.

                                He's da man.

                                Unlearn is the one who spots value bets and off odds I listen to as well.


                                Still winning but need them and you guys to do it these days!
                                .
                                Comment
                                • kjack25
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 07-07-19
                                  • 707

                                  #17
                                  Took Chase at +600 and Reddick at +3000 right after practice. Also have Reddick fastest in group D. He’s +180 to be top 3 and also +180 to beat Almirola, Cindric and Kurt Busch. Almirola and cindric looked bad yesterday so it’s pretty much Reddick against Kurt. This could be a wreck fest like people said above. There are a lot of good practice numbers floating around Twitter if people want to look but the fords were really slow. They came through with fast single lap runs late but struggled with longer speed. Looking at Bell to win group C as well.
                                  Comment
                                  • 5mike5
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 09-21-11
                                    • 51821

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by kjack25
                                    Took Chase at +600 and Reddick at +3000 right after practice. Also have Reddick fastest in group D. He’s +180 to be top 3 and also +180 to beat Almirola, Cindric and Kurt Busch. Almirola and cindric looked bad yesterday so it’s pretty much Reddick against Kurt. This could be a wreck fest like people said above. There are a lot of good practice numbers floating around Twitter if people want to look but the fords were really slow. They came through with fast single lap runs late but struggled with longer speed. Looking at Bell to win group C as well.
                                    GL today bro ready for the season!!!!

                                    think im just picking 1 to win the race (#18) and just played a few longshots for top maufact. and h2h parlay so not looking at any groups or finishing positions ect for this..Told myself i wouldnt play much for this so gonna try to keep it light with longshot shit mostly....still looking of course.. probably save something for right b4 main if anything pops live think hour long break in between heats and.main
                                    Last edited by 5mike5; 02-06-22, 11:35 AM.
                                    Comment
                                    • 5mike5
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-21-11
                                      • 51821

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by GT21Megatron
                                      Mike and Opti the mans….Let’s go racing boys!!!
                                      LFG!!!!!

                                      Comment
                                      • racing_is_fun
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-26-20
                                        • 239

                                        #20
                                        With you on 18 Mike. Let's get it.
                                        Comment
                                        • 5mike5
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-21-11
                                          • 51821

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by racing_is_fun
                                          With you on 18 Mike. Let's get it.
                                          RIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIF

                                          Let's get it
                                          Comment
                                          • dapperandy
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-05-11
                                            • 180

                                            #22
                                            I’m doing a bigger bet on Custer to win Heat 2 16-1 with a sprinkle on Burton and Reddick as a cover

                                            A small shot on Stenhouse 18-1 for Heat 1 and McDowell 30-1 for Heat 4
                                            Last edited by dapperandy; 02-06-22, 01:31 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • unlearn
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-22-14
                                              • 8980

                                              #23
                                              Kyle B heat 1+125 $200
                                              Kyle B clash +550 $100
                                              Comment
                                              • unlearn
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-22-14
                                                • 8980

                                                #24
                                                Think I'll sprinkle $25 on Cuckster top Ford+3000 and Bowman top Chevy+1500
                                                Comment
                                                • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-30-08
                                                  • 81454

                                                  #25
                                                  Let’s go racing, boys!

                                                  0.6u Kyle B. +500
                                                  0.2u Logano +1300
                                                  0.1u Harvick +1800
                                                  0.1u Kurt B. +3000

                                                  Comment
                                                  • dapperandy
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 12-05-11
                                                    • 180

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by unlearn
                                                    Think I'll sprinkle $25 on Cuckster top Ford+3000 and Bowman top Chevy+1500
                                                    Ooh, I really like that Cuckster bet
                                                    Comment
                                                    • unlearn
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-22-14
                                                      • 8980

                                                      #27
                                                      Bell group +225 (Bowman,Harvick,Horseface) $100
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 5mike5
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                        • 51821

                                                        #28
                                                        Kyle B (+550)
                                                        Truex (+600)-- couple FBs on it


                                                        Top Maufact.
                                                        Bell (t) (+900)
                                                        Bowman (c) (+1500)
                                                        Preece (f) (+3000)
                                                        Briscoe (f) (+1300)
                                                        Cindric (f) (+1300)

                                                        cindy>Reddick
                                                        Bubba>almirola
                                                        kyle B>Elliott
                                                        (+859)

                                                        played the h2h parlay, truex FBs, a couple others early and those didnt pay off odds wise...H2H parlay basically looks dead already..lol....but will keep 1 play for the break b4 the main event...besides that just tried the longshots for maufact. and just 18 baiscally for good W...19 my smallest W just using fbs. will post if bet live b4 main..Hopefully a few of us get lucky but just glad the cars are back!


                                                        Comment
                                                        • unlearn
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-22-14
                                                          • 8980

                                                          #29
                                                          Truex is +2500 @ BAS but fukk him. Would rather lose a nickel than bet that whiny cuck
                                                          Comment
                                                          • avssakic
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-12-07
                                                            • 1795

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by unlearn
                                                            Truex is +2500 @ BAS but fukk him. Would rather lose a nickel than bet that whiny cuck
                                                            Amen to that
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 60712

                                                              #31
                                                              I have A Dillon and the two Kyles for most of my money. In group bets. AD Top 10 and Top chevy

                                                              gl all
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kjack25
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-07-19
                                                                • 707

                                                                #32
                                                                Well there goes my Chase to win bet. Had a chance to get down behind Haley and instead got greedy trying to race on the outside. Should’ve max bet Hamlin vs Truex prop.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dapperandy
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-05-11
                                                                  • 180

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Bigger bet here on logano +250 after pole won first 3
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 51821

                                                                    #34
                                                                    be interesting to see the odds when they repost for the main...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kjack25
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-07-19
                                                                      • 707

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Should’ve bet the 18 like everyone else on the board but I’m a dummy
                                                                      Comment
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