TEXAS PLAYOFF RACES (Xfinity/Cup)--

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51814

    #1
    TEXAS PLAYOFF RACES (Xfinity/Cup)--
    Alright guys we are headed down to Texas Motor Speedway this weekend for playoff action in Xfinity and the Cup series. The Xfinity race will be Saturday NIGHT at 8:30pm on NBCS. The Cup race will be Sunday afternoon at 3pm on NBCS. The next 2 weekends (Phoenix and Miami) will both be triple headers to finish off the season..

    TEXAS Motor Speedway was repaved and reconfigured folloeing the 2016 nascar season, so the cup series has only had 5 races here with this new surface and track changes. This is very important to remember when handicapping this weekends races. The banking was lowered from 24 to 20 degrees in turns 1 and 2 and the racetrack was widened in most areas. Tire wear hasnt been an issue since the repave.

    This was a wild race this spring with a lot of cars having mechanical, pit stop and other issues. Both Kyle B amd Blaney both had issues while leading the race! I Had a rare losing weekend last week, so Im hoping to bounce back here. Been a great ride this season and HATE seeing it come to an end in just 3 weeks, but hopefully we can all pad our accounts even more before the 2019 season's end. GOOD LUCK this weekend!!!


  • Optional
    Administrator
    • 06-10-10
    • 60708

    #2
    Kyle Busch +550
    Martin Truex Jr +550
    Chase Elliott +770
    Denny Hamlin +770
    Kevin Harvick +770
    Joey Logano +770
    Kyle Larson +770
    Ryan Blaney +1320
    Brad Keselowski +1320
    Kurt Busch +2750
    Erik Jones +2750
    William Byron +2750
    Alex Bowman +3300
    Jimmie Johnson +4400
    Clint Bowyer +6600
    Aric Almirola +8800
    Daniel Suarez +8800
    Austin Dillon +33000
    Ricky Stenhouse Jr +33000
    Ryan Newman +33000
    Paul Menard +55000
    Chris Buescher +55000
    Matt DiBenedetto +55000
    Daniel Hemric +110000
    Ryan Preece +110000
    Darrell Wallace Jr +110000
    Michael McDowell +110000
    Ty Dillon +110000
    David Ragan +110000
    Corey Lajoie +550000
    Landon Cassill +550000
    .
    Comment
    • reigle9
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-25-07
      • 17879

      #3
      know youre drinkin too much when odds beat you

      off the top of my head, pretty sure im putting up the ole deed on 4 > 42 -110
      Comment
      • reigle9
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-25-07
        • 17879

        #4
        fade truex, he doesnt give a fhf about this race
        Comment
        • 5mike5
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-21-11
          • 51814

          #5
          Those openers with 7 guys under +800 is gross. Some of those will for sure be getting better soon
          Comment
          • reigle9
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-25-07
            • 17879

            #6
            Yeah I'm in no rush to bet anyone to win

            Played 12 > 42
            22 > 42
            12 > 2
            9 > 19

            Elliott champ 4000
            Last edited by reigle9; 10-29-19, 01:33 PM.
            Comment
            • reigle9
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-25-07
              • 17879

              #7
              Can someone check my f1 Q hth options. I assume they still suck
              Comment
              • Optional
                Administrator
                • 06-10-10
                • 60708

                #8
                Originally posted by reigle9
                Can someone check my f1 Q hth options. I assume they still suck
                Check them where?

                Dont see any quali head to heads anywhere
                .
                Comment
                • unlearn
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-22-14
                  • 8980

                  #9
                  F1 qualis post Wednesdays around noon at dimes. Not sure about your ghetto PA book
                  Comment
                  • unlearn
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-22-14
                    • 8980

                    #10
                    Originally posted by reigle9
                    fade truex, he doesnt give a fhf about this race
                    100%. Gotta back guys in must win spot like 4,9,12
                    Comment
                    • unlearn
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-22-14
                      • 8980

                      #11
                      Originally posted by reigle9
                      know youre drinkin too much when odds beat you

                      off the top of my head, pretty sure im putting up the ole deed on 4 > 42 -110
                      Never a bad idea to fade the 42
                      Comment
                      • reigle9
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-25-07
                        • 17879

                        #12
                        Thought you guys were aware is 888sports

                        Learner just quoted me oods from there last race but I don't have those offered

                        Comment
                        • reigle9
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-25-07
                          • 17879

                          #13
                          Originally posted by unlearn
                          100%. Gotta back guys in must win spot like 4,9,12
                          Wouldn't be a bad roster if odds would get better
                          Comment
                          • Optional
                            Administrator
                            • 06-10-10
                            • 60708

                            #14
                            Originally posted by reigle9
                            Thought you guys were aware is 888sports

                            Learner just quoted me oods from there last race but I don't have those offered

                            https://us.888sport.com/online-betti...ent/1005896842



                            Here's what I think but Unlearn sharper at quali really, I dont usually bet it.

                            Most of these seem a bit heavily juiced to the favorites to me.


                            Hamilton -286 should beat Bottas, he has started front row almost every race here.

                            Vettel +130 v LeClerc is some value as Vettel has a couple of poles at the track.

                            Albon +600 v Verstappen seems over the odds to me too. Albon has been very close to Max times in recent races and has actually outscored Max since they have been team mates.

                            No way could take Sainz -250 over Norris, but no reall reason to bet Norris to beat him either.

                            Toss a coin between Kimi and Gionvazzi these days.

                            Dan -139 to beat Hulk probably about right odds.

                            Kyvatt +110 v Gasly would be my lean

                            Grosjean Kmag toss a coin

                            Stroll +275 v Perez probably a little bit of value. We know Lance is a crappy qualifier but Perez record here is kind of mediocre quali wise.

                            Kubica v Russle... Russel almost always wins it, but -1000? no thanks

                            Hamilton +160 to beat LeClerc... but only becuase Ferrari stuff it up so often when expected to be strognest lol. I also think Seb will be faster than LeClerc here.

                            Bottas should beat Albon, but not at -1000 thanks'
                            .
                            Comment
                            • reigle9
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-25-07
                              • 17879

                              #15
                              ok thanks, i'll see what all he agree with and try to play something
                              Comment
                              • unlearn
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-22-14
                                • 8980

                                #16
                                I dont usually bet on the team qualis. The value is in fading the poor teams, like when u can get McLaren or Renault vs the Haas cars for example. Dimes usually has those on Wednesdays. If you're funded at dimes, I will pm you my plays when I make them
                                Last edited by unlearn; 10-29-19, 05:00 PM.
                                Comment
                                • reigle9
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-25-07
                                  • 17879

                                  #17
                                  aighty
                                  Comment
                                  • reigle9
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-25-07
                                    • 17879

                                    #18
                                    they havent added hth's

                                    odds still suck

                                    played jhn and chastain 110-1 cause who cares
                                    Comment
                                    • unlearn
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-22-14
                                      • 8980

                                      #19
                                      Still no f1 qualis either wtf
                                      Comment
                                      • reigle9
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-25-07
                                        • 17879

                                        #20
                                        trying to find some hth's and it's not easy

                                        im always down to fade hburton and i think both jeb and annett will beat him, it would be cool if he got the pole in the 18 and could get + odds on everyone...would easily take chastain and jhn at + now too

                                        only other option i can pick out is if they find some bum to put with seig, or burton lol
                                        Comment
                                        • unlearn
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-22-14
                                          • 8980

                                          #21
                                          Some quali bets
                                          Gasly>Grosjean-145
                                          Hulk>Stroll-140
                                          (+190)

                                          Sainz>Gio-195
                                          Norris>Grosjean -160
                                          Gasly>Stroll-145
                                          (+315)
                                          Comment
                                          • unlearn
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-22-14
                                            • 8980

                                            #22
                                            Added Sainz>Norris(q) +120
                                            Comment
                                            • unlearn
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-22-14
                                              • 8980

                                              #23
                                              That's it for me before p1-p2 tomorrow
                                              Comment
                                              • reigle9
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-25-07
                                                • 17879

                                                #24
                                                How long do I have to play those? Opti you playing the same shit?
                                                Comment
                                                • unlearn
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-22-14
                                                  • 8980

                                                  #25
                                                  They already pulled Sainz>Norris and odds moved on the others. My bets usually move them as soon as I make them
                                                  Last edited by unlearn; 10-31-19, 03:10 PM. Reason: Spelling
                                                  Comment
                                                  • unlearn
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 03-22-14
                                                    • 8980

                                                    #26
                                                    I'd still play the ones that you can get down on.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • unlearn
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-22-14
                                                      • 8980

                                                      #27
                                                      Opti got cut off on dimes but I'm sure he will co-sign these bets
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Optional
                                                        Administrator
                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                        • 60708

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by reigle9
                                                        How long do I have to play those? Opti you playing the same shit?
                                                        I don't have 5D funded

                                                        But all Unlearns Q bets look like clear winners to me too
                                                        .
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Optional
                                                          Administrator
                                                          • 06-10-10
                                                          • 60708

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by unlearn
                                                          Opti got cut off on dimes but I'm sure he will co-sign these bets
                                                          Snap, as I posted
                                                          .
                                                          Comment
                                                          • reigle9
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-25-07
                                                            • 17879

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by unlearn
                                                            Some quali bets
                                                            Gasly>Grosjean-145
                                                            Hulk>Stroll-140
                                                            (+190)

                                                            Sainz>Gio-195
                                                            Norris>Grosjean -160
                                                            Gasly>Stroll-145
                                                            (+315)
                                                            Rot #'s ?
                                                            This is impossible
                                                            Comment
                                                            • unlearn
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-22-14
                                                              • 8980

                                                              #31
                                                              9010
                                                              9041
                                                              9057
                                                              9101
                                                              9103
                                                              9122
                                                              Comment
                                                              • unlearn
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-22-14
                                                                • 8980

                                                                #32
                                                                Or you could not be a cuck and use ctrl+f

                                                                MAGA
                                                                Comment
                                                                • reigle9
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-25-07
                                                                  • 17879

                                                                  #33
                                                                  here's all i managed to get, whatever it's plenty for an open if it hits...and the rest of my shit, not playing chase at 40 is nuts, he could win 1 of the next 2 and his odds be instantly be about 4-1
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • unlearn
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-22-14
                                                                    • 8980

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I think I'd rather have Chase at 40 than Chase to win this weekend. Gonna jump on that for 25
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • reigle9
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-25-07
                                                                      • 17879

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Byron +100 top 10
                                                                      Comment
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