F1 German Grand Prix - July 28 09.10 ET

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  • semibluff
    SBR MVP
    • 04-12-16
    • 1515

    #1
    F1 German Grand Prix - July 28 09.10 ET
    Ferrari looked better than Mercedes in both P1 and P2. Leclerc looks significantly better than Vettel. Mercedes has struggled badly in P3 resulting in a late set-up change. Leclerc might, or might not, be value for the win and/or pole but definitely avoid Mercedes. Qualifying is 50-50 to be wet, as is the race on Sunday. That would throw a spanner in the works re Leclerc or Ferrari. The battle for 4th best team looks like a 5-way dead-heat so stay clear of any H2H props, unless you're taking the outsider, (Renault not strong and may be #9 team), (AVOID Wiliiams. They're better but still not good enough). Q1 in a few hours could be the best part of the 2019 F1 season.

    Projected pole & win: Leclerc.
    too close to call between Vettel and Verspappen for 2nd and 3rd.
    Race win Ferrari 56%, Verstappen 23%, Mercedes 21%.

    Just my opinion. Good luck with whatever you bet. If you tail then tail very quickly. I think the market is massively overestimating Mercedes, but it will adapt.
  • semibluff
    SBR MVP
    • 04-12-16
    • 1515

    #2
    If you're not already on you've missed the best of the value. The market re-opened: Hamilton +125, Leclerc +250, Bottas +400, Vettel +600, Verstappen +700. Leclerc is now generally +150. There's still some value in Vettel and Verstappen if you can get better than +400. I'm probably a bit hard on Mercedes, especially if it rains.
    Comment
    • Optional
      Administrator
      • 06-10-10
      • 61508

      #3
      I was surprised Mercedes did not come back strong in the cooler weather.

      Agree a Ferrari looks too good after p#. But seen Ferrari look like that too many times before quali. So did not bet a winner.

      I thought Kubica had the upgraded package and Russell did not, so took RK +200 to beat Russel in Q for once. Think I had my info wrong there though now :\

      Like Grosjean to bat Kmag and Dan to beat Hulk in quali too

      good luck.




      Oh, dont you hate it the way they keep promising us some rain and it never comes??
      .
      Comment
      • Optional
        Administrator
        • 06-10-10
        • 61508

        #4
        Wow, Vettel out in Q1 and will start his home race last
        .
        Comment
        • Optional
          Administrator
          • 06-10-10
          • 61508

          #5
          Damn. Russel just pips Kubica after the flag in Q1. Closest Kubica ever been to him at least I guess :\
          .
          Comment
          • kjack25
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-07-19
            • 707

            #6
            Can’t believe Norris already out. Barely missed out to Kyvat.
            Comment
            • Optional
              Administrator
              • 06-10-10
              • 61508

              #7
              Ugh. Kubica best time was deleted for going off track :\
              .
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              • semibluff
                SBR MVP
                • 04-12-16
                • 1515

                #8
                Unreal. Mercedes look to be in trouble and Vettel gets a mechanical bug. I still think it's Leclerc & Verstappen for the 1-2.

                For what it's worth Magnussen has looked good in all practice sessions, as has the Haas and the Racing Point. Q1 ended up .25 of a second between 'the best of the rest' and Norris who didn't make the cut. I was inclined to tip Magnussen but the midfield is way too close to call.
                Comment
                • Optional
                  Administrator
                  • 06-10-10
                  • 61508

                  #9
                  Norris and Ricciardo disappointing
                  .
                  Comment
                  • unlearn
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-22-14
                    • 9036

                    #10
                    Norris confirmed queer
                    Comment
                    • Optional
                      Administrator
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 61508

                      #11
                      Originally posted by unlearn
                      Norris confirmed queer
                      Think he and Albon might be real life boyfriends actually


                      Gionvanazzi comes through for you
                      .
                      Comment
                      • Optional
                        Administrator
                        • 06-10-10
                        • 61508

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Optional
                        Agree a Ferrari looks too good after p3. But seen Ferrari look like that too many times before quali. So did not bet a winner.
                        How on earth do Ferrari rooster up a dominant position so regularly you can almost bet on it?!?
                        .
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                        • unlearn
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-22-14
                          • 9036

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Optional
                          Think he and Albon might be real life boyfriends actually


                          Gionvanazzi comes through for you
                          Didnt matter lost like 170 since I got opener on Norris
                          Comment
                          • unlearn
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-22-14
                            • 9036

                            #14
                            Wish I bet Ham +120 instead of betting on a dude named Lando who likes cack
                            Comment
                            • semibluff
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-12-16
                              • 1515

                              #15
                              I tip Ferrari for 1-2 and they'll start 10-20. Unreal.
                              Comment
                              • Optional
                                Administrator
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 61508

                                #16
                                Originally posted by unlearn

                                Didnt matter lost like 170 since I got opener on Norris
                                Originally posted by unlearn
                                Wish I bet Ham +120 instead of betting on a dude named Lando who likes cack
                                Oh yeah, you parlayed it with Norris

                                It was weird how poor Norris was today.

                                Originally posted by semibluff
                                I tip Ferrari for 1-2 and they'll start 10-20. Unreal.
                                They could stuff up distributing ice in the Sahara somehow.


                                Should be great seeing them come through the filed in race at least.

                                If some real rain comes tomorrow, never know.
                                .
                                Comment
                                • unlearn
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-22-14
                                  • 9036

                                  #17
                                  If the real rain comes you have to bet Max imo
                                  Comment
                                  • Optional
                                    Administrator
                                    • 06-10-10
                                    • 61508

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by unlearn
                                    If the real rain comes you have to bet Max imo
                                    I planned to do that this morning if it looked for sure like rain for Quali.

                                    Sick of throwing money away on claims rain is coming, that NEVER arrives.

                                    Now I'll prob regret it.
                                    .
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                                    • unlearn
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-22-14
                                      • 9036

                                      #19
                                      I will prob bet Max regardless
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                                      • kjack25
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 07-07-19
                                        • 707

                                        #20
                                        Thought getting Leclerc at 10-1 was looking great and then Ferrari screws it up like you said. They are fast but we will see if he can work his way up from 10th. I think I’m going to tail Max and pray for rain or hot conditions.
                                        Comment
                                        • semibluff
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-12-16
                                          • 1515

                                          #21
                                          3 hours to lights out in Hockenheim and it's very, very, wet.
                                          Comment
                                          • 5mike5
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-21-11
                                            • 52004

                                            #22
                                            Prob parlay him if its wet and everybody else does

                                            Debating the fastest lap bets for this 1 still but not loving much. They have just been such a cash cow all season hate to not play 1 or 2.
                                            Comment
                                            • Optional
                                              Administrator
                                              • 06-10-10
                                              • 61508

                                              #23
                                              Looks completely dry on TV with 90 mins until race
                                              .
                                              Comment
                                              • Optional
                                                Administrator
                                                • 06-10-10
                                                • 61508

                                                #24
                                                Ha, it starts to rain on drivers doing parade as I type that
                                                .
                                                Comment
                                                • Optional
                                                  Administrator
                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                  • 61508

                                                  #25
                                                  Added a few H2H dogs for the rain


                                                  Kimi Raikkonen v Antonio Giovanazzi +300

                                                  Sergio Perez v Lance Stroll +240

                                                  Robert Kubica +300 v George Russell

                                                  Lewis Hamilton v Max Verstappen +200
                                                  .
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kjack25
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-07-19
                                                    • 707

                                                    #26
                                                    Have a couple open parlays with Red Bull, Ferrari and Bottas to win. This pretty much guarantees a Lewis win. Come on rain, let’s go Max!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5mike5
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                      • 52004

                                                      #27
                                                      Parlayed Red Bull car wins +300. Max alone was +250. Lol. Since nobody knows what to expect so thats it.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Optional
                                                        Administrator
                                                        • 06-10-10
                                                        • 61508

                                                        #28
                                                        Took RBR +300 too

                                                        Same thing at Betstars, Max +250, Team +300


                                                        Longshot fast lap darts, small, on Kimi, Dan and Hulk





                                                        Can't beleive these dumb phuks have not let them start normally.

                                                        WHY have we got this stupid safety car out???
                                                        .
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 5mike5
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-21-11
                                                          • 52004

                                                          #29
                                                          Here they go

                                                          Normal start coming now
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Optional
                                                            Administrator
                                                            • 06-10-10
                                                            • 61508

                                                            #30
                                                            Wasted fuel so they will have to save now though.

                                                            Total waste of time and shows how dumb F1 has become. Slave to insurers.
                                                            .
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 61508

                                                              #31
                                                              Left side of grid had way more grip for that start
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kjack25
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-07-19
                                                                • 707

                                                                #32
                                                                Wow no one can stay on the track
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Optional
                                                                  Administrator
                                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                                  • 61508

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Crazy race!

                                                                  Loving my dog H2Hs right now
                                                                  .
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • unlearn
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-22-14
                                                                    • 9036

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Closing my Red Bull parlay with Kyle Busch so I suggest you fade him today
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • unlearn
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 03-22-14
                                                                      • 9036

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Looks like opti is eating lobster tonight. Well done sir
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