THE PAPERCLIP (Martinsville)

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  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 51821

    #1
    THE PAPERCLIP (Martinsville)
    Alright fellas we are off for our first short track race of the season! It will be bumper to bumper racing for ll 500 laps this weekend...The Xfinity series has its first off week of the new year..but the truck series returns after its week off and will be racing on Saturday afternoon on FS1...The Cup race will be at an earlier time this week, Sunday at 2pm on FOX...

    MARTINSVILLE is a 0.526 mile paperclip shaped track with only of banking in all 4 turns and 0 banking on the straights, so its very flat...Speed isn't the only thing that matters here, brakes are just as important and have to be conserved...This is the definition of short track racing this weekend..

    I would think the cast of characters will be shuffled up a little bit this weekend with aero meaning nothing at all basically..


    GOODLUCK this week!!!


  • SBR Drew
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-08-18
    • 7351

    #2
    Austin Dillon have a chance? Any one you like early that has LONG odds??
    Comment
    • reigle9
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-25-07
      • 17879

      #3
      Originally posted by SBR drew
      Austin Dillon have a chance? Any one you like early that has LONG odds??
      Actually took him for a few bucks and in a h2h vs Bowman.
      Comment
      • 5mike5
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 09-21-11
        • 51821

        #4
        im still looking over early opening plays, but took just 2 sp far...still will add another 1-2, mostly probably long shots or odds I think wont be there later

        Harvick +1350--in his current form ill take +1350 at a track hes won at and his current form is great

        Larson +2750---ill take him anywhere at almost 30-1

        debating on Blaney just off odds and Bowyer, but haven't pulled the trigger on any yet...I hope to have a parlay going from trucks so not focusing on favs at too low of odds
        Comment
        • 5mike5
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-21-11
          • 51821

          #5
          trucks:

          Gragson +425
          JHN +950

          probably parlay Sauter on raceday and still waiting on matchups to post up....
          Comment
          • DiggityDaggityDo
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-30-08
            • 81454

            #6
            OK Mike, Bookmaker odds are shit once again, but I am IN.

            KYLE LARSON +2040
            KEVIN HARVICK +1011
            Comment
            • 5mike5
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-21-11
              • 51821

              #7
              forecast is getting better for the weekend....was 100% downpours all weekend
              Comment
              • JAKEPEAVY21
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-11-11
                • 29218

                #8
                get em, mikey
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 51821

                  #9
                  Comment
                  • 5mike5
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-21-11
                    • 51821

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 5mike5
                    forecast is getting better for the weekend....was 100% downpours all weekend
                    well, Saturday could be a wash since 5-8 inches are expected...but Sunday looks fine

                    If saturday is a wash tey line up by owner points without qualifying or a single lap of practice...which would be fine by me
                    Comment
                    • Optional
                      Administrator
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 60727

                      #11
                      Denny
                      .
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 51821

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Optional
                        Denny
                        opti calling out.hamlin
                        Comment
                        • 5mike5
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 51821

                          #13
                          well, forecast improved slightly, but temps still in 30s-40s and rain/snow mix up to sunday morning
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 51821

                            #14
                            I will decide today on any other early bets, was hoping odds would reset but they haven't in a while

                            If they lineup by Owner points it will make a diff, as qualifying position actually does matter here
                            Comment
                            • kcburg
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-30-10
                              • 1219

                              #15
                              Weather going to cooperate this weekend Mike? Not looking good at all for Saturday..
                              Comment
                              • 5mike5
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-21-11
                                • 51821

                                #16
                                Originally posted by kcburg
                                Weather going to cooperate this weekend Mike? Not looking good at all for Saturday..
                                looking iffy but should be fine for Sunday if everything stops that morning
                                Comment
                                • 5mike5
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-21-11
                                  • 51821

                                  #17
                                  Hell i doubt the truck race even happens before Cup race if weather holds up for tomorrow...I might try a open parlay of cbb plays tonight, I hate to risk money on anything ut nacar plays usually, but 1 try wont hurt...
                                  Comment
                                  • 5mike5
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 09-21-11
                                    • 51821

                                    #18
                                    looks like.cup might get a practice in.this morning but the truck arent running unless a miracle happens with todays forecast

                                    ill decide avout any other early plays soon
                                    Comment
                                    • 5mike5
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-21-11
                                      • 51821

                                      #19
                                      A.Dillon>Bowman (-115)...3X

                                      Hamlin>Elliott (-135)...2X
                                      Comment
                                      • 5mike5
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-21-11
                                        • 51821

                                        #20
                                        Blaney +37

                                        just because of his odds being so big and hes a good short track racer....plus if they dont get to qualify today, then he will start 5th....

                                        purposely have not played any of the favorites yet, just waiting to see a few things and doubt I will lose much by waiting
                                        Comment
                                        • 5mike5
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-21-11
                                          • 51821

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 5mike5
                                          Blaney +3750

                                          just because of his odds being so big and hes a good short track racer....plus if they dont get to qualify today, then he will start 5th....

                                          purposely have not played any of the favorites yet, just waiting to see a few things and doubt I will lose much by waiting
                                          **fixed odds
                                          Comment
                                          • 5mike5
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-21-11
                                            • 51821

                                            #22
                                            Larson tops the 15,20, and 30 lap avgs in P1
                                            Comment
                                            • Optional
                                              Administrator
                                              • 06-10-10
                                              • 60727

                                              #23
                                              Think Larsen can win it without wrecking out?

                                              I am crossing fingers it rains all day Saturday and Sunday so we have a double header Monday and I can watch both races once back at home ;-)
                                              .
                                              Comment
                                              • 5mike5
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-21-11
                                                • 51821

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Optional
                                                Think Larsen can win it without wrecking out?

                                                I am crossing fingers it rains all day Saturday and Sunday so we have a double header Monday and I can watch both races once back at home ;-)
                                                probably not, but at 2750 i love seeing him bad fast on long runs

                                                weather looks really good for tomorrow no besides being cold as hell...Think it gets in but never know...they will run Truck after the cup race if time allows for it...if not, then noon monday
                                                Comment
                                                • 5mike5
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                  • 51821

                                                  #25
                                                  only play I added to my early truck bets was this win parlay:

                                                  Sauter wins the race (+225)
                                                  Open
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Optional
                                                    Administrator
                                                    • 06-10-10
                                                    • 60727

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by 5mike5

                                                    probably not, but at 2750 i love seeing him bad fast on long runs

                                                    weather looks really good for tomorrow no besides being cold as hell...Think it gets in but never know...they will run Truck after the cup race if time allows for it...if not, then noon monday
                                                    Plane departs at 11:40am ET Sunday and arrives in Sydney about 11pm ET... so I am stuffed for all Sunday racing. NASCAR and F1 Should have thought about this when booking and stayed an extra day or left a day earlier.

                                                    Can you believe Qantas has no internet service on International flights yet?? Even Delta has a pay as you go option and they are about 50% of the Qantas price usually. Pissed off about it so much I will probably avoid Qantas from now on for anything. Even domestic.


                                                    Anyway, good luck.
                                                    .
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5mike5
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                      • 51821

                                                      #27
                                                      truck race postponed til around 7pm tomorrow after the CUP race
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 5mike5
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                        • 51821

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by 5mike5
                                                        Blaney +3750

                                                        just because of his odds being so big and hes a good short track racer....plus if they dont get to qualify today, then he will start 5th....

                                                        purposely have not played any of the favorites yet, just waiting to see a few things and doubt I will lose much by waiting
                                                        they will lineup by owner points tomorrow
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Optional
                                                          Administrator
                                                          • 06-10-10
                                                          • 60727

                                                          #29
                                                          Starting order



                                                          Martin Truex, Jr.
                                                          Kyle Busch
                                                          Joey Logano
                                                          Brad Keselowski
                                                          Ryan Blaney
                                                          Denny Hamlin
                                                          Kyle Larson
                                                          Kevin Harvick
                                                          Clint Bowyer
                                                          Aric Almirola
                                                          Kurt Busch
                                                          Austin Dillon
                                                          Erik Jones
                                                          Ryan Newman
                                                          Paul Menard
                                                          Alex Bowman
                                                          Ricky Stenhouse, Jr.
                                                          Jimmie Johnson
                                                          Bubba Wallace
                                                          William Byron
                                                          Chase Elliott
                                                          Chris Buescher
                                                          Daniel Suarez
                                                          Michael McDowell
                                                          A.J. Allmendinger
                                                          Jamie McMurray
                                                          Trevor Bayne
                                                          David Ragan
                                                          Kasey Kahne
                                                          Harrison Rhodes
                                                          Matt DiBendetto
                                                          Ty Dillon
                                                          Ross Chastain
                                                          Gray Gaulding
                                                          Cole Whitt
                                                          Landon Cassill
                                                          DJ Kennington
                                                          JJ Yeley
                                                          .
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 51821

                                                            #30
                                                            good grief this one is tough
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Optional
                                                              Administrator
                                                              • 06-10-10
                                                              • 60727

                                                              #31
                                                              A bit unexpected that we have 3 x JGR cars, 3 x Penske teams plus Larson all ahead of the 4 SHR Fords in team points

                                                              Maybe I should have unloaded on Denny after all at early odds. Like his start spot and the cars around him
                                                              .
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 5mike5
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 09-21-11
                                                                • 51821

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Optional
                                                                A bit unexpected that we have 3 x JGR cars, 3 x Penske teams plus Larson all ahead of the 4 SHR Fords in team points

                                                                Maybe I should have unloaded on Denny after all at early odds. Like his start spot and the cars around him
                                                                i like the whole starting top 5

                                                                but still havent decided on additions yet

                                                                gonna wait an see if I can parly 1 of the favs (kyle B) with a matchups first before taking any single
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 5mike5
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                                  • 51821

                                                                  #33
                                                                  race postponed til tomorrow
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 5mike5
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-21-11
                                                                    • 51821

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Optional
                                                                    Think Larsen can win it without wrecking out?

                                                                    I am crossing fingers it rains all day Saturday and Sunday so we have a double header Monday and I can watch both races once back at home ;-)
                                                                    wish granted!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 5mike5
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                                      • 51821

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Truck race will resume at 11am in the morning, cup race afterwards

                                                                      great news, I can use a chance to close a parlay from it
                                                                      Comment
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