TEXAS Motor Speedway Playoffs (All 3 series)--

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51807

    #36
    Kurt>Byron (-115)

    Adding a logano fade also


    Reddick top 5 (+950)
    Comment
    • 5mike5
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-21-11
      • 51807

      #37
      Blaney 1000
      Kyle B. 1500
      E.Jones 2800


      Kurt B. > Byron (-115)...1x mx

      Hamlin>Truex (-130)..1x mx

      Bad Brad>Logano (+115)...1x mx


      Reddick top 5 (+950)

      Kept the W market to just a couple picks again but gonna go with some H2Hs I liked and usual Longshot prop. Decided to mix it up a little see if my luck gets any better. Maybe I can pull out ahead without a race W. GL!

      Last edited by 5mike5; 10-25-20, 02:43 PM.
      Comment
      • 5mike5
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-21-11
        • 51807

        #38
        Race is scheduled to restart @ 10am on NBCS
        Comment
        • unlearn
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-22-14
          • 8980

          #39
          Originally posted by 5mike5
          Race is scheduled to restart @ 10am on NBCS
          But what day?
          Comment
          • kjack25
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-07-19
            • 707

            #40
            Learner you gonna bet Harvick on the live odds when the race starts again tomorrow? What odds do you think he will have? He looked so fast until he hit the wall. Looks like he only fell one lap down. I’m sure he will get back on the lead lap. Teams can’t repair cars during rain delay but they can get a good idea of what needs fixed.
            Comment
            • unlearn
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-22-14
              • 8980

              #41
              Originally posted by kjack25
              Learner you gonna bet Harvick on the live odds when the race starts again tomorrow? What odds do you think he will have? He looked so fast until he hit the wall. Looks like he only fell one lap down. I’m sure he will get back on the lead lap. Teams can’t repair cars during rain delay but they can get a good idea of what needs fixed.
              He was 1400 at Bovada down a lap and will be around 1000 once he takes the waive around. I will prob put a 25 ball on him
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 51807

                #42
                Gonna try and get restarted today at NOON on NBCS

                Hopefully we can get it in
                Comment
                • Optional
                  Administrator
                  • 06-10-10
                  • 60688

                  #43
                  Originally posted by 5mike5
                  Gonna try and get restarted today at NOON on NBCS

                  Hopefully we can get it in
                  60% chance of no rain at Noon. I guess that's the favorite at least.



                  .
                  Comment
                  • mink
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-07-18
                    • 445

                    #44
                    Some books cancel action if a race is postponed for greater than 48 hours. I wonder how today will play out.
                    Comment
                    • 5mike5
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-21-11
                      • 51807

                      #45
                      From 10am-2pm (est) it's less than 20% chance of rain today. After that it increases the later it gets today from 30-50% chances.

                      Not sure why hell yesterday could start at 10am yet today is freaking noon. Smh

                      It's only 39 degrees high temp also
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 51807

                        #46
                        So I'm guessing we prob make it past halfway and the rain comes sometime after that when all my bets are losing.

                        Obv
                        Comment
                        • mink
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-07-18
                          • 445

                          #47
                          Here you go, my dudes: https://livestream.weatherstem.com/d...ay/cumulus.jpg
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 51807

                            #48
                            Originally posted by mink
                            well guess that answers my why no 10am start
                            Comment
                            • kjack25
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-07-19
                              • 707

                              #49
                              Harvick and Hamlin +800 on Bovada.
                              Comment
                              • mink
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-07-18
                                • 445

                                #50
                                "Heavy mist" is like "tallest midget."
                                Comment
                                • mink
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-07-18
                                  • 445

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by kjack25
                                  Harvick and Hamlin +800 on Bovada.
                                  This is going to sound dumb, but Hamlin has too much downforce to win this race with as cool as the track will be. Am I an imbecile?

                                  The outside lane won’t come in and the bottom will have a ton of grip. This has a single-groove race feel to it and the low downforce cars will perform well. That’s my prediction.

                                  They better hope Harvick’s car is badly damaged.
                                  Last edited by mink; 10-27-20, 11:35 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • unlearn
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-22-14
                                    • 8980

                                    #52
                                    I agree about the single groove. Going to take a punt on Harvick if this gets started
                                    Comment
                                    • unlearn
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-22-14
                                      • 8980

                                      #53
                                      Who else you like mink?
                                      Comment
                                      • mink
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-07-18
                                        • 445

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by unlearn
                                        Who else you like mink?
                                        On these high-grip 1.5s, Bowman has been solid and so has Chase. I think Bowman has a hot rod.

                                        Denny hasn't been all that good at the high-grip 1.5s. I'm still sweating Denny, though.

                                        I think the 12 might be good, too, but I'm not putting my money on Emma Blaney.

                                        One guy I thought would be solid if we raced in full sun was Truex... but these cooler temps will likely hurt his chances. I've lost a ton of money on Truex to win this season. I've had enough.


                                        For me, it's the 4 (if his car is right)... then a few steps down it's the 88... and then a few steps down it's the 9.
                                        Comment
                                        • unlearn
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-22-14
                                          • 8980

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by mink
                                          On these high-grip 1.5s, Bowman has been solid and so has Chase. I think Bowman has a hot rod.

                                          Denny hasn't been all that good at the high-grip 1.5s. I'm still sweating Denny, though.

                                          I think the 12 might be good, too, but I'm not putting my money on Emma Blaney.

                                          One guy I thought would be solid if we raced in full sun was Truex... but these cooler temps will likely hurt his chances. I've lost a ton of money on Truex to win this season. I've had enough.


                                          For me, it's the 4 (if his car is right)... then a few steps down it's the 88... and then a few steps down it's the 9.
                                          Thanks, i have a large bet on 9>19+110@ BOL. Theres nobody in cup I enjoy watching lose more than him.
                                          Comment
                                          • kjack25
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-07-19
                                            • 707

                                            #56
                                            I agree learner, love watching Truex lose. Thanks for the info Mink. I’m on Harvick at +800 live odds. I wish I bet a little more on Bowman +2000 before the race.
                                            Comment
                                            • unlearn
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-22-14
                                              • 8980

                                              #57
                                              Bowman is 700 currently so nice grab in the 20s. I gotta take a stab at Harvick but going to wait til after pit stops if this thing gets started
                                              Comment
                                              • unlearn
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-22-14
                                                • 8980

                                                #58
                                                Track lost again. See you tomorrow
                                                Comment
                                                • mink
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 08-07-18
                                                  • 445

                                                  #59
                                                  Time to start checking your book’s rules regarding cancelling bets, gentlemen. If we don’t run today, some of us might have some freed-up cash. Bovada is pretty explicit—once the race starts, they do not cancel—but other sites, like Heritage, are a bit different. Heritage has a 48-hour rule. The question will be whether they treat the start and postponement DURING the race the same as a postponement BEFORE the race has begun.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • unlearn
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 03-22-14
                                                    • 8980

                                                    #60
                                                    BOL cancels after 48 hours. Kinda sucks since that was my only "big" bet for this race (9>19). I have a smaller h2h at blowvada with 8>21-125 and Jones at +3000
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mink
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 08-07-18
                                                      • 445

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by unlearn
                                                      BOL cancels after 48 hours. Kinda sucks since that was my only "big" bet for this race (9>19). I have a smaller h2h at blowvada with 8>21-125 and Jones at +3000
                                                      Thanks for the heads up. Let's see how the books treat this one. I have a decent bet on Harvick at pretty shitty odds. Wouldn't mind seeing that wiped off the board after getting him at +1700 live.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • unlearn
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-22-14
                                                        • 8980

                                                        #62
                                                        Now I'm not sure if they will cancel since the race started. Their site rules don't state that. I'd rather have it stand but if they cancel I wouldnt be upset
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kcburg
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-30-10
                                                          • 1219

                                                          #63
                                                          my local saying they will cancel
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 51807

                                                            #64
                                                            Track is drying and radar looks good
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 5mike5
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 09-21-11
                                                              • 51807

                                                              #65
                                                              GREEN FLAG AT 8:30pm

                                                              Tonight

                                                              Comment
                                                              • unlearn
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-22-14
                                                                • 8980

                                                                #66
                                                                Misting again. See you tomorrow
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 5mike5
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                                  • 51807

                                                                  #67
                                                                  3pm tomorrow afternoon

                                                                  At least we won't have to worry about the weather then should be gone and get the whole thing in
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bigdaddyjames
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-17-09
                                                                    • 3177

                                                                    #68
                                                                    it is a hurricane out there that is why it is raining so much ...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bigdaddyjames
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-17-09
                                                                      • 3177

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Here is the hurricane info ....

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mink
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 08-07-18
                                                                        • 445

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by bigdaddyjames
                                                                        it is a hurricane out there that is why it is raining so much ...
                                                                        Comment
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